Scalp System# Scalp System
A premium scalping system designed specifically for 2-minute charts, combining multiple timeframe analysis with trend-based trading decisions. This indicator helps identify high-probability scalping opportunities through color-coded moving averages and their crossovers.
## Strategy Overview
### Entry Signals
- ONLY trade LONG when price is above RED line
- ONLY trade SHORT when price is below RED line
- Primary entry: BLUE/GREEN crosses
- Strong trend confirmation: YELLOW/PURPLE crosses
### Best Practices
1. Trade with the trend (follow RED line direction)
2. Wait for price pullbacks of faster lines
3. Combine crosses with support/resistance levels
4. Use smaller targets
5. Quick exits on failed breakouts
6. Monitor volume for confirmation
### Color Guide
- YELLOW: Fast trend identifier
- BLUE: Very short-term momentum (1min)
- GREEN: Short-term momentum (3min)
- RED: Trend filter
- PURPLE: Strong trend baseline
### Risk Management
- Place stops beyond the RED line
- Scale out at key levels
- Use 1:1.5 minimum risk/reward
- Avoid trading during major news
- Reduce position size in choppy markets
### Best Trading Hours
- Most effective during first 2 hours after market open
- Good opportunities during power hour (last hour)
- Avoid lunch hour chop (11:30-1:30 EST)
## Tips
- Less is more - wait for clean setups
- Respect the RED line as your trend filter
- Multiple timeframe confirmation increases success rate
- Use crosses as triggers, not absolute signals
- Practice in simulator before live trading
Индикаторы и стратегии
Mandala Visualization-Secret Geometry-AYNETCode Explanation
Dynamic Center:
The center Y coordinate is dynamic and defaults to the close price.
You can change it to a fixed level if desired.
Concentric Rings:
The script draws multiple circular rings spaced evenly using ring_spacing.
Symmetry Lines:
The Mandala includes num_lines radial symmetry lines emanating from the center.
Customization Options:
num_rings: Number of concentric circles.
ring_spacing: Distance between each ring.
num_lines: Number of radial lines.
line_color: Color of the rings and lines.
line_width: Thickness of the rings and lines.
How to Use
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
Adjust the input parameters to fit the Mandala within your chart view.
Experiment with different numbers of rings, lines, and spacing for unique Mandala patterns.
Let me know if you'd like additional features or visual tweaks!
Torus Visualization-Secret Geometry-AYNETExplanation:
Outer and Inner Circles:
The script draws two main circles: the outer boundary and the inner boundary of the Torus.
Bands Between Circles:
Additional concentric circles are drawn to create the illusion of a Torus structure.
Customizable Inputs:
You can control the outer radius, inner radius, number of segments for smoother circles, and the number of bands to improve visualization.
Parameters:
center_x and center_y define the center of the Torus on the chart.
outer_radius and inner_radius control the size of the Torus.
segments define the resolution of the circles (more segments = smoother appearance).
Visualization:
The Torus appears as a series of concentric circles, giving a 2D approximation of the 3D structure.
This script can be visualized on any chart, and the Torus will adjust its position based on the specified center and radius values.
Platonic Solids Visualization-Scret Geometry-AYNETExplanation:
Input Options:
solid: Choose the type of Platonic Solid (Tetrahedron, Cube, Octahedron, etc.).
size: Adjust the size of the geometry.
color_lines: Choose the color for the edges.
line_width: Set the width of the edges.
Geometry Calculations:
Each solid is drawn based on predefined coordinates and connected using the line.new function.
Geometric Types Supported:
Tetrahedron: A triangular pyramid.
Cube: A square-based 2D projection.
Octahedron: Two pyramids joined at the base.
Unsupported Solids:
Dodecahedron and Icosahedron are geometrically more complex and not rendered in this basic implementation.
Visualization:
The chosen Platonic Solid will be drawn relative to the center position (center_y) on the chart.
Adjust the size and center_y inputs to position the shape correctly.
Let me know if you need improvements or have a specific geometry to implement!
Price RangePrice Range
This indicator displays low, middle, and high price zones based on the lowest and highest prices over a specified period, using color-coding. This helps users visually identify the current price's position within these zones.
The effectiveness of chart patterns varies depending on where they appear within these price zones. For example, a double bottom pattern, which signals a potential market bottom, is a strong buy signal if it forms in the low zone, but it has less reliability if it forms in the middle or high zones.
Similarly, price action signals vary in significance based on their location. If a long upper wick pin bar appears in the high zone, it is often interpreted as a sign of reversal.
By combining this Price Range indicator with indicators that display chart patterns or price action signals, traders can make more informed trading decisions.
By default, the middle zone is set to cover 50% of the range, but this can be adjusted.
このインジケーターは、指定した期間の最安値と最高値をもとに、安値圏、中段圏、高値圏を色分けして表示します。これにより、ユーザーは現在の価格がどの位置にあるのかを視覚的に判断できます。
また、チャートパターンの効果は、出現する価格帯によって異なります。たとえば、ダブルボトムは相場の底を示すパターンで、安値圏で形成されると強い買いシグナルとなりますが、中段圏や高値圏で出現しても信頼性は低くなります。
プライスアクションも、どの価格帯に現れるかによって解釈が異なります。高値圏で上ヒゲの長いピンバーが現れると、反転の兆しとして判断されることが多いです。
このPrice Rangeインジケーターを、チャートパターンやプライスアクションを表示するインジケーターと組み合わせることで、より適切なトレード判断が可能になります。
デフォルトでは中段圏の割合が50%になるように設定されていますが、変更することが可能です。
Sri Yantra-Scret Geometry - AYNETExplanation of the Script
Inputs:
periods: Number of bars used for calculating the moving average and standard deviation.
yloc: Chooses the display location (above or below the bars).
Moving Average and Standard Deviation:
ma: Moving average of the close price for the specified period.
std: Standard deviation, used to set the range for the Sri Yantra triangle points.
Triangle Points:
p1, p2, and p3 are the points for constructing the triangle, with p1 and p2 set at two standard deviations above and below the moving average, and p3 at the moving average itself.
Sri Yantra Triangle Drawing:
Three lines form a triangle, with the moving average line serving as the midpoint anchor.
The triangle pattern shifts across bars as new moving average values are calculated.
Moving Average Plot:
The moving average is plotted in red for visual reference against the triangle pattern.
This basic script emulates the Sri Yantra pattern using price data, creating a spiritual and aesthetic overlay on price charts, ideal for users looking to incorporate sacred geometry into their technical analysis.
Star of David Drawing-AYNETExplanation of Code
Settings:
centerTime defines the center time for the star pattern, defaulting to January 1, 2023.
centerPrice is the center Y-axis level for positioning the star.
size controls the overall size of the star.
starColor and lineWidth allow customization of the color and thickness of the lines.
Utility Function:
toRadians converts degrees to radians, though it’s not directly used here, it might be useful for future adjustments to angles.
Star of David Drawing Function:
The drawStarOfDavid function calculates the position of each point on the star relative to the center coordinates (centerTime, centerY) and size.
The pattern has six key points that form two overlapping triangles, creating the Star of David pattern.
The time offsets (offset1 and offset2) determine the horizontal spread of the star, scaling according to size.
The line.new function is used to draw the star lines with the calculated coordinates, casting timestamps to int to comply with line.new requirements.
Star Rendering:
Finally, drawStarOfDavid is called to render the Star of David pattern on the chart based on the input parameters.
This code draws the Star of David on a chart at a specified time and price level, with customizable size, color, and line width. Adjust centerTime, centerPrice, and size as needed for different star placements on the chart.
Straddle Charts - Live
Description :
This indicator is designed to display live prices for both call and put options of a straddle strategy, helping traders visualize the real-time performance of their options positions. The indicator allows users to select the symbols for specific call and put options and fetches their prices on a 1-minute timeframe, ensuring updated information.
Key Features :
Live Call and Put Option Prices: View individual prices for both call and put options of the straddle, plotted separately.
Straddle Price Calculation: The total price of the straddle (sum of call and put) is displayed, allowing for easy monitoring of the straddle’s combined movement.
Customizable Inputs: Easily change the call and put option symbols directly from the settings.
Use this indicator to stay on top of your straddle's value and make informed trading decisions based on real-time data.
Holt-Winters Forecast BandsDescription:
The Holt-Winters Adaptive Bands indicator combines seasonal trend forecasting with adaptive volatility bands. It uses the Holt-Winters triple exponential smoothing model to project future price trends, while Nadaraya-Watson smoothed bands highlight dynamic support and resistance zones.
This indicator is ideal for traders seeking to predict future price movements and visualize potential market turning points. By focusing on broader seasonal and trend data, it provides insight into both short- and long-term market directions. It’s particularly effective for swing trading and medium-to-long-term trend analysis on timeframes like daily and 4-hour charts, although it can be adjusted for other timeframes.
Key Features:
Holt-Winters Forecast Line: The core of this indicator is the Holt-Winters model, which uses three components — level, trend, and seasonality — to project future prices. This model is widely used for time-series forecasting, and in this script, it provides a dynamic forecast line that predicts where price might move based on historical patterns.
Adaptive Volatility Bands: The shaded areas around the forecast line are based on Nadaraya-Watson smoothing of historical price data. These bands provide a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels, adapting to recent volatility in the market. The bands' fill colors (red for upper and green for lower) allow traders to identify potential reversal zones without cluttering the chart.
Dynamic Confidence Levels: The indicator adapts its forecast based on market volatility, using inputs such as average true range (ATR) and price deviations. This means that in high-volatility conditions, the bands may widen to account for increased price movements, helping traders gauge the current market environment.
How to Use:
Forecasting: Use the forecast line to gain insight into potential future price direction. This line provides a directional bias, helping traders anticipate whether the price may continue along a trend or reverse.
Support and Resistance Zones: The shaded bands act as dynamic support and resistance zones. When price enters the upper (red) band, it may be in an overbought area, while the lower (green) band may indicate oversold conditions. These bands adjust with volatility, so they reflect the current market conditions rather than fixed levels.
Timeframe Recommendations:
This indicator performs best on daily and 4-hour charts due to its reliance on trend and seasonality. It can be used on lower timeframes, but accuracy may vary due to increased price noise.
For traders looking to capture swing trades, the daily and 4-hour timeframes provide a balance of trend stability and signal reliability.
Adjustable Settings:
Alpha, Beta, and Gamma: These settings control the level, trend, and seasonality components of the forecast. Alpha is generally the most sensitive setting for adjusting responsiveness to recent price movements, while Beta and Gamma help fine-tune the trend and seasonal adjustments.
Band Smoothing and Deviation: These settings control the lookback period and width of the volatility bands, allowing users to customize how closely the bands follow price action.
Parameters:
Prediction Length: Sets the length of the forecast, determining how far into the future the prediction line extends.
Season Length: Defines the seasonality cycle. A setting of 14 is typical for bi-weekly cycles, but this can be adjusted based on observed market cycles.
Alpha, Beta, Gamma: These parameters adjust the Holt-Winters model's sensitivity to recent prices, trends, and seasonal patterns.
Band Smoothing: Determines the smoothing applied to the bands, making them either more reactive or smoother.
Ideal Use Cases:
Swing Trading and Trend Following: The Holt-Winters model is particularly suited for capturing larger market trends. Use the forecast line to determine trend direction and the bands to gauge support/resistance levels for potential entries or exits.
Identifying Reversal Zones: The adaptive bands act as dynamic overbought and oversold zones, giving traders potential reversal areas when price reaches these levels.
Important Notes:
No Buy/Sell Signals: This indicator does not produce direct buy or sell signals. It’s intended for visual trend analysis and support/resistance identification, leaving trade decisions to the user.
Not for High-Frequency Trading: Due to the nature of the Holt-Winters model, this indicator is optimized for higher timeframes like the daily and 4-hour charts. It may not be suitable for high-frequency or scalping strategies on very short timeframes.
Adjust for Volatility: If using the indicator on lower timeframes or more volatile assets, consider adjusting the band smoothing and prediction length settings for better responsiveness.
Meme Coin Buy Signal Indicator by asharThis custom TradingView indicator is specifically designed for meme coins, using technical analysis indicators to identify optimal buy signals. It combines short-term moving averages, volume spikes, and Bitcoin trend alignment to pinpoint potential entry points during high-momentum periods.
Indicator Components:
Moving Averages (MA): A 5-period fast MA and a 13-period slow MA highlight short-term price momentum. Buy signals are generated when the fast MA crosses above the slow MA, indicating potential upward momentum.
Volume Spike Detection: The indicator detects high-volume periods using a multiplier. If the current volume exceeds the 10-period average volume by the set multiplier (default: 2.0), it indicates increased buying interest, which is crucial for meme coins.
Bitcoin Trend Alignment: The trend of Bitcoin, a market-wide sentiment indicator, is gauged with a 20-day moving average. Buy signals are validated only when Bitcoin is also in an uptrend, providing additional bullish confirmation for meme coins.
Buy Signal Criteria: A buy signal is triggered when:
The fast MA crosses above the slow MA.
Volume is above the average by the set multiplier.
The price is above the slow MA.
Bitcoin is trending up based on the 20-day moving average.
This indicator is ideal for meme coin traders looking to time entries with momentum-driven trends, aligning volume and trend indicators for a more comprehensive approach to high-risk assets.
Adaptive Trend Channel IndicatorThe Adaptive Trend Channel Indicator is a trend-following tool designed to help traders identify buy and sell opportunities by analyzing price action in relation to a dynamic basis line with a customizable buffer zone. This indicator leverages an adaptive moving average to create a responsive trend line, providing insight into market direction and trend strength.
How It Works:
Dynamic Basis Calculation: Using a modified Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), the indicator calculates a basis line that adapts to price volatility. The basis line turns green during bullish trends and red during bearish trends, helping to visualize market sentiment.
Buffer Zone for Entry Signals: A buffer zone is calculated around the basis line to filter out false signals in low-volatility or sideways markets. Buy and sell signals are generated only when the price moves beyond this buffer zone, enhancing signal accuracy and reducing noise.
Non-Consecutive Signal Logic: To avoid over-trading, the indicator is programmed to prevent consecutive buy or sell signals in the same direction. This ensures that a new buy signal is only issued after a sell signal, and vice versa, for improved control in trending conditions.
Real-Time Alerts: The indicator issues real-time "Buy" and "Sell" alerts as soon as conditions are met, without waiting for the candle to close. This feature is particularly beneficial for intraday and scalping strategies, where timely entries are crucial.
How to Use:
Buy Signal: A buy signal appears when the basis line is green, and the price moves above the upper buffer zone, indicating a potential uptrend.
Sell Signal: A sell signal appears when the basis line is red, and the price falls below the lower buffer zone, signaling a potential downtrend.
The buffer zone’s sensitivity can be adjusted to adapt the indicator to different trading environments and personal risk tolerance.
Disclaimer: This indicator is designed to support your trading decisions and is best used in combination with other technical analysis tools. It is not intended as standalone financial advice.
SynthesisDeFi - Anchored TWAPA simple Anchored TWAP created by Oliver Fujimori
Key Concept
TWAP is calculated by taking the average of multiple asset prices at regular time intervals across a set period. By averaging out these prices, TWAP helps smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing a more stable price representation over time.
Advantages of TWAP
Simplicity: The TWAP calculation is straightforward and computationally light, making it practical for on-chain calculations in DeFi.
Protection Against Flash Loan Attacks: By averaging prices over time, TWAP offers some protection against temporary price manipulations commonly seen with flash loans.
Uses and Benefits of TWAP
Reducing Market Impact for Large Orders: TWAP is used as a strategy for executing large orders by breaking them into smaller parts over a period, ensuring that the average execution price is close to the TWAP value, reducing the risk of price manipulation.
Minimizing Slippage: In DeFi, TWAP provides a stable price reference by averaging prices over time, making it less susceptible to sudden price changes (slippage) that can occur in highly volatile markets.
Protection Against Manipulation: TWAP prices are less vulnerable to flash loan attacks and sudden price spikes since they rely on multiple price points over a period rather than a single spot price.
RSI-EMA Signal by stock shooter## Strategy Description: 200 EMA Crossover with RSI, Green/Red Candles, Volume, and Exit Conditions
This strategy combines several technical indicators to identify potential long and short entry opportunities in a trading instrument. Here's a breakdown of its components:
1. 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
* The 200-period EMA acts as a long-term trend indicator.
* The strategy looks for entries when the price is above (long) or below (short) the 200 EMA.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
* The RSI measures the momentum of price movements and helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
* The strategy looks for entries when the RSI is below 40 (oversold) for long positions and above 60 (overbought) for short positions.
3. Green/Red Candles:
* This indicator filters out potential entries based on the current candle's closing price relative to its opening price.
* The strategy only considers long entries on green candles (closing price higher than opening) and short entries on red candles (closing price lower than opening).
4. Volume:
* This indicator adds a volume filter to the entry conditions.
* The strategy only considers entries when the current candle's volume is higher than the average volume of the previous 20 candles, aiming for stronger signals.
Overall:
This strategy aims to capture long opportunities during potential uptrends and short opportunities during downtrends, based on a combination of price action, momentum, and volume confirmation.
Important Notes:
Backtesting is crucial to evaluate the historical performance of this strategy before deploying it with real capital.
Consider incorporating additional risk management techniques like stop-loss orders.
This strategy is just a starting point and can be further customized based on your trading goals and risk tolerance.
ABCD Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] ABCD Pattern indicator🔵 Introduction
The ABCD harmonic pattern is a tool for identifying potential reversal zones (PRZ) by using Fibonacci ratios to pinpoint critical price reversal points on price charts.
This pattern consists of four key points, labeled A, B, C, and D. In this structure, the AB and CD waves move in the same direction, while the BC wave acts as a corrective wave in the opposite direction.
The ABCD pattern follows specific Fibonacci ratios that enhance its accuracy in identifying PRZ. Typically, point C lies within the 0.382 to 0.886 Fibonacci retracement of the AB wave, indicating the correction extent of the BC wave.
Subsequently, the CD wave, as the final wave in this pattern, reaches point D with a Fibonacci extension between 1.13 and 2.618 of the BC wave. Point D, which marks the PRZ, is where a potential price reversal is likely to occur.
The ABCD pattern appears in both bullish and bearish forms. In the bullish ABCD pattern, prices tend to increase at point D, which defines the PRZ; in the bearish ABCD pattern, prices typically decrease upon reaching the PRZ at point D.
These characteristics make the ABCD pattern a popular tool for identifying PRZ and price reversal points in financial markets, including forex, cryptocurrencies, and stocks.
Bullish Pattern :
Beaish Pattern :
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Bullish ABCD Pattern
The bullish ABCD pattern is another harmonic structure used to identify a potential reversal zone (PRZ) where the price is likely to rise after a downward movement. This pattern includes four main points A, B, C, and D. In the bullish ABCD, the AB and CD waves move downward, and the BC wave acts as a corrective, upward wave. This setup creates a PRZ at point D, where the price may reverse and move upward.
To identify a bullish ABCD pattern, begin with the downward AB wave. The BC wave retraces upward between 0.382 and 0.886 of the AB wave, indicating the extent of the correction.
After the BC retracement, the CD wave forms and extends from point C down to point D, with an extension of around 1.13 to 2.618 of the BC wave. Point D, as the PRZ, represents the area where the price may reverse upwards, making it a strategic level for potential buy positions.
When the price reaches point D in the bullish ABCD pattern, traders look for upward reversal signals. This can include bullish candlestick formations, such as hammer or morning star patterns, near the PRZ to confirm the trend reversal. Entering a long position after confirmation near point D provides a calculated entry point.
Additionally, placing a stop loss slightly below point D helps protect against potential loss if the reversal does not occur. The ABCD pattern, with its precise Fibonacci structure and PRZ identification, gives traders a disciplined approach to spotting bullish reversals in markets, particularly in forex, cryptocurrency, and stock trading.
Bullish Pattern in COINBASE:BTCUSD :
🟣 Bearish ABCD Pattern
The bearish ABCD pattern is a harmonic structure that indicates a potential reversal zone (PRZ) where price may shift downward after an initial upward movement. This pattern consists of four main points A, B, C, and D. In a bearish ABCD, the AB and CD waves move upward, while the BC wave acts as a corrective wave in the opposite, downward direction. This reversal zone (PRZ) can be identified with specific Fibonacci ratios.
To identify a bearish ABCD pattern, start by observing the AB wave, which forms as an upward price movement. The BC wave, which follows, typically retraces between 0.382 to 0.886 of the AB wave. This retracement indicates how far the correction goes and sets the foundation for the next wave.
Finally, the CD wave extends from point C to reach point D with a Fibonacci extension of approximately 1.13 to 2.618 of the BC wave. Point D represents the PRZ where the potential reversal may occur, making it a critical area for traders to consider short positions.
Once point D in the bearish ABCD pattern is reached, traders can anticipate a downward price movement. At this potential reversal zone (PRZ), traders often wait for additional bearish signals or candlestick patterns, such as engulfing or evening star formations, to confirm the price reversal.
This confirmation around the PRZ enhances the accuracy of the entry point for a bearish position. Setting a stop loss slightly above point D can help manage risk if the price doesn’t reverse as anticipated. The ABCD pattern, with its reliance on Fibonacci ratios and clearly defined points, offers a strategic approach for traders looking to capitalize on potential bearish reversals in financial markets, including forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.
Bearish Pattern in OANDA:XAUUSD :
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Forma t: If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
🟣 Conclusion
The ABCD harmonic pattern offers a structured approach in technical analysis, helping traders accurately identify potential reversal zones (PRZ) where price movements may shift direction. By leveraging the relationships between points A, B, C, and D, alongside specific Fibonacci ratios, traders can better anticipate points of market reversal and make more informed decisions.
Both the bearish and bullish ABCD patterns enable traders to pinpoint ideal entry points that align with anticipated market shifts. In a bearish ABCD, point D within the PRZ often signals a downward trend reversal, while in a bullish ABCD, this same point typically suggests an upward reversal. The adaptability of the ABCD pattern across different markets, such as forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies, further highlights its utility and reliability.
Integrating the ABCD pattern into a trading strategy provides a methodical and calculated approach to entry and exit decisions. With accurate application of Fibonacci ratios and confirmation of the PRZ, traders can enhance their trading precision, reduce risks, and boost overall performance. The ABCD harmonic pattern remains a valuable resource for traders aiming to leverage structured patterns for consistent results in their technical analysis.
Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter indicator is an advanced trend-following tool designed to help traders accurately identify market trends. Utilizing the Kalman Filter—a statistical algorithm rooted in control theory and signal processing—this indicator adapts to changing market conditions, smoothing price data to filter out noise. By focusing on state vector-based calculations, it dynamically adjusts trend and range measurements, making it an excellent tool for both trend-following and range-based trading strategies. The indicator's adaptive nature is enhanced by options for volatility adjustment and three unique Kalman filter models, each tailored for different market conditions.
█ How It Works
The Kalman Filter works by maintaining a model of the market state through matrices that represent state variables, error covariances, and measurement uncertainties. Here’s how each component plays a role in calculating the indicator’s trend:
⚪ State Vector (X): The state vector is a two-dimensional array where each element represents a market property. The first element is an estimate of the true price, while the second element represents the rate of change or trend in that price. This vector is updated iteratively with each new price, maintaining an ongoing estimate of both price and trend direction.
⚪ Covariance Matrix (P): The covariance matrix represents the uncertainty in the state vector’s estimates. It continuously adapts to changing conditions, representing how much error we expect in our trend and price estimates. Lower covariance values suggest higher confidence in the estimates, while higher values indicate less certainty, often due to market volatility.
⚪ Process Noise (Q): The process noise matrix (Q) is used to account for uncertainties in price movements that aren’t explained by historical trends. By allowing some degree of randomness, it enables the Kalman Filter to remain responsive to new data without overreacting to minor fluctuations. This noise is particularly useful in smoothing out price movements in highly volatile markets.
⚪ Measurement Noise (R): Measurement noise is an external input representing the reliability of each new price observation. In this indicator, it is represented by the setting Measurement Noise and determines how much weight is given to each new price point. Higher measurement noise makes the indicator less reactive to recent prices, smoothing the trend further.
⚪ Update Equations:
Prediction: The state vector and covariance matrix are first projected forward using a state transition matrix (F), which includes market estimates based on past data. This gives a “predicted” state before the next actual price is known.
Kalman Gain Calculation: The Kalman gain is calculated by comparing the predicted state with the actual price, balancing between the covariance matrix and measurement noise. This gain determines how much of the observed price should influence the state vector.
Correction: The observed price is then compared to the predicted price, and the state vector is updated using this Kalman gain. The updated covariance matrix reflects any adjustment in uncertainty based on the latest data.
█ Three Kalman Filter Models
Standard Model: Assumes that market fluctuations follow a linear progression without external adjustments. It is best suited for stable markets.
Volume Adjusted Model: Adjusts the filter sensitivity based on trading volume. High-volume periods result in stronger trends, making this model suitable for volume-driven assets.
Parkinson Adjusted Model: Uses the Parkinson estimator, accounting for volatility through high-low price ranges, making it effective in markets with high intraday fluctuations.
These models enable traders to choose a filter that aligns with current market conditions, enhancing trend accuracy and responsiveness.
█ Trend Strength
The Trend Strength provides a visual representation of the current trend's strength as a percentage based on oscillator calculations from the Kalman filter. This table divides trend strength into color-coded segments, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is strongly trending or nearing a reversal point. A high trend strength percentage indicates a robust trend, while a low percentage suggests weakening momentum or consolidation.
█ Trend Range
The Trend Range section evaluates the market's directional movement over a specified lookback period, highlighting areas where price oscillations indicate a trend. This calculation assesses how prices vary within the range, offering an indication of trend stability or the likelihood of reversals. By adjusting the trend range setting, traders can fine-tune the indicator’s sensitivity to longer or shorter trends.
█ Sigma Bands
The Sigma Bands in the indicator are based on statistical standard deviations (sigma levels), which act as dynamic support and resistance zones. These bands are calculated using the Kalman Filter's trend estimates and adjusted for volatility (if enabled). The bands expand and contract according to market volatility, providing a unique visualization of price boundaries. In high-volatility periods, the bands widen, offering better protection against false breakouts. During low volatility, the bands narrow, closely tracking price movements. Traders can use these sigma bands to spot potential entry and exit points, aiming for reversion trades or trend continuation setups.
Trend Based
Volatility Based
█ How to Use
Trend Following:
When the Kalman Filter is green, it signals a bullish trend, and when it’s red, it indicates a bearish trend. The Sigma Cloud provides additional insights into trend strength. In a strong bullish trend, the cloud remains below the Kalman Filter line, while in a strong bearish trend, the cloud stays above it. Expansion and contraction of the Sigma Cloud indicate market momentum changes. Rapid expansion suggests an impulsive move, which could either signal the continuation of the trend or be an early sign of a possible trend reversal.
Mean Reversion: Watch for prices touching the upper or lower sigma bands, which often act as dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Breakouts: Enable volatility-adjusted sigma bands. During high volatility, watch for price movements that extend beyond the bands as potential breakout signals.
Trend Continuation: When the Kalman Filter line aligns with a high trend strength, it signals a continuation in that direction.
█ Settings
Measurement Noise: Adjusts how sensitive the indicator is to price changes. Higher values smooth out fluctuations but delay reaction, while lower values increase sensitivity to short-term changes.
Kalman Filter Model: Choose between the standard, volume-adjusted, and Parkinson-adjusted models based on market conditions.
Band Sigma: Sets the standard deviation used for calculating the sigma bands, directly affecting the width of the dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Adjusted Bands: Enables bands to dynamically adapt to volatility, increasing their effectiveness in fluctuating markets.
Trend Strength: Defines the lookback period for trend strength calculation. Shorter periods result in more responsive trend strength readings, while longer periods smooth out the calculation.
Trend Range: Specifies the lookback period for the trend range, affecting the assessment of trend stability over time.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Key Prices & LevelsThis indicator is designed to visualize key price levels & areas for NY trading sessions based on the price action from previous day, pre-market activity and key areas from NY session itself. The purpose is to unify all key levels into a single indicator, while allowing a user to control which levels they want to visualize and how.
The indicator identifies the following:
Asia Range High/Lows, along with ability to visualize with a box
London Range High/Lows, along with ability to visualize with a box
Previous Day PM Session High/Lows
Current Day Lunch Session High/Lows, starts appearing after 12pm EST once the lunch session starts
New York Open (8:30am EST) price
9:53 Open (root candle) price
New York Midnight (12:00am EST) price
Previous Day High/Lows
First 1m FVG after NY Session Start (after 9:30am), with the ability to configure minimum FVG size.
Opening Range Gap, showing regular market hours close price (previous day 16:15pm EST close), new session open price (9:30am EST open) and optionally the mid-point between the two
Asia Range 50% along with 2, 2.5, 4 and 4.5 deviations of the Asia range in both directions
Configurability:
Each price level can be turned off
Styles in terms of line type, color
Ability to turn on/off labels for price levels and highlighting of prices on price scale
Ability to control label text for price levels
How is it different:
Identifies novel concepts such as 9:53 open, root candle that can be used as a bounce/resistance area during AM/PM sessions as well as confirmation of direction once closed over/under to indicate price's willingness to continue moving in the same direction.
It also shows 1st 1m FVG after New York Session open, that can be used to determine direction of the price action depending on PA's reaction to that area. While both 9:53 and 1m FVG are 1m based markers, these levels are visualized by the indicator on all timeframes from 15s to 1h.
Additionally the indicator is able to both highlight key prices in the price scale pane as well as combine labels to minimize clutter when multiple levels have the same price.
Lastly for in-session ranges such as Lunch High/Low the indicator updates the range in real-time as opposed to waiting for the lunch session to be over.
