Multi-Band Comparison Strategy (CRYPTO)Multi-Band Comparison Strategy (CRYPTO)
Optimized for Cryptocurrency Trading
This Pine Script strategy is built from the ground up for traders who want to take advantage of cryptocurrency volatility using a confluence of advanced statistical bands. The strategy layers Bollinger Bands, Quantile Bands, and a unique Power-Law Band to map out crucial support/resistance zones. It then focuses on a Trigger Line—the lower standard deviation band of the upper quantile—to pinpoint precise entry and exit signals.
Key Features
Bollinger Band Overlay
The upper Bollinger Band visually shifts to yellow when price exceeds it, turning black otherwise. This offers a straightforward way to gauge heightened momentum or potential market slowdowns.
Quantile & Power-Law Integration
The script calculates upper and lower quantile bands to assess probabilistic price extremes.
A Power-Law Band is also available to measure historically significant return levels, providing further insight into overbought or oversold conditions in fast-moving crypto markets.
Standard Deviation Trigger
The lower standard deviation band of the upper quantile acts as the strategy’s trigger. If price consistently holds above this line, the strategy interprets it as a strong bullish signal (“green” zone). Conversely, dipping below indicates a “red” zone, signaling potential reversals or exits.
Consecutive Bar Confirmation
To reduce choppy signals, you can fine-tune the number of consecutive bars required to confirm an entry or exit. This helps filter out noise and false breaks—critical in the often-volatile crypto realm.
Adaptive for Multiple Timeframes
Whether you’re scalping on a 5-minute chart or swing trading on daily candles, the strategy’s flexible confirmation and overlay options cater to different market conditions and trading styles.
Complete Plot Customization
Easily toggle visibility of each band or line—Bollinger, Quantile, Power-Law, and more.
Built-in Simple and Exponential Moving Averages can be enabled to further contextualize market trends.
Why It Excels at Crypto
Cryptocurrencies are known for rapid price swings, and this strategy addresses exactly that by combining multiple statistical methods. The quantile-based confirmation reduces noise, while Bollinger and Power-Law bands help highlight breakout regions in trending markets. Traders have reported that it works seamlessly across various coins and tokens, adapting its triggers to each asset’s unique volatility profile.
Give it a try on your favorite cryptocurrency pairs. With advanced data handling, crisp visual cues, and adjustable confirmation logic, the Multi-Band Comparison Strategy provides a robust framework to capture profitable moves and mitigate risk in the ever-evolving crypto space.
Индикаторы и стратегии
Falcon Liquidity Grab StrategyHow to Use This Script for Commodities and Indices
Best Timeframes: Start with 15-minute charts but test on higher timeframes like 1 hour for indices.
Risk Settings: Adjust the stop_loss_points and take_profit_multiplier to match the volatility of the chosen instrument.
00 Averaging Down Backtest Strategy by RPAlawyer v21FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY! THE CODE IS NOT YET FULLY DEVELOPED, BUT IT CAN PROVIDE INTERESTING DATA AND INSIGHTS IN ITS CURRENT STATE.
This strategy is an 'averaging down' backtester strategy. The goal of averaging/doubling down is to buy more of an asset at a lower price to reduce your average entry price.
This backtester code proves why you shouldn't do averaging down, but the code can be developed (and will be developed) further, and there might be settings even in its current form that prove that averaging down can be done effectively.
Different averaging down strategies exist:
- Linear/Fixed Amount: buy $1000 every time price drops 5%
- Grid Trading: Placing orders at price levels, often with increasing size, like $1000 at -5%, $2000 at -10%
- Martingale: doubling the position size with each new entry
- Reverse Martingale: decreasing position size as price falls: $4000, then $2000, then $1000
- Percentage-Based: position size based on % of remaining capital, like 10% of available funds at each level
- Dynamic/Adaptive: larger entries during high volatility, smaller during low
- Logarithmic: position sizes increase logarithmically as price drops
Unlike the above average costing strategies, it applies averaging down (I use DCA as a synonym) at a very strong trend reversal. So not at a certain predetermined percentage negative PNL % but at a trend reversal signaled by an indicator - hence it most closely resembles a dynamically moving grid DCA strategy.
Both entering the trade and averaging down assume a strong trend. The signals for trend detection are provided by an indicator that I published under the name '00 Parabolic SAR Trend Following Signals by RPAlawyer', but any indicator that generates numeric signals of 1 and -1 for buy and sell signals can be used.
The indicator must be connected to the strategy: in the strategy settings under 'External Source' you need to select '00 Parabolic SAR Trend Following Signals by RPAlawyer: Connector'. From this point, the strategy detects when the indicator generates buy and sell signals.
The strategy considers a strong trend when a buy signal appears above a very conservative ATR band, or a sell signal below the ATR band. The conservative ATR is chosen to filter ranging markets. This very conservative ATR setting has a default multiplier of 8 and length of 40. The multiplier can be increased up to 10, but there will be very few buy and sell signals at that level and DCA requirements will be very high. Trade entry and DCA occur at these strong trends. In the settings, the 'ATR Filter' setting determines the entry condition (e.g., ATR Filter multiplier of 9), and the 'DCA ATR' determines when DCA will happen (e.g., DCA ATR multiplier of 6).
The DCA levels and DCA amounts are determined as follows:
The first DCA occurs below the DCA Base Deviation% level (see settings, default 3%) which acts as a threshold. The thick green line indicates the long position avg price, and the thin red line below the green line indicates the 3% DCA threshold for long positions. The thick red line indicates the short position avg price, and the thin red line above the thick red line indicates the short position 3% DCA threshold. DCA size multiplier defines the DCA amount invested.
If the loss exceeds 3% AND a buy signal arrives below the lower ATR band for longs, or a sell signal arrives above the upper ATR band for shorts, then the first DCA will be executed. So the first DCA won't happen at 3%, rather 3% is a threshold where the additional condition is that the price must close above or below the ATR band (let's say the first DCA occured at 8%) – this is why the code resembles a dynamic grid strategy, where the grid moves such that alongside the first 3% threshold, a strong trend must also appear for DCA. At this point, the thick green/red line moves because the avg price is modified as a result of the DCA, and the thin red line indicating the next DCA level also moves. The next DCA level is determined by the first DCA level, meaning modified avg price plus an additional +8% + (3% * the Step Scale Multiplier in the settings). This next DCA level will be indicated by the modified thin red line, and the price must break through this level and again break through the ATR band for the second DCA to occur.
Since all this wasn't complicated enough, and I was always obsessed by the idea that when we're sitting in an underwater position for days, doing DCA and waiting for the price to correct, we can actually enter a short position on the other side, on which we can realize profit (if the broker allows taking hedge positions, Binance allows this in Europe).
This opposite position in this strategy can open from the point AFTER THE FIRST DCA OF THE BASE POSITION OCCURS. This base position first DCA actually indicates that the price has already moved against us significantly so time to earn some money on the other side. Breaking through the ATR band is also a condition for entry here, so the hedge position entry is not automatic, and the condition for further DCA is breaking through the DCA Base Deviation (default 3%) and breaking through the ATR band. So for the 'hedge' or rather opposite position, the entry and further DCA conditions are the same as for the base position. The hedge position avg price is indicated by a thick black line and the Next Hedge DCA Level is indicated by a thin black line.
The TPs are indicated by green labels for base positions and red labels for hedge positions.
No SL built into the strategy at this point but you are free to do your coding.
Summary data can be found in the upper right corner.
The fantastic trend reversal indicator Machine learning: Lorentzian Classification by jdehorty can be used as an external indicator, choose 'backtest stream' for the external source. The ATR Band multiplicators need to be reduced to 5-6 when using Lorentz.
The code can be further developed in several aspects, and as I write this, I already have a few ideas 😊
Bitcoin 1H-15M Breakout StrategyKey Features
1H and 15M Timeframes:
The script uses the 1-hour timeframe for the range and 15-minute timeframe for breakout conditions.
request.security is used to fetch the higher timeframe data.
Risk Management:
Variables entry_price, sl_price, and tp_price are declared explicitly as float with na initialization to handle dynamic assignment.
Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the specified Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) and buffer (in pips).
Trade Logic:
Long trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes above the 1-hour high.
Short trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes below the 1-hour low.
Visualization:
The range_high and range_low (previous 1-hour high and low) are plotted on the chart using dashed lines.
Debugging:
Enabling the show_debug input displays labels showing stop-loss and take-profit values for easier troubleshooting.
Big Candle Identifier with RSI Divergence and Advanced Stops1. Strategy Objective
The main goal of this strategy is to:
Identify significant price momentum (big candles).
Enter trades at opportune moments based on market signals (candlestick patterns and RSI divergence).
Limit initial risk through a fixed stop loss.
Maximize profits by using a trailing stop that activates only after the trade moves a specified distance in the profitable direction.
2. Components of the Strategy
A. Big Candle Identification
The strategy identifies big candles as indicators of strong momentum.
A big candle is defined as:
The body (absolute difference between close and open) of the current candle (body0) is larger than the bodies of the last five candles.
The candle is:
Bullish Big Candle: If close > open.
Bearish Big Candle: If open > close.
Purpose: Big candles signal potential continuation or reversal of trends, serving as the primary entry trigger.
B. RSI Divergence
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator used to detect overbought/oversold conditions and divergence.
Fast RSI: A 5-period RSI, which is more sensitive to short-term price movements.
Slow RSI: A 14-period RSI, which smoothens fluctuations over a longer timeframe.
Divergence: The difference between the fast and slow RSIs.
Positive divergence (divergence > 0): Bullish momentum.
Negative divergence (divergence < 0): Bearish momentum.
Visualization: The divergence is plotted on the chart, helping traders confirm momentum shifts.
C. Stop Loss
Initial Stop Loss:
When entering a trade, an immediate stop loss of 200 points is applied.
This stop loss ensures the maximum risk is capped at a predefined level.
Implementation:
Long Trades: Stop loss is set below the entry price at low - 200 points.
Short Trades: Stop loss is set above the entry price at high + 200 points.
Purpose:
Prevents significant losses if the price moves against the trade immediately after entry.
D. Trailing Stop
The trailing stop is a dynamic risk management tool that adjusts with price movements to lock in profits. Here’s how it works:
Activation Condition:
The trailing stop only starts trailing when the trade moves 200 ticks (profit) in the right direction:
Long Position: close - entry_price >= 200 ticks.
Short Position: entry_price - close >= 200 ticks.
Trailing Logic:
Once activated, the trailing stop:
For Long Positions: Trails behind the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close - 150 ticks).
For Short Positions: Trails above the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close + 150 ticks).
Exit Condition:
The trade exits automatically if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Purpose:
Ensures profits are locked in as the trade progresses while still allowing room for price fluctuations.
E. Trade Entry Logic
Long Entry:
Triggered when a bullish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at low - 200 points.
Short Entry:
Triggered when a bearish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at high + 200 points.
F. Trade Exit Logic
Trailing Stop: Automatically exits the trade if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Fixed Stop Loss: Exits the trade if the price hits the predefined stop loss level.
G. 21 EMA
The strategy includes a 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a trend filter.
EMA helps visualize the overall market direction:
Price above EMA: Indicates an uptrend.
Price below EMA: Indicates a downtrend.
H. Visualization
Big Candle Identification:
The open and close prices of big candles are plotted for easy reference.
Trailing Stop:
Plotted on the chart to visualize its progression during the trade.
Green Line: Indicates the trailing stop for long positions.
Red Line: Indicates the trailing stop for short positions.
RSI Divergence:
Positive divergence is shown in green.
Negative divergence is shown in red.
3. Key Parameters
trail_start_ticks: The number of ticks required before the trailing stop activates (default: 200 ticks).
trail_distance_ticks: The distance between the trailing stop and price once the trailing stop starts (default: 150 ticks).
initial_stop_loss_points: The fixed stop loss in points applied at entry (default: 200 points).
tick_size: Automatically calculates the minimum tick size for the trading instrument.
4. Workflow of the Strategy
Step 1: Entry Signal
The strategy identifies a big candle (bullish or bearish).
If conditions are met, a trade is entered with a fixed stop loss.
Step 2: Initial Risk Management
The trade starts with an initial stop loss of 200 points.
Step 3: Trailing Stop Activation
If the trade moves 200 ticks in the profitable direction:
The trailing stop is activated and follows the price at a distance of 150 ticks.
Step 4: Exit the Trade
The trade is exited if:
The price hits the trailing stop.
The price hits the initial stop loss.
5. Advantages of the Strategy
Risk Management:
The fixed stop loss ensures that losses are capped.
The trailing stop locks in profits after the trade becomes profitable.
Momentum-Based Entries:
The strategy uses big candles as entry triggers, which often indicate strong price momentum.
Divergence Confirmation:
RSI divergence helps validate momentum and avoid false signals.
Dynamic Profit Protection:
The trailing stop adjusts dynamically, allowing the trade to capture larger moves while protecting gains.
6. Ideal Market Conditions
This strategy performs best in:
Trending Markets:
Big candles and momentum signals are more effective in capturing directional moves.
High Volatility:
Larger price swings improve the probability of reaching the trailing stop activation level (200 ticks).
FON60DK by leventsahThe strategy generates buy and sell signals using the Tillson T3 and TOTT (Twin Optimized Trend Tracker) indicators. Additionally, the Williams %R indicator is used to filter the signals. Below is an explanation of the main components of the code:
1. Input Parameters:
Tillson T3 and TOTT parameters: Separate parameters are defined for both buy (AL) and sell (SAT) conditions. These parameters control the sensitivity and behavior of the indicators.
Williams %R period: The period for the Williams %R indicator is set to determine overbought and oversold levels.
2. Tillson T3 Calculation:
The Tillson T3 indicator is a smoothed moving average that uses an exponential moving average (EMA) with additional smoothing. The formula calculates a weighted average of multiple EMAs to produce a smoother line.
The t3 function computes the Tillson T3 value based on the close price and the input parameters.
3. TOTT Calculation (Twin Optimized Trend Tracker):
The TOTT indicator is a trend-following tool that adjusts its sensitivity based on market conditions. It uses a combination of price action and a volatility coefficient to determine trend direction.
The Var_Func function calculates the TOTT value, which is then used to derive the OTT (Optimized Trend Tracker) levels for both buy and sell conditions.
4. Williams %R Calculation:
Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures overbought and oversold levels. It is calculated using the highest high and lowest low over a specified period.
5. Buy and Sell Conditions:
Buy Condition: A buy signal is generated when the Tillson T3 value crosses above the TOTT upper band (OTTup) and the Williams %R is above -20 (indicating an oversold condition).
Sell Condition: A sell signal is generated when the Tillson T3 value crosses below the TOTT lower band (OTTdnS) and the Williams %R is above -70 (used to close long positions).
6. Strategy Execution:
The strategy.entry function is used to open a long position when the buy condition is met.
The strategy.close function is used to close the long position when the sell condition is met.
7. Visualization:
The bars on the chart are colored green when a long position is open.
The Tillson T3, TOTT upper band (OTTup), and TOTT lower band (OTTdn) are plotted on the chart for both buy and sell conditions.
8. Plots:
The Tillson T3 values for buy and sell conditions are plotted in blue.
The TOTT upper and lower bands are plotted in green and red, respectively, for both buy and sell conditions.
Summary:
This strategy combines trend-following indicators (Tillson T3 and TOTT) with a momentum oscillator (Williams %R) to generate buy and sell signals. The use of separate parameters for buy and sell conditions allows for fine-tuning the strategy based on market behavior. The visual elements, such as colored bars and plotted indicators, help traders quickly identify signals and trends on the chart.
Outside Bar Strategy % (Alessio)Outside Bar Strategy %
This strategy is based on identifying Outside Bars, which occur when the current bar's high is higher than the previous bar's high and its low is lower than the previous bar's low. The strategy enters trades in the direction of the Outside Bar, offering a powerful way to capture price moves following a strong price expansion.
Key Features:
Long and Short Entries: The strategy enters a Long trade when the Outside Bar closes bullish (current close > open), and a Short trade when the Outside Bar closes bearish (current close < open).
Customizable Entry Levels: The entry point is calculated based on a customizable percentage of the Outside Bar's range, allowing flexibility for traders to fine-tune their entries at 50% or 70% of the bar's range.
Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP):
Stop Loss (SL) is automatically placed at the Outside Bar's low for Long trades and at its high for Short trades.
Take Profit (TP) is calculated as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range, with customizable settings for take-profit levels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels are plotted as lines on the chart, with customizable colors and widths for easy identification.
Labels are placed on the chart to indicate whether the trade is Long or Short, positioned above or below the Outside Bar's candlestick.
Alerts: Users can enable alerts to receive notifications when a trade is triggered, including details such as entry points and stop loss levels.
Strategy Parameters:
Entry Percentage: Set the entry level as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range (e.g., 50%, 70%).
Take Profit Percentage: Customize the Take Profit level as a percentage of the Outside Bar's range.
Customizable Colors and Line Widths: Adjust the colors and thickness of the entry, stop loss, and take profit lines to fit your preferences.
Alerts: Enable alerts to be notified when a trade is executed or when the entry level is reached.
This strategy is ideal for traders who want to capitalize on significant price moves after a breakout, with clear risk management through Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. The customizable features make it suitable for various market conditions and trading styles.
Dynamic Volatility Differential Model (DVDM)The Dynamic Volatility Differential Model (DVDM) is a quantitative trading strategy designed to exploit the spread between implied volatility (IV) and historical (realized) volatility (HV). This strategy identifies trading opportunities by dynamically adjusting thresholds based on the standard deviation of the volatility spread. The DVDM is versatile and applicable across various markets, including equity indices, commodities, and derivatives such as the FDAX (DAX Futures).
Key Components of the DVDM:
1. Implied Volatility (IV):
The IV is derived from options markets and reflects the market’s expectation of future price volatility. For instance, the strategy uses volatility indices such as the VIX (S&P 500), VXN (Nasdaq 100), or RVX (Russell 2000), depending on the target market. These indices serve as proxies for market sentiment and risk perception (Whaley, 2000).
2. Historical Volatility (HV):
The HV is computed from the log returns of the underlying asset’s price. It represents the actual volatility observed in the market over a defined lookback period, adjusted to annualized levels using a multiplier of \sqrt{252} for daily data (Hull, 2012).
3. Volatility Spread:
The difference between IV and HV forms the volatility spread, which is a measure of divergence between market expectations and actual market behavior.
4. Dynamic Thresholds:
Unlike static thresholds, the DVDM employs dynamic thresholds derived from the standard deviation of the volatility spread. The thresholds are scaled by a user-defined multiplier, ensuring adaptability to market conditions and volatility regimes (Christoffersen & Jacobs, 2004).
Trading Logic:
1. Long Entry:
A long position is initiated when the volatility spread exceeds the upper dynamic threshold, signaling that implied volatility is significantly higher than realized volatility. This condition suggests potential mean reversion, as markets may correct inflated risk premiums.
2. Short Entry:
A short position is initiated when the volatility spread falls below the lower dynamic threshold, indicating that implied volatility is significantly undervalued relative to realized volatility. This signals the possibility of increased market uncertainty.
3. Exit Conditions:
Positions are closed when the volatility spread crosses the zero line, signifying a normalization of the divergence.
Advantages of the DVDM:
1. Adaptability:
Dynamic thresholds allow the strategy to adjust to changing market conditions, making it suitable for both low-volatility and high-volatility environments.
2. Quantitative Precision:
The use of standard deviation-based thresholds enhances statistical reliability and reduces subjectivity in decision-making.
3. Market Versatility:
The strategy’s reliance on volatility metrics makes it universally applicable across asset classes and markets, ensuring robust performance.
Scientific Relevance:
The strategy builds on empirical research into the predictive power of implied volatility over realized volatility (Poon & Granger, 2003). By leveraging the divergence between these measures, the DVDM aligns with findings that IV often overestimates future volatility, creating opportunities for mean-reversion trades. Furthermore, the inclusion of dynamic thresholds aligns with risk management best practices by adapting to volatility clustering, a well-documented phenomenon in financial markets (Engle, 1982).
References:
1. Christoffersen, P., & Jacobs, K. (2004). The importance of the volatility risk premium for volatility forecasting. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39(2), 375-397.
2. Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007.
3. Hull, J. C. (2012). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
4. Poon, S. H., & Granger, C. W. J. (2003). Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review. Journal of Economic Literature, 41(2), 478-539.
5. Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
This strategy leverages quantitative techniques and statistical rigor to provide a systematic approach to volatility trading, making it a valuable tool for professional traders and quantitative analysts.
Fibonacci Trend - Aynet1. Inputs
lookbackPeriod: Defines the number of bars to consider for calculating swing highs and lows. Default is 20.
fibLevel1 to fibLevel5: Fibonacci retracement levels to calculate price levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%).
useTime: Enables or disables time-based Fibonacci projections.
riskPercent: Defines the percentage of risk for trading purposes (currently not used in calculations).
2. Functions
isSwingHigh(index): Identifies a swing high at the given index, where the high of that candle is higher than both its previous and subsequent candles.
isSwingLow(index): Identifies a swing low at the given index, where the low of that candle is lower than both its previous and subsequent candles.
3. Variables
swingHigh and swingLow: Store the most recent swing high and swing low prices.
swingHighTime and swingLowTime: Store the timestamps of the swing high and swing low.
fib1 to fib5: Fibonacci levels based on the difference between swingHigh and swingLow.
4. Swing Point Detection
The script checks if the last bar is a swing high or swing low using the isSwingHigh() and isSwingLow() functions.
If a swing high is detected:
The high price is stored in swingHigh.
The timestamp of the swing high is stored in swingHighTime.
If a swing low is detected:
The low price is stored in swingLow.
The timestamp of the swing low is stored in swingLowTime.
5. Fibonacci Levels Calculation
If both swingHigh and swingLow are defined, the script calculates the Fibonacci retracement levels (fib1 to fib5) based on the price difference (priceDiff = swingHigh - swingLow).
6. Plotting Fibonacci Levels
Fibonacci levels (fib1 to fib5) are plotted as horizontal lines using the line.new() function.
Labels (e.g., "23.6%") are added near the lines to indicate the level.
Lines and labels are color-coded:
23.6% → Blue
38.2% → Green
50.0% → Yellow
61.8% → Orange
78.6% → Red
7. Filling Between Fibonacci Levels
The plot() function creates lines for each Fibonacci level.
The fill() function is used to fill the space between two levels with semi-transparent colors:
Blue → Between fib1 and fib2
Green → Between fib2 and fib3
Yellow → Between fib3 and fib4
Orange → Between fib4 and fib5
8. Time-Based Fibonacci Projections
If useTime is enabled:
The time difference (timeDiff) between the swing high and swing low is calculated.
Fibonacci time projections are added based on multiples of 23.6%.
If the current time reaches a projected time, a label (e.g., "T1", "T2") is displayed near the high price.
9. Trading Logic
Two placeholder variables are defined for trading logic:
longCondition: Tracks whether a condition for a long trade is met (currently not implemented).
shortCondition: Tracks whether a condition for a short trade is met (currently not implemented).
These variables can be extended to define entry/exit signals based on Fibonacci levels.
How It Works
Detect Swing Points: It identifies recent swing high and swing low points on the chart.
Calculate Fibonacci Levels: Based on the swing points, it computes retracement levels.
Visualize Levels: Plots the levels on the chart with labels and fills between them.
Time Projections: Optionally calculates time-based projections for future price movements.
Trading Opportunities: The framework provides tools for detecting potential reversal or breakout zones using Fibonacci levels.
Autonomous 5-Minute RobotKey Components of the Strategy:
Trend Detection:
A 50-period simple moving average (SMA) is used to define the market trend. If the current close is above the SMA, the market is considered to be in an uptrend (bullish), and if it's below, it's considered a downtrend (bearish).
The strategy also looks at the trend over the last 30 minutes (6 candles in a 5-minute chart). The strategy compares the previous close with the current close to detect an uptrend or downtrend.
Volume Analysis:
The strategy calculates buyVolume and sellVolume based on price movement within each candle.
The condition for entering a long position is when the market is in an uptrend, and the buy volume is greater than the sell volume.
The condition for entering a short position is when the market is in a downtrend, and the sell volume is greater than the buy volume.
Trade Execution:
The strategy enters a long position when the trend is up and the buy volume is higher than the sell volume.
The strategy enters a short position when the trend is down and the sell volume is higher than the buy volume.
Positions are closed based on stop-loss and take-profit conditions.
Stop-loss is set at 3% below the entry price.
Take-profit is set at 29% above the entry price.
Exit Conditions:
Long trades will be closed if the price falls 3% below the entry price or rises 29% above the entry price.
Short trades will be closed if the price rises 3% above the entry price or falls 29% below the entry price.
Visuals:
The SMA (50-period) is plotted on the chart to show the trend.
Buy and sell signals are marked with labels on the chart for easy identification.
With this being said this algo is still being worked on to be autonomous
Analyze the Market Direction: Determine whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend over the past 30 minutes (using the last 6 candles in a 5-minute chart).
Use Trend Indicators and Volume: Implement trend-following indicators like moving averages or the SMA/EMA crossover and consider volume to decide when to enter or exit a trade.
Enter and Exit Trades: The robot will enter long positions when the trend is up and short positions when the trend is down. Additionally, it will close positions based on volume signals and price action (e.g., volume spikes, price reversals).
Forex Hammer and Hanging Man StrategyThe strategy is based on two key candlestick chart patterns: Hammer and Hanging Man. These chart patterns are widely used in technical analysis to identify potential reversal points in the market. Their relevance in the Forex market, known for its high liquidity and volatile price movements, is particularly pronounced. Both patterns provide insights into market sentiment and trader psychology, which are critical in currency trading, where short-term volatility plays a significant role.
1. Hammer:
• Typically occurs after a downtrend.
• Signals a potential trend reversal to the upside.
• A Hammer has:
• A small body (close and open are close to each other).
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• No or a very short upper shadow.
2. Hanging Man:
• Typically occurs after an uptrend.
• Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
• A Hanging Man has:
• A small body, similar to the Hammer.
• A long lower shadow, at least twice as long as the body.
• A small or no upper shadow.
These patterns are a manifestation of market psychology, specifically the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The Hammer reflects a situation where sellers tried to push the price down but were overpowered by buyers, while the Hanging Man shows that buyers failed to maintain the upward movement, and sellers could take control.
Relevance of Chart Patterns in Forex
In the Forex market, chart patterns are vital tools because they offer insights into price action and market sentiment. Since Forex trading often involves large volumes of trades, chart patterns like the Hammer and Hanging Man are important for recognizing potential shifts in market momentum. These patterns are a part of technical analysis, which aims to forecast future price movements based on historical data, relying on the psychology of market participants.
Scientific Literature on the Relevance of Candlestick Patterns
1. Behavioral Finance and Candlestick Patterns:
Research on behavioral finance supports the idea that candlestick patterns, such as the Hammer and Hanging Man, are relevant because they reflect shifts in trader psychology and sentiment. According to Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000), patterns like these could be seen as representations of collective investor behavior, influenced by overreaction, optimism, or pessimism, and can often signal reversals in market trends.
2. Statistical Validation of Chart Patterns:
Studies by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) explored the profitability of technical analysis strategies, including candlestick patterns, and found evidence that certain patterns, such as the Hammer, can have predictive value in financial markets. While their study primarily focused on stock markets, their findings are generally applicable to the Forex market as well.
3. Market Efficiency and Candlestick Patterns:
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) posits that all available information is reflected in asset prices, but some studies suggest that markets may not always be perfectly efficient, allowing for profitable exploitation of certain chart patterns. For instance, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that momentum strategies, which often rely on price patterns and trends, could generate significant returns, suggesting that patterns like the Hammer or Hanging Man may provide a slight edge, particularly in short-term Forex trading.
Testing the Strategy in Forex Using the Provided Script
The provided script allows traders to test and evaluate the Hammer and Hanging Man patterns in Forex trading by entering positions when these patterns appear and holding the position for a specified number of periods. This strategy can be tested to assess its performance across different currency pairs and timeframes.
1. Testing on Different Timeframes:
• The effectiveness of candlestick patterns can vary across different timeframes, as market dynamics change with the level of detail in each timeframe. Shorter timeframes may provide more frequent signals, but with higher noise, while longer timeframes may produce more reliable signals, but with fewer opportunities. This multi-timeframe analysis could be an area to explore to enhance the strategy’s robustness.
2. Exit Strategies:
• The script incorporates an exit strategy where positions are closed after holding them for a specified number of periods. This is useful for testing how long the reversal patterns typically take to play out and when the optimal exit occurs for maximum profitability. It can also help to adjust the exit logic based on real-time market behavior.
Conclusion
The Hammer and Hanging Man patterns are widely recognized in technical analysis as potential reversal signals, and their application in Forex trading is valuable due to the market’s high volatility and liquidity. This strategy leverages these candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades based on shifts in market sentiment and psychology. Testing and optimization, as offered by the script, can help refine the strategy and improve its effectiveness.
For further refinement, it could be valuable to consider combining candlestick patterns with other technical indicators or using multi-timeframe analysis to confirm patterns and increase the probability of successful trades.
References:
• Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
• Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
This provides a theoretical basis for the use of candlestick patterns in trading, supported by academic literature and research on market psychology and efficiency.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy The Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy is a flexible and adaptive tool designed to identify short-term support and resistance levels using the concept of price pivots.
### Key Elements of the Strategy
1. Pivot points as support and resistance levels
Pivots are significant turning points on the price chart, often marking local highs and lows where the price has reversed direction. A pivot high occurs when the price forms a local peak, while a pivot low occurs when the price forms a local trough. When a new pivot high is formed, it creates a resistance level. Conversely, when a new pivot low is formed, it creates a support level.
The strategy continuously updates these levels as new pivots are detected, ensuring they remain relevant to the current market conditions. By identifying these price levels, the strategy dynamically adjusts to market conditions, allowing it to adapt to both trending and ranging markets, since it has a long target and can perform reversal operations.
2. Entry Criteria
- Buy (Long): A long position is triggered when the price is near the support level and then crosses it from below to above. This suggests that the price has found support and may start moving upwards.
- Sell (Short): A short position is triggered when the price is near the resistance level and then crosses it from above to below. This indicates that the price may be reversing and moving downward.
3. Support/Resistance distance (%)
- This parameter establishes a percentage range around the identified support and resistance level. For example, if the Support Resistance Distance is 0.4% (default), the closing price must be within a range of 0.4% above support or below the resistance to be considered "close" and trigger a trade.
4. Exit criteria
- Take profit = 27 %
- Stop loss = 10 %
- Reversal if a new entry point is identified in the opposite direction
5. No Repainting
- The Dynamic Support and Resistance Pivot Strategy is not subject to repainting.
6. Position Sizing by Equity and risk management
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. The stop loss is set to 10% from the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 10% of 35% of equity, that is, around 3.5% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity and stop loss can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
7. Backtest results
- This strategy was subjected to backtest and operations in replay mode on **1000000MOGUSDT.P**, with the inclusion of transaction fees at 0.12% and slipagge of 5 ticks, and the past results have shown consistent profitability. Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
8. Chart Visualization
- Support and resistance levels are displayed as green (support) and red (resistance) lines.
- Pivot prices are displayed as green (pivot low) and red (pivot high) labels.
In this image above, the Support/Resistance distance (%) parameter was set to 0.8.
9. Default Configuration
Chart Timeframe: 1h
Pivot Lengh: 2
Support/Resistance distance (%): 0.4*
Stop Loss: 10 %
Take Profit: 27 %
* This parameter can alternatively be set to 0.8.
10. Alternative Configuration
Chart Timeframe: 20 min
Pivot Lengh: 4
Support/Resistance distance (%): 0.1
Stop Loss: 10 %
Take Profit: 25 %
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Adaptive Momentum Reversion StrategyThe Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy: An Empirical Approach to Market Behavior
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy seeks to capitalize on market price dynamics by combining concepts from momentum and mean reversion theories. This hybrid approach leverages a Rate of Change (ROC) indicator along with Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, triggering trades based on the crossing of specific thresholds. The strategy aims to detect momentum shifts and exploit price reversions to their mean.
Theoretical Framework
Momentum and Mean Reversion: Momentum trading assumes that assets with a recent history of strong performance will continue in that direction, while mean reversion suggests that assets tend to return to their historical average over time (Fama & French, 1988; Poterba & Summers, 1988). This strategy incorporates elements of both, looking for periods when momentum is either overextended (and likely to revert) or when the asset’s price is temporarily underpriced relative to its historical trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is a straightforward momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price over a specified period (Wilder, 1978). The strategy calculates the ROC over a 2-period window, making it responsive to short-term price changes. By using ROC, the strategy aims to detect price acceleration and deceleration.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are used to identify volatility and potential price extremes, often signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bounds that adjust dynamically with price volatility (Bollinger, 2002).
The strategy employs two sets of Bollinger Bands: one for short-term volatility (lower band) and another for longer-term trends (upper band), with different lengths and standard deviation multipliers.
Strategy Construction
Indicator Inputs:
ROC Period: The rate of change is computed over a 2-period window, which provides sensitivity to short-term price fluctuations.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: Calculated with a 18-period length and a standard deviation of 1.7.
Upper Band: Calculated with a 21-period length and a standard deviation of 2.1.
Calculations:
ROC Calculation: The ROC is computed by comparing the current close price to the close price from rocPeriod days ago, expressing it as a percentage.
Bollinger Bands: The strategy calculates both upper and lower Bollinger Bands around the ROC, using a simple moving average as the central basis. The lower Bollinger Band is used as a reference for identifying potential long entry points when the ROC crosses above it, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as a reference for exits, when the ROC crosses below it.
Trading Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential shift from a period of low momentum to an increase in price movement.
Exit Condition: A position is closed when the ROC crosses under the upper Bollinger Band, or when the ROC drops below the lower band again, indicating a reversal or weakening of momentum.
Visual Indicators:
ROC Plot: The ROC is plotted as a line to visualize the momentum direction.
Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands, along with their basis (simple moving averages), are plotted to delineate the expected range for the ROC.
Background Color: To enhance decision-making, the strategy colors the background when extreme conditions are detected—green for oversold (ROC below the lower band) and red for overbought (ROC above the upper band), indicating potential reversal zones.
Strategy Performance Considerations
The use of Bollinger Bands in this strategy provides an adaptive framework that adjusts to changing market volatility. When volatility increases, the bands widen, allowing for larger price movements, while during quieter periods, the bands contract, reducing trade signals. This adaptiveness is critical in maintaining strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.
The strategy’s pyramiding setting is disabled (pyramiding=0), ensuring that only one position is taken at a time, which is a conservative risk management approach. Additionally, the strategy includes transaction costs and slippage parameters to account for real-world trading conditions.
Empirical Evidence and Relevance
The combination of momentum and mean reversion has been widely studied and shown to provide profitable opportunities under certain market conditions. Studies such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) confirm that momentum strategies tend to work well in trending markets, while mean reversion strategies have been effective during periods of high volatility or after sharp price movements (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By integrating both strategies into one system, the Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy may be able to capitalize on both trending and reverting market behavior.
Furthermore, research by Chan (1996) on momentum-based trading systems demonstrates that adaptive strategies, which adjust to changes in market volatility, often outperform static strategies, providing a compelling rationale for the use of Bollinger Bands in this context.
Conclusion
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy provides a robust framework for trading based on the dual concepts of momentum and mean reversion. By using ROC in combination with Bollinger Bands, the strategy is capable of identifying overbought and oversold conditions while adapting to changing market conditions. The use of adaptive indicators ensures that the strategy remains flexible and can perform across different market environments, potentially offering a competitive edge for traders who seek to balance risk and reward in their trading approaches.
References
Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. McGraw-Hill Professional.
Chan, L. K. C. (1996). Momentum, Mean Reversion, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-805.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
Hull Suite by MRS**Hull Suite by MRS Strategy Indicator**
The Hull Suite by MRS Strategy is a technical analysis tool designed to provide insights into market trends using variations of the Hull Moving Average (HMA). This strategy aims to help traders identify optimal entry points for both long and short positions by utilizing multiple types of Hull-based indicators.
### Key Features:
1. **Hull Moving Average Variations**: The indicator offers three different Hull Moving Average variants:
- **HMA (Hull Moving Average)**: A fast-moving average that minimizes lag and reacts quickly to price changes.
- **EHMA (Enhanced Hull Moving Average)**: A smoother version of HMA with reduced noise, offering a clearer view of market trends.
- **THMA (Triple Hull Moving Average)**: A more complex Hull average that aims to provide a stronger confirmation of trend direction.
2. **Customizable Parameters**:
- **Source Selection**: Allows traders to choose the source for calculation (e.g., closing prices).
- **Length**: A configurable parameter to adjust the period over which the moving average is calculated (e.g., 55-period for swing entries).
- **Trend Coloring**: Users can enable automatic color-coding of the Hull moving average to reflect whether the market is in an uptrend (green) or downtrend (red).
- **Candle Color**: Option to color candles based on Hull's trend, further improving the visual clarity of trend direction.
3. **Entry and Exit Signals**:
- **Buy Signal**: Generated when the Hull moving average crosses above its historical value, indicating a potential upward price movement.
- **Sell Signal**: Triggered when the Hull moving average crosses below its historical value, signaling a potential downward price movement.
- The strategy can be customized to work with long, short, or both directions, making it adaptable for various market conditions.
4. **Visual Representation**:
- **Hull Bands**: The indicator can plot the Hull moving average as bands, with customizable transparency to suit individual preferences.
- **Band Filler**: The area between the two Hull moving averages is filled, making it easier to identify trends at a glance.
5. **Backtesting and Strategy Execution**: This strategy can be tested on historical data with adjustable backtest start and stop dates, providing traders with a better understanding of its performance before live trading.
### Purpose:
The Hull Suite by MRS Strategy is designed to assist traders in determining the optimal time to enter and exit the market based on robust Hull moving averages. With its flexibility, it can be used for trend-following, swing trading, or other strategic applications.
4Vietnamese 3x SupertrendThis strategy attempts to capture long positions in the Vietnamese stock market using a combination of three Supertrend indicators and additional filters. It utilizes pyramiding to enter up to three long positions with a 33.33% allocation each.
Key Elements:
Supertrend Indicators: Three Supertrend indicators are used with different lengths and multipliers to identify potential trend changes.
Entry Conditions:
The strategy looks for a downtrend on the slowest Supertrend (Supertrend3) followed by uptrends on the medium (Supertrend2) and fast (Supertrend1) Supertrends.
Alternatively, if Supertrend3 is still downtrending, but Supertrend1 is downtrending and a significant previous high (highestGreen) exists, an entry signal is generated.
An optional filter allows using the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Entry Stop Loss:
An optional stop loss can be set based on the entry price of previous long positions, preventing further losses if the price falls below entry prices.
Exit Conditions:
Three exit options are available:
- All Downtrend Exit: Close all positions if all Supertrends turn uptrend and a bearish candlestick pattern (close price lower than open price) is formed.
- Average Price in Loss Exit: Close all positions if the average entry price of open positions is higher than the current closing price (indicating a loss).
- All Positions in Loss Exit: Close all positions if any of the following conditions are met:
A single open position exists, and its entry price is higher than the current close price.
Two open positions exist, and their entry prices are both higher than the current close price.
Three open positions exist, and their entry prices are all higher than the current close price.
Pyramiding: The strategy allows entering up to three long positions with a fixed allocation of 33.33% each.
Customization Options:
The strategy provides various input parameters to customize its behavior:
Supertrend lengths and multipliers for each indicator.
Option to use the highest of the last two red candles for highestGreen calculation.
Enabling/disabling Entry Stop Loss and different exit conditions.
Further Enhancements:
Explore additional entry and exit filters to refine trade signals.
Consider incorporating risk management techniques like position sizing and trailing stops.
Backtest the strategy with historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and identify potential areas for improvement.
Phase Cross Strategy with Zone### Introduction to the Strategy
Welcome to the **Phase Cross Strategy with Zone and EMA Analysis**. This strategy is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the crossover of smoothed oscillators (referred to as "phases") and exponential moving averages (EMAs). By combining these two methods, the strategy offers a versatile tool for both trend-following and short-term trading setups.
### Key Features
1. **Phase Cross Signals**:
- The strategy uses two smoothed oscillators:
- **Leading Phase**: A simple moving average (SMA) with an upward offset.
- **Lagging Phase**: An exponential moving average (EMA) with a downward offset.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when these phases cross over or under each other, visually represented on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) labels.
2. **Phase Zone Visualization**:
- The area between the two phases is filled with a green or red zone, indicating bullish or bearish conditions:
- Green zone: Leading phase is above the lagging phase (potential uptrend).
- Red zone: Leading phase is below the lagging phase (potential downtrend).
3. **EMA Analysis**:
- Includes five commonly used EMAs (13, 26, 50, 100, and 200) for additional trend analysis.
- Crossovers of the EMA 13 and EMA 26 act as secondary buy/sell signals to confirm or enhance the phase-based signals.
4. **Customizable Parameters**:
- You can adjust the smoothing length, source (price data), and offset to fine-tune the strategy for your preferred trading style.
### What to Pay Attention To
1. **Phases and Zones**:
- Use the green/red phase zone as an overall trend guide.
- Avoid taking trades when the phases are too close or choppy, as it may indicate a ranging market.
2. **EMA Trends**:
- Align your trades with the longer-term trend shown by the EMAs. For example:
- In an uptrend (price above EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize buy signals.
- In a downtrend (price below EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize sell signals.
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Consider combining phase cross signals with EMA crossovers for higher-confidence trades.
- Look for confluence between the phase signals and EMA trends.
4. **Risk Management**:
- Always set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
- Use the phase and EMA zones to estimate potential support/resistance areas for exits.
5. **Whipsaws and False Signals**:
- Be cautious in low-volatility or sideways markets, as the strategy may generate false signals.
- Use additional indicators or filters to avoid entering trades during unclear market conditions.
### How to Use
1. Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
2. Adjust the input settings (e.g., smoothing length, offsets) to suit your trading preferences.
3. Enable the strategy tester to evaluate its performance on historical data.
4. Combine the signals with your own analysis and risk management plan for best results.
This strategy is a versatile tool, but like any trading method, it requires proper understanding and discretion. Always backtest thoroughly and trade with discipline. Let me know if you need further assistance or adjustments to the strategy!
EMA Crossover Strategy with Take Profit and Candle HighlightingStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), specifically the EMA 20 and EMA 50. It takes advantage of EMA crossovers to identify potential trend reversals and uses multiple take-profit levels and a stop-loss for risk management.
Key Components:
EMA Crossover Signals:
Buy Signal (Uptrend): A buy signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential uptrend.
Sell Signal (Downtrend): A sell signal is generated when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, signaling the start of a potential downtrend.
Take Profit Levels:
Once a buy or sell signal is triggered, the strategy calculates multiple take-profit levels based on the range of the previous candle. The user can define multipliers for each take-profit level.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 50% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 100% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 150% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 200% of the previous candle's range above or below the entry price.
These levels are adjusted dynamically based on the previous candle's high and low, so they adapt to changing market conditions.
Stop Loss:
A stop-loss is set to manage risk. The default stop-loss is 3% from the entry price, but this can be adjusted in the settings. The stop-loss is triggered if the price moves against the position by this amount.
Trend Direction Highlighting:
The strategy highlights the bars (candles) with colors:
Green bars indicate an uptrend (when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50).
Red bars indicate a downtrend (when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50).
These visual cues help users easily identify the market direction.
Strategy Entries and Exits:
Entries: The strategy enters a long (buy) position when the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 and a short (sell) position when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50.
Exits: The strategy exits the positions at any of the defined take-profit levels or the stop-loss. Multiple exit levels provide opportunities to take profit progressively as the price moves in the favorable direction.
Entry and Exit Conditions in Detail:
Buy Entry Condition (Uptrend):
A buy position is opened when EMA 20 crosses above EMA 50, signaling the start of an uptrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels above the entry price based on the previous bar's range (high-low) and the multipliers for TP1, TP2, TP3, and TP4.
Sell Entry Condition (Downtrend):
A sell position is opened when EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50, signaling the start of a downtrend.
The strategy calculates take-profit levels below the entry price, similarly based on the previous bar's range.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: The strategy attempts to exit the position at one of the take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, or TP4). If the price reaches any of these levels, the position is closed.
Stop Loss: The strategy also has a stop-loss set at a default value (3% below the entry for long trades, and 3% above for short trades). The stop-loss helps to protect the position from significant losses.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics:
The strategy can be backtested using TradingView's Strategy Tester. The results will show how the strategy would have performed historically, including key metrics like:
Net Profit
Max Drawdown
Win Rate
Profit Factor
Average Trade Duration
These performance metrics can help users assess the strategy's effectiveness over historical periods and optimize the input parameters (e.g., multipliers, stop-loss level).
Customization:
The strategy allows for the adjustment of several key input values via the settings panel:
Take Profit Multipliers: Users can customize the multipliers for each take-profit level (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4).
Stop Loss Percentage: The user can also adjust the stop-loss percentage to a custom value.
EMA Periods: The default periods for the EMA 50 and EMA 20 are fixed, but they can be adjusted for different market conditions.
Pros of the Strategy:
EMA Crossover Strategy: A classic and well-known strategy used by traders to identify the start of new trends.
Multiple Take Profit Levels: By taking profits progressively at different levels, the strategy locks in gains as the price moves in favor of the position.
Clear Trend Identification: The use of green and red bars makes it visually easier to follow the market's direction.
Risk Management: The stop-loss and take-profit features help to manage risk and optimize profit-taking.
Cons of the Strategy:
Lagging Indicators: The strategy relies on EMAs, which are lagging indicators. This means that the strategy might enter trades after the trend has already started, leading to missed opportunities or less-than-ideal entry prices.
No Confirmation Indicators: The strategy purely depends on the crossover of two EMAs and does not use other confirming indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD), which might lead to false signals in volatile markets.
How to Use in Real-Time Trading:
Use for Backtesting: Initially, use this strategy in backtest mode to understand how it would have performed historically with your preferred settings.
Paper Trading: Once comfortable, you can use paper trading to test the strategy in real-time market conditions without risking real money.
Live Trading: After testing and optimizing the strategy, you can consider using it for live trading with proper risk management in place (e.g., starting with a small position size and adjusting parameters as needed).
Summary:
This strategy is designed to identify trend reversals using EMA crossovers, with customizable take-profit levels and a stop-loss to manage risk. It's well-suited for traders looking for a systematic way to enter and exit trades based on clear market signals, while also providing flexibility to adjust for different risk profiles and trading styles.
Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPXThe Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPX is a complete trading algorithm designed to identify traits and offer actionable alerts for the SPX index. This Pine Script approach leverages superior technical signs and user-described parameters to evolve to marketplace conditions and optimize performance.
Key Features and Functionality
Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes a dual EMA-based totally adaptive method for fashion calculation.
The script smooths volatility the usage of an EMA filter and adjusts sensitivity through the sensitivity enter. This allows for real-time adaptability to market fluctuations.
Trend Filters for Precision:
SMA Filter: A Simple Moving Average (SMA) guarantees that trades are achieved best while the rate aligns with the shifting average trend, minimizing false indicators.
MACD Filter: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) adds some other layer of confirmation with the aid of requiring alignment among the MACD line and its sign line.
Signal Generation:
Long Signals: Triggered when the fashion transitions from bearish to bullish, with all filters confirming the pass.
Short Signals: Triggered while the trend shifts from bullish to bearish, imparting opportunities for final positions.
User Customization:
Adjustable parameters for EMAs, smoothing duration, and sensitivity make certain the strategy can adapt to numerous buying and selling patterns.
Enable or disable filters (SMA or MACD) based totally on particular market conditions or consumer possibilities.
Leverage and Position Sizing: Incorporates a leverage aspect for dynamic position sizing.
Automatically calculates the exchange length based on account fairness and the leverage element, making sure hazard control is in area.
Visual Enhancements: Plots adaptive fashion ranges (foundation, top, decrease) for actual-time insights into marketplace conditions.
Color-coded bars and heritage to visually represent bullish or bearish developments.
Custom labels indicating crossover and crossunder occasions for clean sign visualization.
Alerts and Automation: Configurable alerts for each lengthy and quick indicators, well matched with automated buying and selling structures like plugpine.Com.
JSON-based alert messages consist of account credentials, motion type, and calculated position length for seamless integration.
Backtesting and Realistic Assumptions: Includes practical slippage, commissions, and preliminary capital settings for backtesting accuracy.
Leverages excessive-frequency trade sampling to make certain strong strategy assessment.
How It Works
Trend Calculation: The method derives a principal trend basis with the aid of combining fast and gradual EMAs. It then uses marketplace volatility to calculate adaptive upper and decrease obstacles, creating a dynamic channel.
Filter Integration: SMA and MACD filters work in tandem with the fashion calculation to ensure that handiest excessive-probability signals are accomplished.
Signal Execution: Signals are generated whilst the charge breaches those dynamic tiers and aligns with the fashion and filters, ensuring sturdy change access situations.
How to Use
Setup: Apply the approach to SPX or other well suited indices.
Adjust person inputs, together with ATR length, EMA smoothing, and sensitivity, to align together with your buying and selling possibilities.
Enable or disable the SMA and MACD filters to test unique setups.
Alerts: Configure signals for computerized notifications or direct buying and selling execution through third-celebration systems.
Use the supplied JSON payload to integrate with broking APIs or automation tools.
Optimization:
Experiment with leverage, filter out settings, and sensitivity to find most effective configurations to your hazard tolerance and marketplace situations.
Considerations and Best Practices
Risk Management: Always backtest the method with realistic parameters, together with conservative leverage and commissions.
Market Suitability: While designed for SPX, this method can adapt to other gadgets by means of adjusting key parameters.
Limitations: The method is trend-following and can underperform in enormously risky or ranging markets. Regularly evaluate and modify parameters primarily based on recent market conduct.
If you have any questions please let me know - I'm here to help!
BullBear with Volume-Percentile TP - Strategy [presentTrading] Happy New Year, everyone! I hope we have a fantastic year ahead.
It's been a while since I published an open script, but it's time to return.
This strategy introduces an indicator called Bull Bear Power, combined with an advanced take-profit system, which is the main innovative and educational aspect of this script. I hope all of you find some useful insights here. Welcome to engage in meaningful exchanges. This is a versatile tool suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
Unlike traditional strategies that rely solely on price or volume indicators, this approach combines Bull Bear Power (BBP) with volume percentile analysis to identify optimal entry and exit points. It features a dynamic take-profit mechanism based on ATR (Average True Range) multipliers adjusted by volume and percentile factors, ensuring adaptability to diverse market conditions. This multifaceted strategy not only improves signal accuracy but also optimizes risk management, distinguishing it from conventional trading methods.
BTCUSD 6hr performance
Disable the visualization of Bull Bear Power (BBP) to clearly view the Z-Score.
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP utilizes several interconnected components to analyze market data and generate trading signals. Here's an overview with essential equations:
🔶 Core Indicators and Calculations
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
- **Purpose:** Smoothens price data to identify trends.
- **Formula:**
EMA_t = (Close_t * (2 / (lengthInput + 1))) + (EMA_(t-1) * (1 - (2 / (lengthInput + 1))))
- Usage: Baseline for Bull and Bear Power.
2. Bull and Bear Power:
- Bull Power: `BullPower = High_t - EMA_t`
- Bear Power: `BearPower = Low_t - EMA_t`
- BBP:** `BBP = BullPower + BearPower`
- Interpretation: Positive BBP indicates bullish strength, negative indicates bearish.
3. Z-Score Calculation:
- Purpose: Normalizes BBP to assess deviation from the mean.
- Formula:
Z-Score = (BBP_t - bbp_mean) / bbp_std
- Components:
- `bbp_mean` = SMA of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- `bbp_std` = Standard deviation of BBP over `zLength` periods.
- Usage: Identifies overbought or oversold conditions based on thresholds.
🔶 Volume Analysis
1. Volume Moving Average (`vol_sma`):
vol_sma = (Volume_1 + Volume_2 + ... + Volume_vol_period) / vol_period
2. Volume Multiplier (`vol_mult`):
vol_mult = Current Volume / vol_sma
- Thresholds:
- High Volume: `vol_mult > 2.0`
- Medium Volume: `1.5 < vol_mult ≤ 2.0`
- Low Volume: `1.0 < vol_mult ≤ 1.5`
🔶 Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation (`calcPercentile`):
Percentile = (Number of values ≤ Current Value / perc_period) * 100
2. Thresholds:
- High Percentile: >90%
- Medium Percentile: >80%
- Low Percentile: >70%
🔶 Dynamic Take-Profit Mechanism
1. ATR-Based Targets:
TP1 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult1 * TP_Factor)
TP2 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult2 * TP_Factor)
TP3 Price = Entry Price ± (ATR * atrMult3 * TP_Factor)
- ATR Calculation:
ATR_t = (True Range_1 + True Range_2 + ... + True Range_baseAtrLength) / baseAtrLength
2. Adjustment Factors:
TP_Factor = (vol_score + price_score) / 2
- **vol_score** and **price_score** are based on current volume and price percentiles.
Local performance
🔶 Entry and Exit Logic
1. Long Entry: If Z-Score crosses above 1.618, then Enter Long.
2. Short Entry: If Z-Score crosses below -1.618, then Enter Short.
3. Exiting Positions:
If Long and Z-Score crosses below 0:
Exit Long
If Short and Z-Score crosses above 0:
Exit Short
4. Take-Profit Execution:
- Set multiple exit orders at dynamically calculated TP levels based on ATR and adjusted by `TP_Factor`.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy determines trade direction using the Z-Score from the BBP indicator:
- Long Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses above 1.618.
- Short Positions:
- Condition: Z-Score crosses below -1.618.
- Exiting Trades:
- Long Exit: Z-Score drops below 0.
- Short Exit: Z-Score rises above 0.
This approach aligns trades with prevailing market trends, increasing the likelihood of successful outcomes.
█ Usage
Implementing the BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP in TradingView involves:
1. Adding the Strategy:
- Copy the Pine Script code.
- Paste it into TradingView's Pine Editor.
- Save and apply the strategy to your chart.
2. Configuring Settings:
- Adjust parameters like EMA length, Z-Score thresholds, ATR multipliers, volume periods, and percentile settings to match your trading preferences and asset behavior.
3. Backtesting:
- Use TradingView’s backtesting tools to evaluate historical performance.
- Analyze metrics such as profit factor, drawdown, and win rate.
4. Optimization:
- Fine-tune parameters based on backtesting results.
- Test across different assets and timeframes to enhance adaptability.
5. Deployment:
- Apply the strategy in a live trading environment.
- Continuously monitor and adjust settings as market conditions change.
█ Default Settings
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP includes default parameters designed for balanced performance across various markets. Understanding these settings and their impact is essential for optimizing strategy performance:
Bull Bear Power Settings:
- EMA Length (`lengthInput`): 21
- **Effect:** Balances sensitivity and trend identification; shorter lengths respond quicker but may generate false signals.
- Z-Score Length (`zLength`): 252
- **Effect:** Long period for stable mean and standard deviation, reducing false signals but less responsive to recent changes.
- Z-Score Threshold (`zThreshold`): 1.618
- **Effect:** Higher threshold filters out weaker signals, focusing on significant market moves.
Take Profit Settings:
- Use Take Profit (`useTP`): Enabled (`true`)
- **Effect:** Activates dynamic profit-taking, enhancing profitability and risk management.
- ATR Period (`baseAtrLength`): 20
- **Effect:** Shorter period for sensitive volatility measurement, allowing tighter profit targets.
- ATR Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Define conservative to aggressive profit targets based on volatility.
- Position Sizes:
- **Effect:** Diversifies profit-taking across multiple levels, balancing risk and reward.
Volume Analysis Settings:
- Volume MA Period (`vol_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Longer period for stable volume average, reducing the impact of short-term spikes.
- Volume Multipliers:
- **Effect:** Determines volume conditions affecting take-profit adjustments.
- Volume Factors:
- **Effect:** Adjusts ATR multipliers based on volume strength.
Percentile Analysis Settings:
- Percentile Period (`perc_period`): 100
- **Effect:** Balances historical context with responsiveness to recent data.
- Percentile Thresholds:
- **Effect:** Defines price and volume percentile levels influencing take-profit adjustments.
- Percentile Factors:
- **Effect:** Modulates ATR multipliers based on price percentile strength.
Impact on Performance:
- EMA Length: Shorter EMAs increase sensitivity but may cause more false signals; longer EMAs provide stability but react slower to market changes.
- Z-Score Parameters:*Longer Z-Score periods create more stable signals, while higher thresholds reduce trade frequency but increase signal reliability.
- ATR Multipliers and Position Sizes: Higher multipliers allow for larger profit targets with increased risk, while diversified position sizes help in securing profits at multiple levels.
- Volume and Percentile Settings: These adjustments ensure that take-profit targets adapt to current market conditions, enhancing flexibility and performance across different volatility environments.
- Commission and Slippage: Accurate settings prevent overestimation of profitability and ensure the strategy remains viable after accounting for trading costs.
Conclusion
The BBP Strategy with Volume-Percentile TP offers a robust framework by combining BBP indicators with volume and percentile analyses. Its dynamic take-profit mechanism, tailored through ATR adjustments, ensures that traders can effectively capture profits while managing risks in varying market conditions.
Fibonacci Retracement Strategy for CryptoThe Enhanced Fibonacci Retracement Strategy is designed to help traders capitalize on key Fibonacci levels for both long and short trades. This script automatically identifies significant swing highs and lows within a customizable lookback period and dynamically plots Fibonacci retracement levels (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%) as support and resistance levels.
Key Features:
Automatic Fibonacci Levels:
The script identifies the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period to calculate Fibonacci retracement levels.
Dual-Directional Trading:
Long Trades: Triggered when the price crosses above the 61.8% retracement level, anticipating a reversal.
Short Trades: Triggered when the price crosses below the 38.2% retracement level, capturing potential downward movement.
Compact Line Option:
Users can toggle "Compact Fibonacci Lines" to reduce visual clutter on the chart, making the lines shorter and easier to interpret.
Dynamic Alerts:
Alerts are embedded directly into the strategy logic for entry and exit points.
Long Entry: Triggered when the price bounces above the 61.8% level.
Long Exit: Triggered when the price reaches the 23.6% level.
Short Entry: Triggered when the price crosses below the 38.2% level.
Short Exit: Triggered when the price reaches the 78.6% level.
Clear Visualization:
Fibonacci levels are plotted with distinct colors and dashed lines (optional compact view),
providing traders with clear and actionable levels to make decisions.
Inputs:
Lookback Period: Number of candles to calculate swing highs and lows.
Plot Fibonacci Levels: Toggle to enable/disable plotting levels.
Compact Fibonacci Lines: Reduce the length of Fibonacci lines for a cleaner chart.
How It Works:
The strategy identifies a high-low range within the lookback period.
Fibonacci levels are calculated based on the range and plotted on the chart.
Long Trade Example:
Enter when the price crosses above the 61.8% level.
Exit when the price reaches the 23.6% level.
Short Trade Example:
Enter when the price crosses below the 38.2% level.
Exit when the price reaches the 78.6% level.
Best Use Cases:
Trending Markets: Use retracements to time entries in the direction of the trend.
Range-Bound Markets: Identify and trade reversals near key Fibonacci levels.
Important Notes:
This strategy is not financial advice and should be backtested thoroughly before live trading.
Risk management is crucial! Consider using stop-loss orders for protection.
Customize inputs to suit your preferred timeframe and trading style.
EMA SHIFT & PARALLEL [n_dot]BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
This strategy was developed for CRYPTO FUTURES, (the settings for ETHUSDT.P) . I aimed for the strategy to function in a live environment, so I focused on making its operation realistic:
When determining the position, only 80% (adjustable) of the available cash is invested to reduce the risk of position liquidation.
I account for a 0.05% commission, typical on the futures market, for each entry and exit.
Concept:
I modified a simple, well-known method: the crossover of two exponential moving averages (FAST, SLOW) generates the entry and exit signals.
I enhanced the base idea as follows:
For the fast EMA, I incorporated a multiplier (offset) to filter out market noise and focus only on strong signals.
I use different EMAs for long and short entry points; both have their own FAST and SLOW EMAs and their own offset. For longs, the FAST EMA is adjusted downward (<1), while for shorts, it is adjusted upward (>1). Consequently, the signal is generated when the modified FAST EMA crosses the SLOW EMA.
Risk Management:
The position includes the following components:
Separate stop-losses for long and short positions.
Separate trailers for long and short positions.
The strategy operates so that the entry point is determined by the EMA crossover, while the exit is governed only by the Stop Loss or Trailer. Optionally, it can be set to close the position at the EMA recrossing ("Close at Signal").
Trailer Operation:
An entry percentage and offset are defined. The trailer activates when the price surpasses the entry price, calculated automatically by the system.
The trailer closes the position when the price drops by the offset percentage from the highest reached price.
Example for trailer:
Purchase Price = 100
Trailer Enter = 5% → Activation Price = 105 (triggers trailer if market price crosses it).
Trailer Offset = 2%
If the price rises to 110, the exit price becomes 107.8.
If the price goes to 120, the exit price becomes 117.6.
If the price falls below 117.6, the trailer closes the position.
Settings:
Source: Determines the market price reference.
End Close: Closes positions at the end of the simulation to avoid "shadow positions" and provide an objective result.
Lot proportional to free cash (%): Only a portion of free cash is invested to meet margin requirements.
Plot Short, Plot Long: Simplifies displayed information by toggling indicator lines on/off.
Long Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast down shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss long (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent above the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Short Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast up shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss short (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent below the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Operational Framework:
If in a long position and a short EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the long and opens a short (flip).
If in a short position and a long EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the short and opens a long (flip).
A position can close in three ways:
Stop Loss
Trailer
Signal Recrossing
If none are active, the position remains open until the end of the simulation.
Observations:
Shifts significantly deviating from 1 increase overfitting risk. Recommended ranges: 0.96–0.99 (long) and 1.01–1.05 (short).
The strategy's advantage lies in risk management, crucial in leveraged futures markets. It operates with relatively low DrawDown.
Recommendations:
Bullish Market: Higher entry threshold (e.g., 6%) and larger offset (e.g., 3%).
Volatile/Sideways Market: Tighter parameters (e.g., 3%, 1%).
The method is stable, and minor parameter adjustments do not significantly impact results, helping assess overfitting: if small changes lead to drastic differences, the strategy is over-optimized.
EMA Settings: Adjust FAST and SLOW EMAs based on the asset's volatility and cyclicality.
On the crypto market, especially in the Futures market, short time periods (1–15 minutes) often show significant noise, making patterns/repetitions hard to identify. I recommend setting the interval to at least 1 hour.
I hope this contributes to your success!
DCA Strategy with HedgingThis strategy implements a dynamic hedging system with Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) based on the 34 EMA. It can hold simultaneous long and short positions, making it suitable for ranging and trending markets.
Key Features:
Uses 34 EMA as baseline indicator
Implements hedging with simultaneous long/short positions
Dynamic DCA for position management
Automatic take-profit adjustments
Entry confirmation using 3-candle rule
How it Works
Long Entries:
Opens when price closes above 34 EMA for 3 candles
Adds positions every 0.1% price drop
Takes profit at 0.05% above average entry
Short Entries:
Opens when price closes below 34 EMA for 3 candles
Adds positions every 0.1% price rise
Takes profit at 0.05% below average entry
Settings
EMA Length: Controls the EMA period (default: 34)
DCA Interval: Price movement needed for additional entries (default: 0.1%)
Take Profit: Profit target from average entry (default: 0.05%)
Initial Position: Starting position size (default: 1.0)
Indicators
L: Long Entry
DL: Long DCA
S: Short Entry
DS: Short DCA
LTP: Long Take Profit
STP: Short Take Profit
Alerts
Compatible with all standard TradingView alerts:
Position Opens (Long/Short)
DCA Entries
Take Profit Hits
Note: This strategy works best on lower timeframes with high liquidity pairs. Adjust parameters based on asset volatility.
