Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Скользящие средние
Ripster Trend LabelsRipster Trend Labels: This script provides labels indicating the trend and chop conditions in the market. It helps traders identify potential trading opportunities based on short-term trends. Its support my EMA Cloud System by providing labels on when Clouds turn bullish or bearish and also uses my concepts of Chop vs Trend based on premarket levels.
What Does Script Do-> It Identifies Bullish & Bearish Trend and if Market is in Chop Range or Trending
How Does it Identify Trend & Chop->
Description: The script calculates the 10-minute 12 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to determine the short-term trend direction. It's based on the Ripster 10-minute trading system, and it's recommended to use it in conjunction with the 5-12 and 34-50 Ripster Cloud scripts for more effective analysis.
For Sake of simplicity only using 12 & 50 EMA to create the labels, this should be used with the Clouds itself for better analysis.
This Script also calculates when Price is moving over premarket pivot or moving under premarket pivots. These Pivots are High or Lows in premarket in this version. The move over Pivot Signals the Trend , if Stock or ETF remains in those pivots, it is considered as Chop.
For now I am only using Premarket Data and my principles of Chop Vs Trend based on that to identify this direction. In future versions, I might implement Daily levels or Yesterday High Lows, to add more pivots for more accurately identifying chop ranges or if we are in Trend.
Table Display: The script displays the trend and chop labels in a table format on the chart, making it easier for traders to interpret the information.
How to Trade and Analyze Using Ripster Clouds Labels:
I recommend using my Ripster Clouds Indicator with these labels for best use
For High Probability Bullish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bullish means trend is strong and its High Probability Long.
For High Probability Bearish Trend Trades
-> When All 3 Columns Price Action, Ripster 34/50 Clouds & Ripster 5/12 are bearish means trend is strong bearish and High Probability Long
Identifying Chop
-> If price action label says Chop its most likely sideways action even though other two columns are saying Bearish or Bullish. We can still trade because combination of other two is still strong Trend Signal, but its better to risk less when labels are showing Chop
By using this script, traders can make more informed decisions about entering and exiting trades based on the current market conditions identified by the trend and chop labels.
VWAP 8EMA Crossover Scalping IndicatorWhy?
Everybody, especially in Indian context, from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM, wants to trade in BankNifty.
And even 15m is Too Big timeframe for The Great Indian Options buyers. Everyone knows how potentially BankNifty (& FinNifty on Tuesday and Sensex on Friday) can show dance within 15m.
So there always been an overarching longing among traders to have something in shorter timeframes. And this 5m timeframe, looks like a universally (sic) accepted Standard Timeframe for Indian Options traders.
So here is this.
What?
The time we are publishing this public indicator Indian market (Nifty) is in ATH at ~22200.
In any such super trending market it's always good to wait for a dip and then in suitable time, enter the trade in the direction of the larger trend. The reversal trading systems, in such a situation, proves to be ineffective.
Of course there are time when market is sideways and keeps on oscillating between +/2 standard deviation of the 20 SMA. In such a situation the reversal play works perfectly. But not so in such a trending market.
So the question comes up - after a dip what's the right point to enter.
Hence comes the importance of such a crossover based trading system.
In this indicator, it's a well-known technique (nothing originally from ours, it's taken from social media, exact one we forgot) to find out the 8EMA and VWAP crossover.
So we learned from social media, practice in our daily trading a bit, actuate it and now publishing it.
A few salient points
It does not make sense to jump into the trade just on the crossover (or crossunder).
So we added some more sugar to it, e.g. we check the color the candle. Also the next candle if crosses and closes above (or below) the breakout candle's high/low.
The polarity (color) of both the alert (breakout/breakdown) and confirmation candle to be same (green for crossover, red from crossunder).
Of course, it does provider BUY and SELL alerts separately.
These all we have found out doing backtesting and forward testing with 1/2 lots and saw this sort of approaches works.
Hence all of these are added to this script.
Nomenclature
Here green line is the 8EMA and the red line is the VWAP.
Also there is a black dotted line. That's 50 EMA. It's to show you the trend.
The recent trade is shown in the top right of the chart as green (for buy) or red (for sell) with SL and 1:1 target.
How to trade using this system?
This is roughly we have found the best possible use of this indicator.
Lets explain with a bullish BUY positive crossover (means 8EMA is crossing over the daily VWAP)
Keep timeframe as 5m
Check the direction/slope of the black dotted line (50 EMA). If it's upwards, only take bullish positions.
Open the chart which has the VWAP. (e.g. FinNifty spot or MidcapNifty spot does not have vwap). So in those cases Future is the way to go.
Wait for a breakout crossover and let the indicator gives a green, triangular UP arrow.
Draw a horizontal line to the close of that candle for next few (say 6 candles i.e. 30m) candles.
Wait for the price first to retest the 8EMA or even better the VWAP (or near to the 8EMA, VWAP)
Let the price moves and closes above the horizontal line drawn in the 4th step.
Take a bullish trade, keeping VWAP as the SL and 1:1 as the target.
Additionally, Options buyer can consult ADX also to see if the ADX is more than 25 and moving up for the bullish trade. (This has to be added seperately in the chart, it's not a part of the indicator).
Mention
The concept we have taken from some social media. Forget exactly where we heard this first time. We just coded it with some additional steps.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context: We are not SEBI registered.
Triple MA HTF strategy - Dynamic SmoothingThe triple MA strategy is a simple but effective method to trade the trend. The advantage of this script over the existing triple MA strategies is that the user can open a lower time frame chart and select higher time frame inputs for different MA types mainting the visibility on the chart. The dynamic smoothing code makes sure the HTF trendlines are not jagged, but a fluid line visiable on the lower time frame chart. The script comes with a MA crossover and crossunder strategy explained below.
Moving Averages (MA) Crossover for Entry:
Long Entry: A long entry signal is triggered when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside. However, to validate this signal, the strategy checks if the moving average 3 on a higher time frame (eg. 4 hour) is in an upward trend. This additional filter ensures that the trade aligns with the prevailing trend on a broader time scale, increasing the probability of success.
Short Entry: Conversely, a short entry signal occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a possible downturn in market momentum. However, for a short trade to be confirmed, the strategy verifies that the moving average 3 on the higher time frame is in a downward trend. This confirmation ensures that the trade is in harmony with the overarching market direction.
Exit from Long Position: The strategy triggers an exit signal from a long position when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential reversal in the market trend, prompting the trader to close their long position and take profits or minimize losses.
Exit from Short Position: Similarly, an exit signal from a short position occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside, prompting the trader to exit their short position and manage their risk accordingly.
Features of the script
This Triple MA Strategy is basically the HTF Trend Filter displayed 3 times on the chart. For more infomation on how the MA with dynamic smoothing is calculated I recommend reading the following script:
For risk management I included a simple script to opt for % of eauity or # of contracts of in the instrument. For explanation on how the risk management settings work I refer to my ealier published script:
The strategy is a simplified example for setting up an entry and exit logic based on multiple moving avarages. Hence the script is meant for educational purposes only.
Fusion Traders - RSI Overbought/Oversold + Divergence IndicatorFusion Traders - RSI Overbought/Oversold + Divergence Indicator - new version
This indicator has lots of various add ons.
RSI overbought / oversold with changeable inputs
Divergence indicator
DESCRIPTION:
This script combines the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ), Moving Average and Divergence indicator to make a better decision when to enter or exit a trade.
- The Moving Average line (MA) has been made hidden by default but enhanced with an RSIMA cloud.
- When the RSI is above the selected MA it turns into green and when the RSI is below the select MA it turns into red.
- When the RSI is moving into the Overbought or Oversold area, some highlighted areas will appear.
- When some divergences or hidden divergences are detected an extra indication will be highlighted.
- When the divergence appear in the Overbought or Oversold area the more weight it give to make a decision.
- The same colour pallet has been used as the default candlestick colours so it looks familiar.
HOW TO USE:
The prerequisite is that we have some knowledge about the Elliot Wave Theory, the Fibonacci Retracement and the Fibonacci Extension tools.
We are hoping you like this indicator and added to your favourite indicators. If you have any question then comment below, and I'll do my best to help.
FEATURES:
• You can show/hide the RSI .
• You can show/hide the MA.
• You can show/hide the lRSIMA cloud.
• You can show/hide the Stoch RSI cloud.
• You can show/hide and adjust the Overbought and Oversold zones.
• You can show/hide and adjust the Overbought Extended and Oversold Extended zones.
• You can show/hide the Overbought and Oversold highlighted zones.
HOW TO GET ACCESS TO THE SCRIPT:
• Favorite the script and add it to your chart.
TrendFusion Pro (BETA)The TrendFusion Pro (BETA) combines advanced trend analysis, dynamic RSI insights, and price target prediction in one comprehensive tool. Here's how to customize its settings to optimize your trading strategy:
Candle Style:
Options: Traditional Candle, Super Trend Heiken Ashi Candle
Description: Select your preferred candle visualization. Traditional candles are best for classic chart analysis, while Super Trend Heiken Ashi candles help in identifying trends by smoothing price movements.
How to Use: Choose "Super Trend Heiken Ashi Candle" for trend following strategies or "Traditional Candle" for patterns and reversal strategies.
This setting allows you to match the candle visualization to your trading strategy, enhancing chart clarity and trend recognition.
Trend Analysis Settings:
Trend Strength & Smoothing Period: Adjust these to define what constitutes a trend on your chart, allowing for customization based on volatility and your trading timeframe.
How to Use: Increase the trend strength for longer-term trends or decrease it for short-term movements. Adjust the smoothing period based on the asset's volatility.
Fine-tuning these parameters helps in tailoring the trend analysis to your specific market approach, enhancing the accuracy of trend signals.
RSI Settings:
RSI Length, Overbought/Oversold Levels: Customize the RSI to fit your risk tolerance and strategy. Altering these parameters changes the frequency and sensitivity of overbought/oversold signals.
How to Use: Set your RSI length and thresholds based on the asset's historical performance and your trading strategy.
Adjusting the RSI settings allows for a more nuanced approach to momentum analysis, providing clearer signals for entry and exit points.
Price Target Interest (%):
Description: Define a percentage to calculate potential upward and downward price targets from the current price.
How to Use: Use this setting to identify potential profit targets or stop-loss levels based on your risk-reward ratio.
This feature offers a dynamic method for setting realistic and strategic price targets, aiding in risk management and profit maximization.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis Table:
Description: Displays the trend direction across multiple timeframes, providing a comprehensive view of the market's momentum.
How to Use: Enable this table to align your trades with the broader market trend for higher success rates.
Understanding market direction across different timeframes can significantly improve the timing and effectiveness of your trading decisions.
Previous Day High, Low, and Average Lines:
Description: Visual markers for the previous day's high, low, and average prices.
How to Use: These markers can be used as key levels for breakout, reversal, or continuation strategies.
Incorporating these levels into your analysis provides historical context, offering critical support and resistance zones for your trades.
Signal Visibility:
Long/Short Signals, Exit Signals, RSI Signals: Customize which signals are displayed on your chart to match your trading strategy and reduce clutter.
How to Use: Enable the signals that align with your trading strategy, whether it be trend following, reversal trading, or momentum trading.
Selectively displaying signals helps in focusing on the most relevant trading opportunities, reducing distractions and improving decision-making.
Conclusion:
The TrendFusion Pro (BETA) is designed to offer traders a comprehensive, intuitive, and customizable tool for market analysis. By understanding and utilizing these settings, traders can tailor the tool to meet their specific needs, enhancing their ability to make informed trading decisions in different market conditions. Experiment with different settings in a demo account to find the optimal configuration for your trading approach.
Herrick Payoff Index @shrilssThis indicator combines elements of price action, volume, and open interest to provide insights into market strength and potential trend reversals. This script calculates the Herrick Payoff Index (HPI) based on a modified formula that incorporates volume and open interest adjustments.
The HPI is derived from comparing the current day's mean price to the previous day's mean price, factoring in volume and open interest changes. By analyzing these factors, the indicator aims to gauge the effectiveness of market participants' positions.
Key Features:
- HPI Calculation: The HPI value is calculated using the formula: ((M - My) * C * V) * (1 + |OI - OI | / min(OI, OI )), where M represents the mean price for the current day, My represents the mean price for the previous day, C is a constant (set to 1), V is the volume, and OI is the open interest. This adjusted calculation accounts for changes in volume and open interest, providing a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
- Moving Averages: The script also includes two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of the HPI values, allowing traders to identify trends and potential reversal points. Users can customize the length of these moving averages to suit their trading strategies.
- Visual Signals: The indicator visually represents the HPI values and their relationship to the moving averages. When the HPI value is above the shorter-term EMA, it suggests bullish momentum, while values below indicate bearish sentiment.
ADX Oscillator @shrilssThis Indicator calculates the Average Directional Index (ADX), a popular indicator used to quantify the strength of a trend. Additionally, it computes the Positive Directional Index (+DI) and Negative Directional Index (-DI), which measure the strength of upward and downward price movements respectively.
What sets this script apart is its enhanced ADX calculations. It incorporates Moving Averages (MAs) of the +DI and -DI to offer a smoother representation of trend direction. By averaging these directional indices over a specified period, it aims to filter out noise and provide clearer signals of trend strength.
Traders have the flexibility to visualize the traditional ADX alongside the enhanced ADX oscillator. The script also highlights potential buying and selling opportunities based on crossover events between the directional indices and the ADX, helping traders identify optimal entry and exit points.
With customizable parameters such as the length of the Directional Movement (DM), ADX, and MA periods, this script empowers traders to adapt the indicator to different market conditions and timeframes.
MTF VWAPThis indicator is an enhanced version of the traditional VWAP, providing traders with multiple timeframe views, automatic session anchoring, and customization options for optimized technical analysis.
Key Features:
1. Multiple Timeframes, One View : Visualize Daily, Weekly, Monthly, and Yearly VWAP calculations simultaneously on a single chart.
2. Automatic Anchoring : The indicator intelligently auto-anchors each VWAP calculation to the start of its respective session. This ensures accurate readings and streamlines your analysis by eliminating the need for manual adjustments.
3. Customizability : Tailor the appearance of the indicator with fully customizable colors and the ability to select your preferred price source (e.g., high, low, close, hlc3, hlcc4, or a custom one).
Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
Liquidation Longs/Shorts [UAlgo]🔶Description:
The "Liquidation Longs/Shorts " indicator is designed to identify potential liquidation levels for long and short positions. It calculates the distance of the selected price source (close, high, low, or open) from two moving averages (MA) and plots the resulting values on the chart. When the price is at an extreme distance from the moving averages, it suggests a potential liquidation point for either long or short positions.
🔶Key Features:
Liquidation Calculations: The indicator calculates the distance of the selected price source from two moving averages: a simple moving average (SMA) and an exponential moving average (EMA) with customizable lengths.
Color Customization: Users can customize the colors of the plotted columns representing the distance from the moving averages for long and short liquidation levels.
Liquidation Circles: The indicator marks potential liquidation levels with small circles on the chart, with customizable colors for long and short liquidations.
Orange Circles -> Identifies Potential Short Liquidations
Aqua Circles -> Identifies Potential Long Liquidations
Example:
Adaptive Source Selection: Traders can select the price source (close, high, low, or open) for liquidation calculations, allowing flexibility based on their trading strategies.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation: The indicator dynamically adjusts the liquidation threshold based on the selected moving average lengths, providing adaptability to changing market conditions.
Disclaimer:
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
This indicator serves as a tool to assist traders in identifying potential liquidation levels, but it should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management practices for effective trading decision-making.
Normalised Gaussian MACD Heikin Ashi [AlgoAlpha]🌟🚀Introducing the Normalised Gaussian MACD Heikin Ashi by AlgoAlpha !
Elevate your trading game with this multipurpose indicator, crafted to pinpoint trend continuation opportunities while highlighting volatility and oversold/overbought conditions. Whether you're embarking on your trading journey or you're a seasoned market navigator, this tool is equipped with intuitive visual cues to amplify your decision-making prowess and enrich your market analysis toolkit. Let's dive into the key features, utilization strategies, and the innovative logic underpinning this indispensable trading asset.
Key Features:
🔧 Enhanced Customization : Tailor your experience with adjustable parameters including Fast Length, Slow Length, Source, Macd Smoothing Length, Signal Smoothing, and more.
🖌️ Visual Enhancements : Opt for Heikin Ashi Candles display and choose to show or hide MACD and Signal lines for a clutter-free chart.
🌈 Color Customization : Personalize your chart with selectable primary and secondary up and down colors to suit your visual preferences.
🔔 Advanced Alert System : Stay ahead with comprehensive alert conditions for market movements, including trend reversals, bullish and bearish swings.
How to Use:
Configure the Inputs : Start by customizing the indicator’s settings to match your trading style. Adjust the length parameters, source selection, and smoothing lengths to fine-tune the indicator’s sensitivity.
Interpret the Candles and Colors : Keep an eye on the Heikin Ashi Candles (if enabled) and the color shifts within the MACD Line Candles and Histogram. These visual cues are pivotal for identifying market trends.
Analyze with Flexibility : Make use of the option to display or hide the MACD and Signal lines based on your analysis requirements. This can help in focusing on the essential information without overcrowding your chart.
Utilize Alerts for Timely Decisions : Leverage the extensive alert system to get notified about potential market movements. These alerts can help you capture the right moment to enter or exit trades.
Basic Logic:
The Normalised Gaussian MACD Heikin Ashi by AlgoAlpha integrates Gaussian filters to elevate the traditional MACD indicator's efficiency, providing a more detailed analysis of market trends and momentum. This sophisticated approach reduces noise and enhances signal speed, which is crucial for identifying momentum trading opportunities.
Gaussian Filter Implementation : The core innovation lies in applying a Gaussian filter to the input price series. This mathematical technique smooths the price data, significantly reducing market noise and making trend signals clearer and more reliable. The Gaussian filter calculates a smoothed value for each data point by weighting nearby data points, with the weights decreasing as the distance from the current data point increases.
Refined MACD Calculation : The Gaussian MACD is derived from the difference between two Gaussian smoothed moving averages (fast and slow), which are then normalized to account for market volatility. This normalization process involves dividing the difference by a measure of market range (such as the high minus the low), and multiplying by a factor (usually 100) to scale the indicator appropriately.
🔑 This script is a versatile tool designed to aid in the identification of momentum and reversals, helping traders to make informed decisions based on technical analysis. Its customization options allow for a tailored analysis experience, fitting the unique needs and strategies of each trader.
Stoch + RSI Oscillator @shrilssThis script combines two powerful indicators, the Stochastic Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), to offer traders a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
The Stochastic Oscillator, known for its effectiveness in identifying overbought and oversold conditions, is enhanced here with a smoothing mechanism to provide clearer signals. The script calculates the %K and %D lines of the Stochastic Oscillator, then applies a smoothing factor to %K, resulting in a smoother representation of price momentum.
Simultaneously, the RSI component offers insights into the strength of price movements. By comparing the average gains and losses over a specified period, it provides a measure of bullish and bearish sentiment within the market.
This script's innovation lies in its integration of these two indicators. The Stochastic Oscillator's smoothed %K line and the RSI are compared to dynamic thresholds, enabling traders to identify potential trend reversals and confirmations more effectively. When the RSI crosses above or below the Stochastic %D line, it can signal potential shifts in market momentum.
Time Candle Range HistoryThe 'Intraday Candle Range Average' indicator is designed to provide traders with insights into the average price range of intraday candles, specifically focusing on the period around 9:30 AM. By calculating the difference between the high and low of candles occurring at 9:30 AM, the indicator offers a dynamic view of market volatility during this critical time window. Users can customize parameters such as the number of days to consider for the average calculation, allowing for flexibility in analyzing short-term price movements. Additionally, the indicator offers a clear visualization of the current candle range compared to the historical average, aiding traders in identifying potential trading opportunities based on volatility patterns. Whether used independently or in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, the 'Intraday Candle Range Average' indicator empowers traders with valuable insights into intraday market dynamics.
MACD All In One Screener [ChartPrime]INTRODUCTION
MACD All In One Screener (ChartPrime) is a multi instrument, multi timeframe indicator designed to provide traders with a comprehensive solution to monitoring the market. This indicator is designed to be easy to use and visually appealing while also being highly flexible and feature rich. Users can pick up to 10 symbols not including the chart's symbol and set up alerts for many different signals that the MACD produces. One standout feature of this indicator is its ability to display not only each symbol individually as a MACD but you can also view its chart from within this indicator. This removes the need to flip between symbols to see the price action for your basket.
On top of that we have designed this indicator to be friendly with "indicator on indicator" by providing outputs for all of the standards of price that users may want. Included is an overview section that shows all of the symbols signals symbolically over time. Additionally we have included a table for easy monitoring. This table includes the symbol, its timeframe, the current alert, and its histogram state. To make things as user friendly as possible we have also included rich error handling that tells you exactly what is wrong with your configuration.
HOW TO USE
To use this indicator, simply add it to your chart and navigate to the settings. From there select the symbols you want to monitor and the timeframes you want to use. Next you want to navigate down to the alerts section to select the what alerts you want to receive, and what symbols you want to get alerts for. Finally, you wan to create your alert using "Any alert() function call". Now your screener is all set up!
OVERVIEW OF INPUTS
View allows you to select what the indicator currently displays. You can pick from any one of the selected symbols, an overview of all of the symbols, or simply nothing. If you want to only use the table, "None" is provided so you can move the indicator into the chart panel.
View Toggle lets you pick from displaying the MACD for the selected symbol or the Price Action as a candle chart. To see your "indicator on indicator" you will have to select a symbol from the view list. There is a bug where if you select "Overview" while you are using "indicator on indicator" your added indicator will see the last symbol you viewed. To fix this, simply change the setting of your overlaid indicator and it will correct its self.
History Length is the number of historical bars to calculate over. This feature is here to prevent the indicator from breaking due to uneven historical data between the symbols.
Show Price Line toggles a dotted line that follows the current symbols closing price when "Price" is selected under the "View Toggle" dropdown.
Show Symbol Label toggles a label that displays the current symbols name and timeframe. This only impacts the single symbol view.
Overview Label Color adjusts the color of the symbol labels for both overview and single symbol view.
MA Type lets you pick what kind of moving average you want to use for the oscillator or signal. You can pick from the standard SMA or EMA.
Fast Length is a standard input for MACD. This lets you pick the period of the fast MA.
Slow Length , just like Fast Lenght, is a standard input for MACD. This lets you pick the period of the slow MA.
Signal Length is another standard input for MACD. This lets you configure the period of the signal MA.
MACD Cross Overlay Icon is a toggle to display MACD crosses when viewing a single symbol's MACD. When the MACD has a bullish cross it will plot a bullish dot, and when it has a bearish cross it will plot a bearish dot. This is purely visual.
Regular Bullish and Bearish toggles the visual display of the divergences on the single symbol view. This does not effect the indicators ability do send alerts.
Divergence Look Right adjusts the number of bars into the future to look for confirmation of a signal. This directly impacts lag but enhances stability.
Divergence Look Left adjusts the number of bars into the past to check for a signal. A longer period will filter out smaller moves
Maximum Lookback adjusts the maximum size of a divergence.
Minimum Lookback adjusts the minimum size of a divergence.
Divergence Drawings picks how you want to visualize the divergence. You can pick from displaying it as a line, a label, or both.
Enable Table toggles the overview table. When enabled it will show you the enabled symbols and their current state. From left to right: symbol name, timeframe, current alert, and histogram state.
Position picks where on the chart you want the table to be.
Text Color adjusts the text color of the table.
BG Color adjusts the background color of the table.
Frame Color adjust the frame color of the table.
Current Symbol Time Frame adjusts the timeframe of the chart's symbol.
Symbol 1 - 10 pick "Symbol's" symbol and timeframe. To use higher timeframes, the symbol's have to be the same type. You can't have a crypto and a stock using HTF at the same time as they don't have the same sessions and will result in an error. You can use unsafe mode (as described below) to potentially get around this.
Enable Symbol when enabled it will give you alerts for the symbol. This also enables the symbol in the overview. If this is disabled it won't send alerts, and it will not show up in overview, or the table.
Wait for Close enables waiting for the bar to close before printing an alert.
Alert Symbol Size picks what size you want the overview symbols to be.
Enable Cross Over 0 Alert: MACD crosses over the 0 line.
Enable Cross Under 0 Alert: MACD crosses under the 0 line.
Enable MACD Cross Bullish Alert: Bullish MACD cross.
Enable MACD Cross Bearish Alert: Bearish MACD cross.
Enable Histogram Bullish Turn Alert: MACD begins to turn bullish but hasn't crossed.
Enable Histogram Bearish Turn Alert: MACD begins to turn bearish but hasn't crossed.
Enable Histogram Bullish Continuation Alert: MACD is in a bullish cross state and it was declining but began rising again.
Enable Histogram Bearish Continuation Alert: MACD is in a bearish cross state and it was rising but began falling again.
Enable Bullish/Bearish Divergence Alert enables divergence alerts. Divergences are lagging, especially on a higher timeframe. These alerts will also tell you the time in the past when the divergence occurred.
Color Section is provided to allow for personalization of the indicator. Everything can be adjusted here.
Disable Error Checking: Only enable this if you want to bypass the built in error checking. This will enable 'Safe Requesting'. Safe Requesting will only request enabled symbols and you will not be able to view symbols that are not enabled in this mode. Only use this if you want to mix symbol types and you know it will work. (An example would be viewing stocks and SPY at the same time.)
CONCLUSION
The MACD All In One Screener (ChartPrime) is a versatile indicator designed to monitor multiple symbols across various timeframes. The flexibility in customization, from MACD settings to visual alerts and table presentations, allows users to tailor the screener to their needs and preferences. We hope you find this as useful and interesting as we do and wish you good luck in the market!
Enjoy
Volume Spike IndicatorHello dear traders,
Today we're discussing an indicator I've coded: the Volume Spike Indicator (VSI).
The indicator isn't a groundbreaking invention and certainly not a novelty. Nevertheless, I haven't seen this version of the indicator on TradingView before, so I'd like to introduce it.
1. The Origin of the Idea:
We're all familiar with volume charts: A volume chart visually represents the trading activity for a specific asset over a certain period, indicating the total number of shares or contracts traded.
We also know that volume spikes can significantly impact the market. A volume spike represents an extreme anomaly, a day, week, or month with an extraordinary amount of trading. However, recognizing these spikes in practice isn't always straightforward. What constitutes high volume? How do we define and identify it? The answers to these questions aren't easy.
It's commonly said that a volume spike could be identified if the volume is 25% more than the average of the two weeks prior, but how do you measure this 25%? It's not always easy to calculate, especially in real-time.
This challenge led me to develop the concept into an indicator.
How Does It Work?
Imagine being able to "feel" the market's energy like a surfer feels the ocean. The VSI does something similar by examining trading volume and comparing it to what has been typical over the past few weeks. Here's a quick look at the magic behind it:
Step 1: Establishing the Baseline: We start by establishing a baseline, i.e., the average trading volume over a given period. Let's use the last 10 days as the default setting. We choose 10 days because, in the traditional stock market, 10 days represent two weeks if you subtract weekends. This gives us a fixed line to compare against.
Step 2: Recognizing Peaks: Next, we look for days when the trading volume significantly exceeds this average. The size of the jump is where you have a say. You can set a threshold, such as 25%, to define what you consider a volume spike.
Step 3: The Calculation: This is where the math comes into play. We calculate the percentage change in today's volume compared to the average volume of the last 10 days. For example, if today's volume is 30% above the average and you've set your threshold at 25%, the VSI will recognize this as a spike.
Step 4: Visual Cue: These spikes are then plotted on a graph, with each spike represented as a bar. The height of the bar indicates the spike's percentage size, so you can see at a glance how significant a spike is.
Step 5: Intuitive Color Coding: For quick analysis, the VSI employs a color-coding system. Exceptionally high peaks, such as those exceeding a 100% increase, are highlighted in blue to emphasize their importance. Other peaks are shown in red, creating a visual hierarchy for quick volume data interpretation.
Why This Matters:
Identifying these spikes can help pinpoint the beginning or end of a trend. The idea is that when trading peaks at a certain level, there might be no more buyers or sellers willing to engage at that price level. Volume peaks, and a reversal is likely imminent. It's a simple yet effective concept. Therefore, it's crucial to use this indicator in the context of the trend, as not every spike carries the same significance.
Customizable:
The beauty of the VSI lies in its flexibility. Trading futures? You might want to adjust the averaging period to 14 days to better suit your market. You have full control over the settings to tailor them to your trading style.
Interpreting the Figures:
A positive percentage indicates a volume spike above the average – the higher the percentage, the more significant the spike.
If the percentage exceeds a certain threshold (which you can set, e.g., 25%), it signals a volume spike, indicating increased market activity that could precede significant price movement.
What makes the VSI genuinely adaptable is your ability to tweak the parameters to suit your needs.
Are you trading in a volatile market? Extend the SMA period to smooth out the noise. Trading in a 24-hour market? Adjust the length of your SMA. Seeking finer details? Shorten it. The VSI is yours to adapt to your trading strategy.
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As we wrap up this introduction to the Volume Spike Indicator, I hope you're as excited about its potential as I am. This tool, born out of curiosity and a desire for clarity in the vast ocean of market data, is designed to be your ally in navigating the waves of trading activity.
Remember, the true power of the VSI lies not just in its ability to highlight significant volume spikes, but in its adaptability to your unique trading style and needs. Whether you're charting courses through the tumultuous seas of day trading or navigating the broader currents of long-term investments, the VSI is here to offer insights and guidance.
I encourage you to experiment with it, customize it, and see how it can enhance your trading strategy. And as you do, remember that every tool, no matter how powerful, is just one piece of the puzzle. Combine the VSI with your knowledge, experience, and intuition to make informed and strategic trading decisions.
Thank you for taking the time to explore the Volume Spike Indicator with me.
Best Regards,
Karim Subhieh
Elder Force Index Oscillator @shrilssThe "Elder Force Index Oscillator" is a comprehensive tool designed to assess the strength and direction of trends in the market. This indicator combines volume and price movement to provide traders with valuable insights into market dynamics.
Key Features:
- Volume Weighted: The oscillator considers both price changes and volume, emphasizing the significance of volume in confirming price movements.
- Trend Identification: Utilizing exponential moving averages (EMAs) and Bollinger Bands (BB), the indicator identifies potential trend reversals and continuations.
- Trend Strength Highlighting: With customizable options, the script highlights areas of strong and weak trend initiation, aiding traders in making informed decisions.
How It Works:
- Elder Force Index (EFI): The EFI is calculated as the EMA of price changes multiplied by volume. A positive value suggests buying pressure, while a negative value indicates selling pressure.
- EFI Moving Average (EFI MA): This smooths out the EFI, providing a clearer indication of trend direction.
- Bollinger Bands (BB): The upper and lower bands are calculated based on a specified number of standard deviations from the EFI's moving average, offering insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Kshitij Malve - Minervini Trend Criteria (MTC)Purpose:
This indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying stocks that potentially meet the bullish Stage 2 trend criteria outlined by renowned stock trader Mark Minervini. It analyzes price movement in relation to moving averages and calculates certain price thresholds to provide visual signals.
Key Features:
Minervini Stage 2 Focus: Specifically targets trend characteristics highlighted in Minervini's trading methodology.
Adjustable Moving Averages: The script includes inputs for 150-day, 200-day, and 50-day moving average lengths, allowing users to customize their analysis.
Visual Trend Criteria: Each core Stage 2 trend condition is plotted below the chart as green or red dots for quick visual assessment.
Stage 2 Uptrend Signal: When all key trend conditions are met, a purple up-arrow appears beneath the price chart.
Alerts: Customizable alerts can be set up to notify the user when all conditions are met, signaling a potential Stage 2 uptrend.
Conditions Evaluated:
Price Position: Current price is above the 50-day, 150-day, and 200-day simple moving averages.
Moving Average Alignment: 50-day MA is above the 150-day MA, which is above the 200-day MA.
Uptrending 200-day MA: The 200-day MA is demonstrating an upward trend over the specified period.
30% Above 52-Week Low: Current price is at least 30% higher than the 52-week low.
Within 25% of 52-Week High: Current price is no more than 25% below the 52-week high.
Important Notes:
This indicator does not directly plot lines for conditions 4 and 5 (52-week high/low comparisons). Consider incorporating these into your chart in some way for full technical analysis in line with the Minervini method.
For additional depth, study Mark Minervini's books to fully understand the context and strategies built around these criteria.
How to Use:
Add the "Kshitij Malve - Minervini Trend Criteria" indicator to a stock chart.
Observe the placement of colored dots below the chart. A series of green dots suggests the stock is within Minervini's Stage 2 criteria.
Look for the purple up-arrow signal for confirmation that all conditions are met.
Customize alerts if you would like real-time signals of potential Stage 2 uptrends.
Trend Continuation Signals [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Trend Continuation Signals by AlgoAlpha 🌟🚀
Elevate your trading game with this multipurpose indicator, designed to pinpoint trend continuation opportunities as well as highlight volatility and oversold/overbought conditions. Whether you're a trading novice or a seasoned market veteran, this tool offers intuitive visual cues to boost your decision-making and enhance your market analysis. Let's explore the key features, how to use it effectively, and delve into the operational mechanics that make this tool a game-changer in your trading arsenal:
Key Features:
🔥 Advanced Trend Detection : Leverages the Hull Moving Average (HMA) for superior trend tracking as compared to other MAs, offering unique insights into market momentum.
🌈 Volatility Bands : Implements adjustable bands around the trend line, which evolve with market conditions to highlight potential trading opportunities.
⚡ Trend Continuation Signals : Identifies bullish and bearish continuation signals, equipping you with actionable signals to exploit the prevailing market trend.
🎨 Intuitive Color Coding : Employs a vibrant color scheme to distinguish between uptrends, downtrends, and neutral phases, facilitating easy interpretation of the indicator's insights.
🛠 How to Use "Trend Continuation Signals ":
🔍 Setting Up : Incorporate the indicator onto your chart and customize the indicator to suite your preferences.
👀 Reading the Signals : Pay attention to the color-coded trend lines and volatility bands. Green indicates an uptrend, red signifies a downtrend, and gray denotes a neutral market condition.
📈 Identifying Entry Points : Look for bullish (▲) and bearish (▼) continuation icons below or above the price bars as signals for potential entry points for long or short positions, respectively.
🔄 Confirmation : Validate your trades with further analysis or other indicators. The Trend Continuation Signals are most effective when complemented by other technical analysis tools or fundamental insights.
📉 Risk Management : Implement stop-loss orders in line with your risk appetite and adjust them based on the volatility bands provided by the indicator to safeguard your investments.
How It Operates:
The essence of the indicator is captured through the hull moving averages for both the primary and secondary lines, set at periods of 93 and 50, respectively, to reflect market trends and pullbacks that trigger the continuation signals every time price recovers from a detected pullback.
Volatility is quantified through the standard deviation of the midline, magnified by a factor, establishing the upper and lower trend band boundaries.
Further volatility bands are plotted around the main volatility band, providing a granular view of market volatility and potential breakout or breakdown zones.
Market trend direction is determined by comparing the HMA line's current position to its previous value, enhanced by the secondary line to identify continuation patterns.
Embrace the power of the Trend Continuation Signals to enhance your trading strategy! It is important to note that all indicators are best used in confluence with other forms of analysis, happy trading! 📊💥
Inverted EMAThe concept of an inverted Exponential Moving Average (EMA) isn't commonly used in traditional technical analysis or trading strategies. Inverting the EMA essentially means taking the reciprocal of the EMA values. While it may not have widespread use or recognition, here are some potential considerations or interpretations for the inverted EMA:
1. **Inverse Trend Indicator:**
- Inverting the EMA might be considered as an alternative approach to trend analysis. When the inverted EMA is rising, it could suggest a potential bearish trend, and when it is falling, it might indicate a bullish trend. Traders might explore using this as a contrarian or unconventional trend indicator.
2. **Volatility Indicator:**
- The inverted EMA might be used as a measure of volatility. When the values are fluctuating rapidly, it could imply increased volatility in the underlying asset. This could be useful for traders who are interested in gauging market dynamics.
3. **Divergence Analysis:**
- Traders may explore divergences between price and the inverted EMA. For instance, if prices are making new highs, but the inverted EMA is not, it could signal potential weakness or divergence in the bullish trend.
4. **Inverse Moving Average Crossovers:**
- In the context of moving average crossovers, traders usually look for crossovers between shorter and longer EMAs as potential signals. Inverting this concept, crossovers between inverted short-term and long-term EMAs might be explored for unconventional trading signals.
5. **Systematic Exploration:**
- Traders and researchers sometimes experiment with unconventional indicators to discover new patterns or behaviors in the market. The inverted EMA could be part of systematic exploration to uncover unique insights that traditional indicators might not reveal.
It's important to note that the interpretation and use of the inverted EMA depend on the trader's strategy, risk tolerance, and specific market conditions. Traders should thoroughly backtest any strategy involving unconventional indicators and use them cautiously in live trading. Additionally, the effectiveness of the inverted EMA may vary across different financial instruments and timeframes.
LV Stock Valuation by Benjamin Graham's FormulaBenjamin Graham's stock valuation formula for growth companies is based on the principle that a stock is a part of a business, and that by analyzing the fundamentals of any company in the stock market, you should be able to derive its intrinsic value independent from its current stock price. Graham suggests that over the long-term, the stock price of a company and its intrinsic/fair value will converge towards each other until the stock price reflects the true value of the company. Finally, Graham recommends that after estimating the intrinsic value of a stock, investors should always purchase the stock with a "margin of safety," to protect oneself from assumptions and potential errors made in the valuation process.
Graham's stock valuation formula to calculate intrinsic value was originally shown in the 1962 edition of Security Analysis as follows:
V = EPS * (8.5 + 2g)
where:
V = intrinsic value per share (over the next 7-10 years)
EPS = earnings per share (over the trailing twelve months (TTM))
8.5 = price-to-earnings (P/E) base for a no-growth company
g = reasonably expected annual growth rate (over the next 7-10 years)
In 1974, Graham revised this formula, as published in The Intelligent Investor, to include a discount rate (aka required rate of return). This was after he concluded that the greatest contributing to stock values and prices over the past decade had been due to interest rates.
Graham's current stock valuation formula is shown below:
V = (EPS * (8.5 + 2g) * Z) / Y
where:
V = intrinsic value per share (over the next 7-10 years)
EPS = diluted earnings per share (over the trailing twelve months (TTM))
8.5 = price-to-earnings (P/E) base for a no-growth company (you can change it manually)
g = reasonably expected annual growth rate (calculated by 5-Yr EPS CAGR%) (you can change year period)
Z = average yield of XXX Bonds (4.4 is default on Graham's formula)
Y = current yield of XXX Bonds
Current bond yield values (Z and Y) are selected as an example from Turkey. You need to change it according to the country of stocks.
Buy price (BP) = Intrinsic value per share * (1 - Margin of safety %)
Margin of safety = selected 20% (you need to change it to 0, if you don’t want to use margin of safety and to see intrinsic value)
Buy price > Current market price: Consider buying the stock, as the current market price appears to be undervalued.
Buy price < Current market price: Consider selling or not buying the stock, as the current market price appears to be overvalued.
Keep in mind that this buy/sell recommendation is purely based on Graham's stock valuation formula and the current market price, and ignores all other fundamental, news, and market factors investors should examine as well before making an investment decision.
Buy price is calculated for 5 different P/E values in the script.
1. with fixed P/E
2. with current P/E
3. with forward P/E
4. with sector P/E (optional)
5. with index P/E (optional)
You can also do calculations by using different growth rate by selecting that option.
Different type of moving averages is also included in the script as an option.
VWMACD Oscillator @shrilssThe VWMACD Oscillator is a unique and innovative trading indicator designed to provide insights into market momentum using the Volume Weighted Moving Average Convergence Divergence (VWMACD) concept. This script amalgamates various elements to offer a comprehensive view of market trends and potential reversal points.
Key Features:
- Fast Period: Adjust the fast moving average period to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to short-term price movements.
- Slow Period: Set the slow moving average period to control the responsiveness of the indicator to longer-term trends.
- Signal Period: Determine the signal line period to smooth out fluctuations and identify potential trade signals.
- Longer Period: Define the longer period to capture extended trends and market cycles.
How it Works:
The VWMACD Oscillator is derived from the convergence and divergence of two volume-weighted moving averages. It combines the volume factor with the source input to create a robust momentum oscillator. The fast and slow moving averages are calculated by weighting the source with the corresponding volume, providing a unique perspective on market strength.
Dynamic Price Targets @shrilssDynamic Price Targets is a designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of dynamic price levels based on Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and standard deviation. This script allows users to identify potential support and resistance zones, aiding in strategic decision-making during market analysis.
The script calculates the VWMA of a chosen price source over a specified length, establishing a dynamic baseline for market trends. The standard deviation is then used to derive multiple upper and lower targets, each representing a certain deviation from the VWMA. These levels are color-coded for clarity, with upper targets displayed in shades of red and lower targets in shades of green.
