Simple RSI stock Strategy [1D] The "Simple RSI Stock Strategy " is designed to long-term traders. Strategy uses a daily time frame to capitalize on signals generated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This strategy is suitable for low-leverage trading environments and focuses on identifying potential buy opportunities when the market is oversold, while incorporating strong risk management with both dynamic and static Stop Loss mechanisms.
This strategy is recommended for use with a relatively small amount of capital and is best applied by diversifying across multiple stocks in a strong uptrend, particularly in the S&P 500 stock market. It is specifically designed for equities, and may not perform well in other markets such as commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies, where different market dynamics and volatility patterns apply.
Indicators Used in the Strategy:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI is a momentum oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market.
- This strategy enters long positions when the RSI drops below the oversold level (default: 30), indicating a potential buying opportunity.
- It focuses on oversold conditions but uses a filter (SMA 200) to ensure trades are only made in the context of an overall uptrend.
2. SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average):
- The 200-period SMA serves as a trend filter, ensuring that trades are only executed when the price is above the SMA, signaling a bullish market.
- This filter helps to avoid entering trades in a downtrend, thereby reducing the risk of holding positions in a declining market.
3. ATR (Average True Range):
- The ATR is used to measure market volatility and is instrumental in setting the Stop Loss.
- By multiplying the ATR value by a custom multiplier (default: 1.5), the strategy dynamically adjusts the Stop Loss level based on market volatility, allowing for flexibility in risk management.
How the Strategy Works:
Entry Signals:
The strategy opens long positions when RSI indicates that the market is oversold (below 30), and the price is above the 200-period SMA. This ensures that the strategy buys into potential market bottoms within the context of a long-term uptrend.
Take Profit Levels:
The strategy defines three distinct Take Profit (TP) levels:
TP 1: A 5% from the entry price.
TP 2: A 10% from the entry price.
TP 3: A 15% from the entry price.
As each TP level is reached, the strategy closes portions of the position to secure profits: 33% of the position is closed at TP 1, 66% at TP 2, and 100% at TP 3.
Visualizing Target Points:
The strategy provides visual feedback by plotting plotshapes at each Take Profit level (TP 1, TP 2, TP 3). This allows traders to easily see the target profit levels on the chart, making it easier to monitor and manage positions as they approach key profit-taking areas.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The strategy uses a dual Stop Loss system to effectively manage risk:
ATR Trailing Stop: This dynamic Stop Loss adjusts based on the ATR value and trails the price as the position moves in the trader’s favor. If a price reversal occurs and the market begins to trend downward, the trailing stop closes the position, locking in gains or minimizing losses.
Basic Stop Loss: Additionally, a fixed Stop Loss is set at 25%, limiting potential losses. This basic Stop Loss serves as a safeguard, automatically closing the position if the price drops 25% from the entry point. This higher Stop Loss is designed specifically for low-leverage trading, allowing more room for market fluctuations without prematurely closing positions.
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
Together, these mechanisms ensure that the strategy dynamically manages risk while offering robust protection against significant losses in case of sharp market downturns.
The position size has been estimated by me at 75% of the total capital. For optimal capital allocation, a recommended value based on the Kelly Criterion, which is calculated to be 59.13% of the total capital per trade, can also be considered.
Enjoy !
Осцилляторы
Commitment of Trader %R StrategyThis Pine Script strategy utilizes the Commitment of Traders (COT) data to inform trading decisions based on the Williams %R indicator. The script operates in TradingView and includes various functionalities that allow users to customize their trading parameters.
Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
COT Data Import:
The script imports the COT library from TradingView to access historical COT data related to different trader groups (commercial hedgers, large traders, and small traders).
User Inputs:
COT data selection mode (e.g., Auto, Root, Base currency).
Whether to include futures, options, or both.
The trader group to analyze.
The lookback period for calculating the Williams %R.
Upper and lower thresholds for triggering trades.
An option to enable or disable a Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter.
Williams %R Calculation: The script calculates the Williams %R value, which is a momentum indicator that measures overbought or oversold levels based on the highest and lowest prices over a specified period.
SMA Filter: An optional SMA filter allows users to limit trades to conditions where the price is above or below the SMA, depending on the configuration.
Trade Logic: The strategy enters long positions when the Williams %R value exceeds the upper threshold and exits when the value falls below it. Conversely, it enters short positions when the Williams %R value is below the lower threshold and exits when the value rises above it.
Visual Elements: The script visually indicates the Williams %R values and thresholds on the chart, with the option to plot the SMA if enabled.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
The COT report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that provides a breakdown of open interest positions held by different types of traders in the U.S. futures markets. It is widely used by traders and analysts to gauge market sentiment and potential price movements.
Data Collection: The COT data is collected from futures commission merchants and is published every Friday, reflecting positions as of the previous Tuesday. The report categorizes traders into three main groups:
Commercial Traders: These are typically hedgers (like producers and processors) who use futures to mitigate risk.
Non-Commercial Traders: Often referred to as speculators, these traders do not have a commercial interest in the underlying commodity but seek to profit from price changes.
Non-reportable Positions: Small traders who do not meet the reporting threshold set by the CFTC.
Interpretation:
Market Sentiment: By analyzing the positions of different trader groups, market participants can gauge sentiment. For instance, if commercial traders are heavily short, it may suggest they expect prices to decline.
Extreme Positions: Some traders look for extreme positions among non-commercial traders as potential reversal signals. For example, if speculators are overwhelmingly long, it might indicate an overbought condition.
Statistical Insights: COT data is often used in conjunction with technical analysis to inform trading decisions. Studies have shown that analyzing COT data can provide valuable insights into future price movements (Lund, 2018; Hurst et al., 2017).
Scientific References
Lund, J. (2018). Understanding the COT Report: An Analysis of Speculative Trading Strategies.
Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, 24(1), 41-52. DOI:10.1057/s41260-018-00107-3
Hurst, B., O'Neill, R., & Roulston, M. (2017). The Impact of COT Reports on Futures Market Prices: An Empirical Analysis. Journal of Futures Markets, 37(8), 763-785.
DOI:10.1002/fut.21849
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). (2024). Commitment of Traders. Retrieved from CFTC Official Website.
HFT V.2 EnhancedTitle: HFT V.2 Enhanced - ATR Dynamic Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Description:
The HFT V.2 Enhanced strategy is designed for high-frequency trading with dynamic trade management and robust entry/exit logic. This strategy uses simple moving averages (SMA) for trend identification and the relative strength index (RSI) for momentum confirmation. In this enhanced version, the strategy also incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the Average True Range (ATR), offering better adaptability to market volatility.
Features:
Moving Average Crossover: Uses a fast and slow SMA to capture trend reversals and generate trade entries.
RSI Confirmation: Ensures momentum is in the direction of the trade by incorporating the RSI threshold for both long and short entries.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the ATR, allowing the strategy to adjust its exit points according to market volatility. This helps manage risk more effectively and capture larger trends.
Auto-Close Opposing Positions: Automatically closes any open long positions when a short entry is triggered, and vice versa.
Once-Per-Bar Execution: Ensures that a position is entered only once per bar, avoiding multiple trades within the same bar.
Parameters:
Fast MA Length: Defines the length of the fast-moving average.
Slow MA Length: Defines the length of the slow-moving average.
RSI Length: Sets the period for the RSI indicator.
RSI Threshold: Controls the RSI level for confirming momentum (50 by default).
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation.
ATR Multiplier for Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Adjusts the sensitivity of the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on ATR.
How it Works:
Long Entry: The strategy opens a long trade when the fast SMA crosses above the slow SMA, and the RSI is above the user-defined threshold. A dynamic stop-loss is placed below the entry price, and a take-profit target is set based on ATR.
Short Entry: The strategy opens a short trade when the fast SMA crosses below the slow SMA, and the RSI is below the inverse threshold. A stop-loss is placed above the entry price, and a take-profit target is set using ATR.
Risk Management: The strategy adapts to changing market conditions by dynamically adjusting its stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring it remains responsive to market volatility.
This script is ideal for traders looking for a high-frequency strategy with advanced trade management, including dynamic exits and volatility-based risk management.
Disclaimer: Always backtest and optimize the parameters to fit your trading style and risk tolerance before using the strategy in live trading.
TASC 2024.10 Adaptive Oscillator Threshold█ OVERVIEW
This script introduces a more dynamic approach to generating trading signals using the RSI indicator and a threshold that adapts to price trends and dispersion. This methodology comes from Francesco Bufi's article "Overbought/Oversold Oscillators: Useless Or Just Misused" from the October 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
According to Francesco Bufi's observations, an oscillator-based buy signal should have a threshold that varies with the trend direction: higher during uptrends and lower during downtrends. Additionally, the level should decrease as the distance from the price to its mean increases to reduce signals in volatile conditions. Accordingly, Bufi proposes a formula for an adaptive buy level whose value is proportional to the trend (linear regression slope) and inversely proportional to the typical distance between price and its mean (standard deviation). Traders can apply this method to any oscillator to add adaptivity without modifying the oscillator's calculations, as it's simply an adaptive technique for interpreting the calculated values.
This script demonstrates the application of Bufi's Adaptive Threshold (BAT) in a simple RSI-based strategy and allows users to compare its performance to the traditional fixed-threshold approach. Bufi's observations suggest that using the BAT instead of a static threshold can help improve the backtest performance of oscillator-based systems.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading systems outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Larry Conners SMTP StrategyThe Spent Market Trading Pattern is a strategy developed by Larry Connors, typically used for short-term mean reversion trading. This strategy takes advantage of the exhaustion in market momentum by entering trades when the market is perceived as "spent" after extended trends or extreme moves, expecting a short-term reversal. Connors uses indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and price action patterns to identify these opportunities.
Key Elements of the Strategy:
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The strategy looks for extreme overbought or oversold conditions, often indicated by low RSI values (below 30 for oversold and above 70 for overbought).
Mean Reversion: Connors believed that markets, especially in short-term scenarios, tend to revert to the mean after periods of strong momentum. The "spent" market is assumed to have expended its energy, making a reversal likely.
Entry Signals:
In an uptrend, a stock or market index making a significant number of consecutive up days (e.g., 5-7 consecutive days with higher closes) indicates overbought conditions.
In a downtrend, a similar number of consecutive down days indicates oversold conditions.
Reversal Anticipation: Once an extreme in price movement is identified (such as consecutive gains or losses), the strategy places trades anticipating a reversion to the mean, which is usually the 5-day or 10-day moving average.
Exit Points: Trades are exited when prices move back toward their mean or when the extreme conditions dissipate, usually based on RSI or moving average thresholds.
Why the Strategy Works:
Human Psychology: The strategy capitalizes on the fact that markets, in the short term, often behave irrationally due to the emotions of traders—fear and greed lead to overextended moves.
Mean Reversion Tendency: Financial markets often exhibit mean-reverting behavior, where prices temporarily deviate from their historical norms but eventually return. Short-term exhaustion after a strong rally or sell-off offers opportunities for quick profits.
Overextended Moves: Markets that rise or fall too quickly tend to become overextended, as buyers or sellers get exhausted, making reversals more probable. Connors’ approach identifies these moments when the market is "spent" and ripe for a reversal.
Risks of the Spent Market Trading Pattern Strategy:
Trend Continuation: One of the key risks is that the market may not revert as expected and instead continues in the same direction. In trending markets, mean-reversion strategies can suffer because strong trends can last longer than anticipated.
False Signals: The strategy relies heavily on technical indicators like RSI, which can produce false signals in volatile or choppy markets. There can be times when a market appears "spent" but continues in its current direction.
Market Timing: Mean reversion strategies often require precise market timing. If the entry or exit points are mistimed, it can lead to losses, especially in short-term trades where small price movements can significantly impact profitability.
High Transaction Costs: This strategy requires frequent trades, which can lead to higher transaction costs, especially in markets with wide bid-ask spreads or high commissions.
Conclusion:
Larry Connors’ Spent Market Trading Pattern strategy is built on the principle of mean reversion, leveraging the concept that markets tend to revert to a mean after extreme moves. While effective in certain conditions, such as range-bound markets, it carries risks—especially during strong trends—where price momentum may not reverse as quickly as expected.
For a more in-depth explanation, Larry Connors’ books such as "Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work" provide a comprehensive guide to this and other strategies .
Tian Di Grid Merge Version 6.0
Strategy Introduction:
1. We know that the exchange can only set a maximum of 100 grids. However, our grid strategy can set a maximum of 350 grids.
2. We have added the modes of proportional and differential warehousing.
3. It should be noted that we have not set any filtering conditions, which means that when the price falls below the grid, we will execute a buy action at the closing price, and when the price falls above the grid, we will execute a sell action;
4. We suggest limiting the trading time cycle to 5 meters, as sometimes errors may appear on TV due to the dense grid or the inability to draw so many grids;
5. Please ensure that the minimum spacing between each grid is not less than 0.1%, as this is extremely difficult to profit from, and on the other hand, it may not function due to excessively dense spacing;
6. The maximum number of grids is 350, and the minimum number is currently 3;
matters needing attention:
Don't choose to go long or short together, and don't choose to go even short or short;
Closing position setting: It is recommended to select it to avoid order accumulation;
Unable to trade: If unable to trade normally, switch to a 1m cycle;
Number of cells: Calculate it yourself, 350 is just the maximum number of cells that can be adjusted;
Grid spacing: minimum 0.1%, below which no profit can be made;
Position value: default is 100u, which is the amount already leveraged;
Multiple investment: The order amount for each order is the same, and there is no need for multiple investment;
Open both long and short positions: You can open multiple positions for one account and open one position for one account. Do not open both long and short positions for the same target at the same time
DCA, Support and Resistance with RSI and Trend FilterThis script is based on
script from Kieranj with added pyramiding and DCA
The buy condition (buyCondition) is triggered when the RSI crosses above the oversold threshold (ta.crossover(rsi, oversoldThreshold)), the trend filter confirms an uptrend (isUptrend is true), and the close price is greater than or equal to the support level (close >= supportLevel).
The partial sell condition (sellCondition) is triggered when the RSI crosses below the overbought threshold (ta.crossunder(rsi, overboughtThreshold)) and profit goal is reached, the trend filter confirms a downtrend (isUptrend is false), and the close price is less than or equal to the resistance level (close <= resistanceLevel).
Full sell will be triggered if trend is broken and profit goal is reached
With this implementation, the signals will only be generated in the direction of the trend on the 4-hour timeframe. The trend is considered up when the 50-period SMA is below the 200-period SMA (ta.sma(trendFilterSource, 50) < ta.sma(trendFilterSource, 200)).
Pyramiding should be activated, values like 100, so every DCA step should be around 1%
i have best results on 5 min charts
Larry Connors %b Strategy (Bollinger Band)Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a mean-reversion trading approach that uses Bollinger Bands to identify buy and sell signals based on the %b indicator. This strategy was developed by Larry Connors, a renowned trader and author known for his systematic, data-driven trading methods, particularly those focusing on short-term mean reversion.
The %b indicator measures the position of the current price relative to the Bollinger Bands, which are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average. The strategy specifically targets times when prices are oversold within a long-term uptrend and aims to capture rebounds by buying at relatively low points and selling at relatively high points.
Strategy Rules
The basic rules of the %b Strategy are:
1. Trend Confirmation: The closing price must be above the 200-day moving average. This filter ensures that trades are made in alignment with a longer-term uptrend, thereby avoiding trades against the primary market trend.
2. Oversold Conditions: The %b indicator must be below 0.2 for three consecutive days. The %b value below 0.2 indicates that the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting an oversold condition.
3. Entry Signal: Enter a long position at the close when conditions 1 and 2 are met.
4. Exit Signal: Exit the position when the %b value closes above 0.8, signaling an overbought condition where the price is near the upper Bollinger Band.
How the Strategy Works
This strategy operates on the premise of mean reversion, which suggests that extreme price movements will revert to the mean over time. By entering positions when the %b value indicates an oversold condition (below 0.2) in a confirmed uptrend, the strategy attempts to capture short-term price rebounds. The exit rule (when %b is above 0.8) aims to lock in profits once the price reaches an overbought condition, often near the upper Bollinger Band.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a well-known figure in the world of financial markets and trading. He co-authored several influential trading books, including “Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work” and “High Probability ETF Trading.” Connors is recognized for his quantitative approach, focusing on systematic, rules-based strategies that leverage historical data to validate trading edges.
His work primarily revolves around short-term trading strategies, often using technical indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), Bollinger Bands, and moving averages. Connors’ methodologies have been widely adopted by traders seeking structured approaches to exploit short-term inefficiencies in the market.
Risks of the Strategy
While the %b Strategy can be effective, particularly in mean-reverting markets, it is not without risks:
1. Mean Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the assumption that prices will revert to the mean. In trending or sharply falling markets, this reversion may not occur, leading to sustained losses.
2. False Signals in Choppy Markets: In volatile or sideways markets, the strategy may generate multiple false signals, resulting in whipsaw trades that can erode capital through frequent small losses.
3. No Stop Loss: The basic implementation of the strategy does not include a stop loss, which increases the risk of holding losing trades longer than intended, especially if the market continues to move against the position.
4. Performance During Market Crashes: During major market downturns, the strategy’s buy signals could be triggered frequently as prices decline, compounding losses without the presence of a risk management mechanism.
Scientific References and Theoretical Basis
The %b Strategy relies on the concept of mean reversion, which has been extensively studied in finance literature. Studies by Avellaneda and Lee (2010) and Bouchaud et al. (2018) have demonstrated that mean-reverting strategies can be profitable in specific market environments, particularly when combined with volatility filters like Bollinger Bands. However, the same studies caution that such strategies are highly sensitive to market conditions and often perform poorly during periods of prolonged trends.
Bollinger Bands themselves were popularized by John Bollinger and are widely used to assess price volatility and detect potential overbought and oversold conditions. The %b value is a critical part of this analysis, as it standardizes the position of price relative to the bands, making it easier to compare conditions across different securities and time frames.
Conclusion
Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a well-known mean-reversion technique that leverages Bollinger Bands to identify buying opportunities in uptrending markets when prices are temporarily oversold. While the strategy can be effective under the right conditions, traders should be aware of its limitations and risks, particularly in trending or highly volatile markets. Incorporating risk management techniques, such as stop losses, could help mitigate some of these risks, making the strategy more robust against adverse market conditions.
Larry Connors RSI 3 StrategyThe Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy. It combines a moving average filter and a modified version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential buying opportunities in an uptrend. The strategy assumes that a short-term pullback within a long-term uptrend is an opportunity to buy at a discount before the trend resumes.
Components of the Strategy:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price must be above the 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend.
2-Period RSI: This is a very short-term RSI, used to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. The standard RSI is typically calculated over 14 periods, but Connors uses just 2 periods to capture extreme overbought and oversold conditions.
Three-Day RSI Drop: The RSI must decline for three consecutive days, with the first drop occurring from an RSI reading above 60.
RSI Below 10: After the three-day drop, the RSI must reach a level below 10, indicating a highly oversold condition.
Buy Condition: All the above conditions must be satisfied to trigger a buy order.
Sell Condition: The strategy closes the position when the RSI rises above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a trader, author, and founder of Connors Research, a firm specializing in quantitative trading research. He is best known for developing strategies that focus on short-term market movements. Connors co-authored several popular books, including "Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies" with Linda Raschke, which has become a staple among traders seeking reliable, rule-based strategies. His research often emphasizes simplicity and robust testing, which appeals to both retail and institutional traders.
Scientific Foundations
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), originally developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. However, the use of a 2-period RSI in Connors' strategy is unconventional, as most traders rely on longer periods, such as 14. Connors' research showed that using a shorter period like 2 can better capture short-term reversals, particularly when combined with a longer-term trend filter such as the 200-day SMA.
Connors' strategies, including this one, are built on empirical research using historical data. For example, in a study of over 1,000 signals generated by this strategy, Connors found that it performed consistently well across various markets, especially when trading ETFs and large-cap stocks (Connors & Alvarez, 2009).
Risks and Considerations
While the Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is backed by empirical research, it is not without risks:
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the premise that markets revert to the mean. However, in strong trending markets, the strategy may underperform as prices can remain oversold or overbought for extended periods.
Short-Term Nature: The strategy focuses on very short-term movements, which can result in frequent trading. High trading frequency can lead to increased transaction costs, which may erode profits.
Market Conditions: The strategy performs best in certain market environments, particularly in stable uptrends. In highly volatile or strongly trending markets, the strategy's performance can deteriorate.
Data and Backtesting Limitations: While backtests may show positive results, they rely on historical data and do not account for future market conditions, slippage, or liquidity issues.
Scientific literature suggests that while technical analysis strategies like this can be effective in certain market conditions, they are not foolproof. According to Lo et al. (2000), technical strategies may show patterns that are statistically significant, but these patterns often diminish once they are widely adopted by traders.
References
Connors, L., & Alvarez, C. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work. TradingMarkets Publishing Group.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research
Averaging Down Strategy1. Averaging Down:
Definition: "Averaging Down" is a strategy in which an investor buys more shares of a declining asset, thus lowering the average purchase price. The main idea is that, by averaging down, the investor can recover faster when the price eventually rebounds.
Risk Considerations: This strategy assumes that the asset will recover in value. If the price continues to decline, however, the investor may suffer larger losses. Academic research highlights the psychological bias of loss aversion that often leads investors to engage in averaging down, despite the increased risk (Barberis & Huang, 2001).
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Definition: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 (or in this case, 35) typically indicates an oversold condition, which might suggest a potential buying opportunity (Wilder, 1978).
Risk Considerations: RSI-based strategies can produce many false signals in range-bound or choppy markets, where prices do not exhibit strong trends. This can lead to multiple losing trades and an overall negative performance (Gencay, 1998).
3. Combination of RSI and Price Movement:
Approach: The combination of RSI for entry signals and price movement (previous day's high) for exit signals aims to capture short-term market reversals. This hybrid approach attempts to balance momentum with price confirmation.
Risk Considerations: While this combination can work well in trending markets, it may struggle in volatile or sideways markets. Additionally, a significant risk of averaging down is that the trader may continue adding to a losing position, which can exacerbate losses if the price keeps falling.
Risk Warnings:
Increased Losses Through Averaging Down:
Averaging down involves buying more of a falling asset, which can increase exposure to downside risk. Studies have shown that this approach can lead to larger losses when markets continue to decline, especially during prolonged bear markets (Statman, 2004).
A key risk is that this strategy may lead to significant capital drawdowns if the price of the asset does not recover as expected. In the worst-case scenario, this can result in a total loss of the invested capital.
False Signals with RSI:
RSI-based strategies are prone to generating false signals, particularly in markets that do not exhibit strong trends. For example, Gencay (1998) found that while RSI can be effective in certain conditions, it often fails in choppy or range-bound markets, leading to frequent stop-outs and drawdowns.
Psychological Bias:
Behavioral finance research suggests that the "Averaging Down" strategy may be influenced by loss aversion, a bias where investors prefer to avoid losses rather than achieve gains (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This can lead to poor decision-making, as investors continue to add to losing positions in the hope of a recovery.
Empirical Studies:
Gencay (1998): The study "The Predictability of Security Returns with Simple Technical Trading Rules" found that technical indicators like RSI can provide predictive value in certain markets, particularly in volatile environments. However, they are less reliable in markets that lack clear trends.
Barberis & Huang (2001): Their research on behavioral biases, including loss aversion, explains why investors are often tempted to average down despite the risks, as they attempt to avoid realizing losses.
Statman (2004): In "The Diversification Puzzle," Statman discusses how strategies like averaging down can increase risk exposure without necessarily improving long-term returns, especially if the underlying asset continues to perform poorly.
Conclusion:
The "Averaging Down Strategy with RSI" combines elements of technical analysis with a psychologically-driven averaging down approach. While the strategy may offer opportunities in trending or oversold markets, it carries significant risks, particularly in volatile or declining markets. Traders should be cautious when using this strategy, ensuring they manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure to a losing position.
Combo 2/20 EMA & CCI
This is another part of my research work, where I test a combination of two strategies, receiving a combined signal. In order to understand which indicator combinations work better, which work worse, as filters for trades. This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This indicator plots 2/20 exponential moving average. For the Mov Avg X 2/20 Indicator, the EMA bar will be painted when the Alert criteria is met.
Second strategy
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is best used with markets that display cyclical or seasonal characteristics, and is formulated to detect the beginning and ending of the cycles by incorporating a moving average together with a divisor that reflects both possible and actual trading ranges. The final index measures the deviation from normal, which indicates major changes in market trend.
Strategy tester settings:
Initial capital: 1000
Order size: 0.5
Commission: 0.1%
Other as default.
Indicator settings:
EMA Length: 50
CCI Length: 10
Fast MA Length: 15
Slow MA Length: 20
Other as default.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
RSI Trend Following StrategyOverview
The RSI Trend Following Strategy utilizes Relative Strength Index (RSI) to enter the trade for the potential trend continuation. It uses Stochastic indicator to check is the price is not in overbought territory and the MACD to measure the current price momentum. Moreover, it uses the 200-period EMA to filter the counter trend trades with the higher probability. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Two layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes MACD and Stochastic indicators measure the current momentum and overbought condition and use 200-period EMA to filter trades against major trend.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level script activates the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Wide opportunities for strategy optimization: Flexible strategy settings allows users to optimize the strategy entries and exits for chosen trading pair and time frame.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
RSI is above 50 level.
MACD line shall be above the signal line
Both lines of Stochastic shall be not higher than 80 (overbought territory)
Candle’s low shall be above the 200 period EMA
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with trailing EMA(by default = 20 period). If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
MACD Fast Length (by default = 12, period of averaging fast MACD line)
MACD Fast Length (by default = 26, period of averaging slow MACD line)
MACD Signal Smoothing (by default = 9, period of smoothing MACD signal line)
Oscillator MA Type (by default = EMA, available options: SMA, EMA)
Signal Line MA Type (by default = EMA, available options: SMA, EMA)
RSI Length (by default = 14, period for RSI calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20, period for EMA, which shall be broken close the trade after trailing profit activation)
Justification of Methodology
This trading strategy is designed to leverage a combination of technical indicators—Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator, and the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA)—to determine optimal entry points for long trades. Additionally, the strategy uses the Average True Range (ATR) for dynamic risk management to adapt to varying market conditions. Let's look in details for which purpose each indicator is used for and why it is used in this combination.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements in a financial market. It helps traders identify whether an asset is potentially overbought (overvalued) or oversold (undervalued), which can indicate a potential reversal or continuation of the current trend.
How RSI Works? RSI tracks the strength of recent price changes. It compares the average gains and losses over a specific period (usually 14 periods) to assess the momentum of an asset. Average gain is the average of all positive price changes over the chosen period. It reflects how much the price has typically increased during upward movements. Average loss is the average of all negative price changes over the same period. It reflects how much the price has typically decreased during downward movements.
RSI calculates these average gains and losses and compares them to create a value between 0 and 100. If the RSI value is above 70, the asset is generally considered overbought, meaning it might be due for a price correction or reversal downward. Conversely, if the RSI value is below 30, the asset is considered oversold, suggesting it could be poised for an upward reversal or recovery. RSI is a useful tool for traders to determine market conditions and make informed decisions about entering or exiting trades based on the perceived strength or weakness of an asset's price movements.
This strategy uses RSI as a short-term trend approximation. If RSI crosses over 50 it means that there is a high probability of short-term trend change from downtrend to uptrend. Therefore RSI above 50 is our first trend filter to look for a long position.
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular momentum and trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in an asset's price.
The MACD consists of three components:
MACD Line: This is the difference between a short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a long-term EMA, typically calculated as: MACD Line = 12 period EMA − 26 period EMA
Signal Line: This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD Line, which helps to identify buy or sell signals. When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it can be a bullish signal (suggesting a buy); when it crosses below, it can be a bearish signal (suggesting a sell).
Histogram: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line, visually representing the momentum of the trend. Positive histogram values indicate increasing bullish momentum, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
This strategy uses MACD as a second short-term trend filter. When MACD line crossed over the signal line there is a high probability that uptrend has been started. Therefore MACD line above signal line is our additional short-term trend filter. In conjunction with RSI it decreases probability of following false trend change signals.
The Stochastic Indicator is a momentum oscillator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It's used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions.
It consists of two lines:
%K: The main line, calculated using the formula (CurrentClose−LowestLow)/(HighestHigh−LowestLow)×100 . Highest and lowest price taken for 14 periods.
%D: A smoothed moving average of %K, often used as a signal line.
This strategy uses stochastic to define the overbought conditions. The logic here is the following: we want to avoid long trades in the overbought territory, because when indicator reaches it there is a high probability that the potential move is gonna be restricted.
The 200-period EMA is a widely recognized indicator for identifying the long-term trend direction. The strategy only trades in the direction of this primary trend to increase the probability of successful trades. For instance, when the price is above the 200 EMA, only long trades are considered, aligning with the overarching trend direction.
Therefore, strategy uses combination of RSI and MACD to increase the probability that price now is in short-term uptrend, Stochastic helps to avoid the trades in the overbought (>80) territory. To increase the probability of opening long trades in the direction of a main trend and avoid local bounces we use 200 period EMA.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.94%
Maximum Single Profit: +15.78%
Net Profit: +1359.21 USDT (+13.59%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.04% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.413
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 625.02 USDT (-5.85%)
Average Profit per Trade: 12.25 USDT (+0.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 40 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Intramarket Difference Index StrategyHi Traders !!
The IDI Strategy:
In layman’s terms this strategy compares two indicators across markets and exploits their differences.
note: it is best the two markets are correlated as then we know we are trading a short to long term deviation from both markets' general trend with the assumption both markets will trend again sometime in the future thereby exhausting our trading opportunity.
📍 Import Notes:
This Strategy calculates trade position size independently (i.e. risk per trade is controlled in the user inputs tab), this means that the ‘Order size’ input in the ‘Properties’ tab will have no effect on the strategy. Why ? because this allows us to define custom position size algorithms which we can use to improve our risk management and equity growth over time. Here we have the option to have fixed quantity or fixed percentage of equity ATR (Average True Range) based stops in addition to the turtle trading position size algorithm.
‘Pyramiding’ does not work for this strategy’, similar to the order size input togeling this input will have no effect on the strategy as the strategy explicitly defines the maximum order size to be 1.
This strategy is not perfect, and as of writing of this post I have not traded this algo.
Always take your time to backtests and debug the strategy.
🔷 The IDI Strategy:
By default this strategy pulls data from your current TV chart and then compares it to the base market, be default BINANCE:BTCUSD . The strategy pulls SMA and RSI data from either market (we call this the difference data), standardizes the data (solving the different unit problem across markets) such that it is comparable and then differentiates the data, calling the result of this transformation and difference the Intramarket Difference (ID). The formula for the the ID is
ID = market1_diff_data - market2_diff_data (1)
Where
market(i)_diff_data = diff_data / ATR(j)_market(i)^0.5,
where i = {1, 2} and j = the natural numbers excluding 0
Formula (1) interpretation is the following
When ID > 0: this means the current market outperforms the base market
When ID = 0: Markets are at long run equilibrium
When ID < 0: this means the current market underperforms the base market
To form the strategy we define one of two strategy type’s which are Trend and Mean Revesion respectively.
🔸 Trend Case:
Given the ‘‘Strategy Type’’ is equal to TREND we define a threshold for which if the ID crosses over we go long and if the ID crosses under the negative of the threshold we go short.
The motivating idea is that the ID is an indicator of the two symbols being out of sync, and given we know volatility clustering, momentum and mean reversion of anomalies to be a stylised fact of financial data we can construct a trading premise. Let's first talk more about this premise.
For some markets (cryptocurrency markets - synthetic symbols in TV) the stylised fact of momentum is true, this means that higher momentum is followed by higher momentum, and given we know momentum to be a vector quantity (with magnitude and direction) this momentum can be both positive and negative i.e. when the ID crosses above some threshold we make an assumption it will continue in that direction for some time before executing back to its long run equilibrium of 0 which is a reasonable assumption to make if the market are correlated. For example for the BTCUSD - ETHUSD pair, if the ID > +threshold (inputs for MA and RSI based ID thresholds are found under the ‘‘INTRAMARKET DIFFERENCE INDEX’’ group’), ETHUSD outperforms BTCUSD, we assume the momentum to continue so we go long ETHUSD.
In the standard case we would exit the market when the IDI returns to its long run equilibrium of 0 (for the positive case the ID may return to 0 because ETH’s difference data may have decreased or BTC’s difference data may have increased). However in this strategy we will not define this as our exit condition, why ?
This is because we want to ‘‘let our winners run’’, to achieve this we define a trailing Donchian Channel stop loss (along with a fixed ATR based stop as our volatility proxy). If we were too use the 0 exit the strategy may print a buy signal (ID > +threshold in the simple case, market regimes may be used), return to 0 and then print another buy signal, and this process can loop may times, this high trade frequency means we fail capture the entire market move lowering our profit, furthermore on lower time frames this high trade frequencies mean we pay more transaction costs (due to price slippage, commission and big-ask spread) which means less profit.
By capturing the sum of many momentum moves we are essentially following the trend hence the trend following strategy type.
Here we also print the IDI (with default strategy settings with the MA difference type), we can see that by letting our winners run we may catch many valid momentum moves, that results in a larger final pnl that if we would otherwise exit based on the equilibrium condition(Valid trades are denoted by solid green and red arrows respectively and all other valid trades which occur within the original signal are light green and red small arrows).
another example...
Note: if you would like to plot the IDI separately copy and paste the following code in a new Pine Script indicator template.
indicator("IDI")
// INTRAMARKET INDEX
var string g_idi = "intramarket diffirence index"
ui_index_1 = input.symbol("BINANCE:BTCUSD", title = "Base market", group = g_idi)
// ui_index_2 = input.symbol("BINANCE:ETHUSD", title = "Quote Market", group = g_idi)
type = input.string("MA", title = "Differrencing Series", options = , group = g_idi)
ui_ma_lkb = input.int(24, title = "lookback of ma and volatility scaling constant", group = g_idi)
ui_rsi_lkb = input.int(14, title = "Lookback of RSI", group = g_idi)
ui_atr_lkb = input.int(300, title = "ATR lookback - Normalising value", group = g_idi)
ui_ma_threshold = input.float(5, title = "Threshold of Upward/Downward Trend (MA)", group = g_idi)
ui_rsi_threshold = input.float(20, title = "Threshold of Upward/Downward Trend (RSI)", group = g_idi)
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
// CUSTOM FUNCTIONS |
//<<+----------------------------------------------------------------+{
// construct UDT (User defined type) containing the IDI (Intramarket Difference Index) source values
// UDT will hold many variables / functions grouped under the UDT
type functions
float Close // close price
float ma // ma of symbol
float rsi // rsi of the asset
float atr // atr of the asset
// the security data
getUDTdata(symbol, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback) =>
indexHighTF = barstate.isrealtime ? 1 : 0
= request.security(symbol, timeframe = timeframe.period,
expression = [close , // Instentiate UDT variables
ta.sma(close, malookback) ,
ta.rsi(close, rsilookback) ,
ta.atr(atrlookback) ])
data = functions.new(close_, ma_, rsi_, atr_)
data
// Intramerket Difference Index
idi(type, symbol1, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback, mathreshold, rsithreshold) =>
threshold = float(na)
index1 = getUDTdata(symbol1, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback)
index2 = getUDTdata(syminfo.tickerid, malookback, rsilookback, atrlookback)
// declare difference variables for both base and quote symbols, conditional on which difference type is selected
var diffindex1 = 0.0, var diffindex2 = 0.0,
// declare Intramarket Difference Index based on series type, note
// if > 0, index 2 outpreforms index 1, buy index 2 (momentum based) until equalibrium
// if < 0, index 2 underpreforms index 1, sell index 1 (momentum based) until equalibrium
// for idi to be valid both series must be stationary and normalised so both series hae he same scale
intramarket_difference = 0.0
if type == "MA"
threshold := mathreshold
diffindex1 := (index1.Close - index1.ma) / math.pow(index1.atr*malookback, 0.5)
diffindex2 := (index2.Close - index2.ma) / math.pow(index2.atr*malookback, 0.5)
intramarket_difference := diffindex2 - diffindex1
else if type == "RSI"
threshold := rsilookback
diffindex1 := index1.rsi
diffindex2 := index2.rsi
intramarket_difference := diffindex2 - diffindex1
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
// STRATEGY FUNCTIONS CALLS |
//<<+----------------------------------------------------------------+{
// plot the intramarket difference
= idi(type,
ui_index_1,
ui_ma_lkb,
ui_rsi_lkb,
ui_atr_lkb,
ui_ma_threshold,
ui_rsi_threshold)
//>>+----------------------------------------------------------------+}
plot(intramarket_difference, color = color.orange)
hline(type == "MA" ? ui_ma_threshold : ui_rsi_threshold, color = color.green)
hline(type == "MA" ? -ui_ma_threshold : -ui_rsi_threshold, color = color.red)
hline(0)
Note it is possible that after printing a buy the strategy then prints many sell signals before returning to a buy, which again has the same implication (less profit. Potentially because we exit early only for price to continue upwards hence missing the larger "trend"). The image below showcases this cenario and again, by allowing our winner to run we may capture more profit (theoretically).
This should be clear...
🔸 Mean Reversion Case:
We stated prior that mean reversion of anomalies is an standerdies fact of financial data, how can we exploit this ?
We exploit this by normalizing the ID by applying the Ehlers fisher transformation. The transformed data is then assumed to be approximately normally distributed. To form the strategy we employ the same logic as for the z score, if the FT normalized ID > 2.5 (< -2.5) we buy (short). Our exit conditions remain unchanged (fixed ATR stop and trailing Donchian Trailing stop)
🔷 Position Sizing:
If ‘‘Fixed Risk From Initial Balance’’ is toggled true this means we risk a fixed percentage of our initial balance, if false we risk a fixed percentage of our equity (current balance).
Note we also employ a volatility adjusted position sizing formula, the turtle training method which is defined as follows.
Turtle position size = (1/ r * ATR * DV) * C
Where,
r = risk factor coefficient (default is 20)
ATR(j) = risk proxy, over j times steps
DV = Dollar Volatility, where DV = (1/Asset Price) * Capital at Risk
🔷 Risk Management:
Correct money management means we can limit risk and increase reward (theoretically). Here we employ
Max loss and gain per day
Max loss per trade
Max number of consecutive losing trades until trade skip
To read more see the tooltips (info circle).
🔷 Take Profit:
By defualt the script uses a Donchain Channel as a trailing stop and take profit, In addition to this the script defines a fixed ATR stop losses (by defualt, this covers cases where the DC range may be to wide making a fixed ATR stop usefull), ATR take profits however are defined but optional.
ATR SL and TP defined for all trades
🔷 Hurst Regime (Regime Filter):
The Hurst Exponent (H) aims to segment the market into three different states, Trending (H > 0.5), Random Geometric Brownian Motion (H = 0.5) and Mean Reverting / Contrarian (H < 0.5). In my interpretation this can be used as a trend filter that eliminates market noise.
We utilize the trending and mean reverting based states, as extra conditions required for valid trades for both strategy types respectively, in the process increasing our trade entry quality.
🔷 Example model Architecture:
Here is an example of one configuration of this strategy, combining all aspects discussed in this post.
Future Updates
- Automation integration (next update)
Golden Cross Strategy with Trend FilterHere's the English translation:
**Entry for Long Position:** Enter a long position only when the 5SMA crosses above the 25SMA and the current price is above the 75SMA.
**Entry for Short Position:** Enter a short position only when the 5SMA crosses below the 25SMA and the current price is below the 75SMA.
**Exit Position:** Hold the long position until a short signal is generated, and hold the short position until a long signal is generated.
By using the 75SMA to confirm the trend direction and taking positions only in alignment with that trend, you can enhance trading accuracy and potentially improve the profit factor.
Rsi Long-Term Strategy [15min]Hello, I would like to present to you The "RSI Long-Term Strategy" for 15min tf
The "RSI Long-Term Strategy " is designed for traders who prefer a combination of momentum and trend-following techniques. The strategy focuses on entering long positions during significant market corrections within an overall uptrend, confirmed by both RSI and volume. The use of long-term SMAs ensures that trades are made in line with the broader market trend. The stop-loss feature provides risk management by limiting losses on trades that do not perform as expected. This strategy is particularly well-suited for longer-term traders who monitor 15-minute charts but look for substantial trend reversals or continuations.
Indicators and Parameters:
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
- The RSI is calculated using a 10-period length. It measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. The script defines oversold conditions when the RSI is at or below 30 and overbought conditions when the RSI is at or above 70.
Volume Condition:
-The strategy incorporates a volume condition where the current volume must be greater than 2.5 times the 20-period moving average of volume. This is used to confirm the strength of the price movement.
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
- The strategy uses two SMAs: SMA1 with a length of 250 periods and SMA2 with a length of 500 periods. These SMAs help identify long-term trends and generate signals based on their crossover.
Strategy Logic:
Entry Logic:
A long position is initiated when all the following conditions are met:
The RSI indicates an oversold condition (RSI ≤ 30).
SMA1 is above SMA2, indicating an uptrend.
The volume condition is satisfied, confirming the strength of the signal.
Exit Logic:
The strategy closes the long position when SMA1 crosses under SMA2, signaling a potential end of the uptrend (a "Death Cross").
Stop-Loss:
A stop-loss is set at 5% below the entry price to manage risk and limit potential losses.
Buy and sell signals are highlighted with circles below or above bars:
Green Circle : Buy signal when RSI is oversold, SMA1 > SMA2, and the volume condition is met.
Red Circle : Sell signal when RSI is overbought, SMA1 < SMA2, and the volume condition is met.
Black Cross: "Death Cross" when SMA1 crosses under SMA2, indicating a potential bearish signal.
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
I hope the strategy will be helpful, as always, best regards and safe trades
;)
BTC 5 min SHBHilalimSB A Wedding Gift 🌙
What is HilalimSB🌙?
First of all, as mentioned in the title, HilalimSB is a wedding gift.
HilalimSB - Revealing the Secrets of the Trend
HilalimSB is a powerful indicator designed to help investors analyze market trends and optimize trading strategies. Designed to uncover the secrets at the heart of the trend, HilalimSB stands out with its unique features and impressive algorithm.
Hilalim Algorithm and Fixed ATR Value:
HilalimSB is equipped with a special algorithm called "Hilalim" to detect market trends. This algorithm can delve into the depths of price movements to determine the direction of the trend and provide users with the ability to predict future price movements. Additionally, HilalimSB uses its own fixed Average True Range (ATR) value. ATR is an indicator that measures price movement volatility and is often used to determine the strength of a trend. The fixed ATR value of HilalimSB has been tested over long periods and its reliability has been proven. This allows users to interpret the signals provided by the indicator more reliably.
ATR Calculation Steps
1.True Range Calculation:
+ The True Range (TR) is the greatest of the following three values:
1. Current high minus current low
2. Current high minus previous close (absolute value)
3. Current low minus previous close (absolute value)
2.Average True Range (ATR) Calculation:
-The initial ATR value is calculated as the average of the TR values over a specified period
(typically 14 periods).
-For subsequent periods, the ATR is calculated using the following formula:
ATRt=(ATRt−1×(n−1)+TRt)/n
Where:
+ ATRt is the ATR for the current period,
+ ATRt−1 is the ATR for the previous period,
+ TRt is the True Range for the current period,
+ n is the number of periods.
Pine Script to Calculate ATR with User-Defined Length and Multiplier
Here is the Pine Script code for calculating the ATR with user-defined X length and Y multiplier:
//@version=5
indicator("Custom ATR", overlay=false)
// User-defined inputs
X = input.int(14, minval=1, title="ATR Period (X)")
Y = input.float(1.0, title="ATR Multiplier (Y)")
// True Range calculation
TR1 = high - low
TR2 = math.abs(high - close )
TR3 = math.abs(low - close )
TR = math.max(TR1, math.max(TR2, TR3))
// ATR calculation
ATR = ta.rma(TR, X)
// Apply multiplier
customATR = ATR * Y
// Plot the ATR value
plot(customATR, title="Custom ATR", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
This code can be added as a new Pine Script indicator in TradingView, allowing users to calculate and display the ATR on the chart according to their specified parameters.
HilalimSB's Distinction from Other ATR Indicators
HilalimSB emerges with its unique Average True Range (ATR) value, presenting itself to users. Equipped with a proprietary ATR algorithm, this indicator is released in a non-editable form for users. After meticulous testing across various instruments with predetermined period and multiplier values, it is made available for use.
ATR is acknowledged as a critical calculation tool in the financial sector. The ATR calculation process of HilalimSB is conducted as a result of various research efforts and concrete data-based computations. Therefore, the HilalimSB indicator is published with its proprietary ATR values, unavailable for modification.
The ATR period and multiplier values provided by HilalimSB constitute the fundamental logic of a trading strategy. This unique feature aids investors in making informed decisions.
Visual Aesthetics and Clear Charts:
HilalimSB provides a user-friendly interface with clear and impressive graphics. Trend changes are highlighted with vibrant colors and are visually easy to understand. You can choose colors based on eye comfort, allowing you to personalize your trading screen for a more enjoyable experience. While offering a flexible approach tailored to users' needs, HilalimSB also promises an aesthetic and professional experience.
Strong Signals and Buy/Sell Indicators:
After completing test operations, HilalimSB produces data at various time intervals. However, we would like to emphasize to users that based on our studies, it provides the best signals in 1-hour chart data. HilalimSB produces strong signals to identify trend reversals. Buy or sell points are clearly indicated, allowing users to develop and implement trading strategies based on these signals.
For example, let's imagine you wanted to open a position on BTC on 2023.11.02. You are aware that you need to calculate which of the buying or selling transactions would be more profitable. You need support from various indicators to open a position. Based on the analysis and calculations it has made from the data it contains, HilalimSB would have detected that the graph is more suitable for a selling position, and by producing a sell signal at the most ideal selling point at 08:00 on 2023.11.02 (UTC+3 Istanbul), it would have informed you of the direction the graph would follow, allowing you to benefit positively from a 2.56% decline.
Technology and Innovation:
HilalimSB aims to enhance the trading experience using the latest technology. With its innovative approach, it enables users to discover market opportunities and support their decisions. Thus, investors can make more informed and successful trades. Real-Time Data Analysis: HilalimSB analyzes market data in real-time and identifies updated trends instantly. This allows users to make more informed trading decisions by staying informed of the latest market developments. Continuous Update and Improvement: HilalimSB is constantly updated and improved. New features are added and existing ones are enhanced based on user feedback and market changes. Thus, HilalimSB always aims to provide the latest technology and the best user experience.
Social Order and Intrinsic Motivation:
Negative trends such as widespread illegal gambling and uncontrolled risk-taking can have adverse financial effects on society. The primary goal of HilalimSB is to counteract these negative trends by guiding and encouraging users with data-driven analysis and calculable investment systems. This allows investors to trade more consciously and safely.
What is BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy🌙?
BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy is a strategy supported by the HilalimSB algorithm created by the creator of HilalimSB. It automatically opens trades based on the data it receives, maintaining trades with its uniquely defined take profit and stop loss levels, and automatically closes trades when necessary. It stands out in the TradingView world with its unique take profit and stop loss markings. BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy is close to users' initiatives and is a strategy suitable for 5-minute trades and scalp operations developed on BTC.
What does the BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy target?
The primary goal of BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy is to close trades made by traders in short timeframes as profitably as possible and to determine the most effective trading points in low time periods, considering the commission rates of various brokerage firms. BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy is one of the rare profitable strategies released in short timeframes, with its useful interface, in addition to existing strategies in the markets. After extensive backtesting over a long period and achieving above-average success, BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy was decided to be released. Following the completion of test procedures under market conditions, it was presented to users with the unique visual effects of ☆SB.
BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy and Heikin Ashi
BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy produces data in Heikin-Ashi chart types, but since Heikin-Ashi chart types have their own calculation method, BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy has been published in a way that cannot produce data in this chart type due to BTC 5 min ☆SHB Strategy's ideology of appealing to all types of users, and any confusion that may arise is prevented in this way. Heikin-Ashi chart types, especially in short time intervals, carry significant risks considering the unique calculation methods involved. Thus, the possibility of being misled by the coder and causing financial losses has been completely eliminated. After the necessary conditions determined by the creator of BTC 5 min ☆SHB are met, BTC 5 min ☆SHB Heikin-Ashi will be shared exclusively with invited users only, upon request, to users who request an invitation.
Key Features:
+HilalimSHB Algorithm: This algorithm uses a dynamic ATR-based trend-following mechanism to identify the current market trend. The strategy detects trend reversals and takes positions accordingly.
+Heikin Ashi Compatibility: The strategy is optimized to work only with standard candlestick charts and automatically deactivates when Heikin Ashi charts are in use, preventing false signals.
+Advanced Chart Enhancements: The strategy offers clear graphical markers for buy/sell signals. Candlesticks are automatically colored based on trend direction, making market trends easier to follow.
Strategy Parameters:
+Take Profit (%): Defines the target price level for closing a position and automates profit-taking. The fixed value is set at 2%.
+Stop Loss (%): Specifies the stop-loss level to limit losses. The fixed value is set at 3%.
The shared image is a 5-minute chart of BTCUSDC.P with a fixed take profit value of 2% and a fixed stop loss value of 3%. The trades are opened with a commission rate of 0.063% set for the USDT trading pair on Binance.🌙
Multi-Factor StrategyThis trading strategy combines multiple technical indicators to create a systematic approach for entering and exiting trades. The goal is to capture trends by aligning several key indicators to confirm the direction and strength of a potential trade. Below is a detailed description of how the strategy works:
Indicators Used
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD Line: The difference between the 12-period and 26-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Signal Line: A 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
Usage: The strategy looks for crossovers between the MACD line and the Signal line as entry signals. A bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the Signal line) indicates a potential upward movement, while a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the Signal line) signals a potential downward movement.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Usage: RSI is used to gauge the momentum of the price movement. The strategy uses specific thresholds: below 70 for long positions to avoid overbought conditions and above 30 for short positions to avoid oversold conditions.
ATR (Average True Range):
Usage: ATR measures market volatility and is used to set dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. A stop loss is set at 2 times the ATR, and a take profit at 3 times the ATR, ensuring that risk is managed relative to market conditions.
Simple Moving Averages (SMA):
50-day SMA: A short-term trend indicator.
200-day SMA: A long-term trend indicator.
Usage: The strategy uses the relationship between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs to determine the overall market trend. Long positions are taken when the price is above the 50-day SMA and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, short positions are taken when the price is below the 50-day SMA and the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA, indicating a downtrend.
Entry Conditions
Long Position:
-MACD Crossover: The MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
-RSI Confirmation: RSI is below 70, ensuring the asset is not overbought.
-SMA Confirmation: The price is above the 50-day SMA, and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA, indicating a strong uptrend.
Short Position:
MACD Crossunder: The MACD line crosses below the Signal line.
RSI Confirmation: RSI is above 30, ensuring the asset is not oversold.
SMA Confirmation: The price is below the 50-day SMA, and the 50-day SMA is below the 200-day SMA, indicating a strong downtrend.
Opposite conditions for shorts
Exit Strategy
Stop Loss: Set at 2 times the ATR from the entry price. This dynamically adjusts to market volatility, allowing for wider stops in volatile markets and tighter stops in calmer markets.
Take Profit: Set at 3 times the ATR from the entry price. This ensures a favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5, aiming for higher rewards on successful trades.
Visualization
SMAs: The 50-day and 200-day SMAs are plotted on the chart to visualize the trend direction.
MACD Crossovers: Bullish and bearish MACD crossovers are highlighted on the chart to identify potential entry points.
Summary
This strategy is designed to align multiple indicators to increase the probability of successful trades by confirming trends and momentum before entering a position. It systematically manages risk with ATR-based stop loss and take profit levels, ensuring that trades are exited based on market conditions rather than arbitrary points. The combination of trend indicators (SMAs) with momentum and volatility indicators (MACD, RSI, ATR) creates a robust approach to trading in various market environments.
RSI Strategy with Adjustable RSI and Stop-LossThis trading strategy uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and a Stop-Loss mechanism to make trading decisions. Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
RSI Calculation:
The RSI is calculated based on the user-defined length (rsi_length). This is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Buy Condition:
The strategy generates a buy signal when the RSI value is below a user-defined threshold (rsi_threshold). This condition indicates that the asset might be oversold and potentially due for a rebound.
Stop-Loss Mechanism:
Upon triggering a buy signal, the strategy calculates the Stop-Loss level. The Stop-Loss level is set to a percentage below the entry price, as specified by the user (stop_loss_percent). This level is used to limit potential losses if the price moves against the trade.
Sell Condition:
A sell signal is generated when the current closing price is higher than the highest high of the previous day. This condition suggests that the price has reached a new high, and the strategy decides to exit the trade.
Plotting:
The RSI values are plotted on the chart for visual reference. A horizontal line is drawn at the RSI threshold level to help visualize the oversold condition.
Summary
Buying Strategy: When RSI is below the specified threshold, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Stop-Loss: Set based on a percentage of the entry price to limit potential losses.
Selling Strategy: When the price surpasses the highest high of the previous day, signaling a potential exit point.
This strategy aims to capture potential rebounds from oversold conditions and manage risk using a Stop-Loss mechanism. As with any trading strategy, it’s essential to test and optimize it under various market conditions to ensure its effectiveness.
MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal StrategyOverview
The MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal Strategy utilizes MACD indicator in conjunction with 1 day timeframe Stochastic indicators to obtain the high probability short-term trend reversal signals. The main idea is to wait until MACD line crosses up it’s signal line, at the same time Stochastic indicator on 1D time frame shall show the uptrend (will be discussed in methodology) and not to be in the oversold territory. Strategy works on time frames from 30 min to 4 hours and opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Higher time frame confirmation: Strategy utilizes 1D Stochastic to establish the major trend and confirm the local reversals with the higher probability.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
MACD line of MACD indicator shall cross over the signal line of MACD indicator.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line shall be above the D line.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line value shall be below 80 (not overbought)
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 3.25, value multiplied by ATR to be subtracted from position entry price to setup stop loss)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 4.25, value multiplied by ATR to be added to position entry price to setup trailing profit activation level)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20, period for EMA, when price reached trailing profit activation level EMA will stop out of position if price closes below it)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart, in our example we use default settings.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages 2 time frames analysis to have the high probability reversal setups on lower time frame in the direction of the 1D time frame trend. That’s why it’s recommended to use this strategy on 30 min – 4 hours time frames.
To have an approximation of 1D time frame trend strategy utilizes classical Stochastic indicator. The Stochastic Indicator is a momentum oscillator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It's used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions.
It consists of two lines:
%K: The main line, calculated using the formula (CurrentClose−LowestLow)/(HighestHigh−LowestLow)×100 . Highest and lowest price taken for 14 periods.
%D: A smoothed moving average of %K, often used as a signal line.
Strategy logic assumes that on 1D time frame it’s uptrend in %K line is above the %D line. Moreover, we can consider long trade only in %K line is below 80. It means that in overbought state the long trade will not be opened due to higher probability of pullback or even major trend reversal. If these conditions are met we are going to our working (lower) time frame.
On the chosen time frame, we remind you that for correct work of this strategy you shall use 30min – 4h time frames, MACD line shall cross over it’s signal line. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular momentum and trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
The MACD consists of three components:
MACD Line: This is the difference between a short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a long-term EMA, typically calculated as: MACD Line=12-period EMA−26-period
Signal Line: This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD Line, which helps to identify buy or sell signals. When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it can be a bullish signal (suggesting a buy); when it crosses below, it can be a bearish signal (suggesting a sell).
Histogram: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line, visually representing the momentum of the trend. Positive histogram values indicate increasing bullish momentum, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
In our script we are interested in only MACD and signal lines. When MACD line crosses signal line there is a high chance that short-term trend reversed to the upside. We use this strategy on 45 min time frame.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.79%
Maximum Single Profit: +20.14%
Net Profit: +2361.33 USDT (+44.72%)
Total Trades: 123 (44.72% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.623
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 695.80 USDT (-5.48%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.20 USDT (+0.59%)
Average Trade Duration: 30 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe between 30 min and 4 hours and chart (optimal performance observed on 45 min BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Self Optimizing RSI and Self Adaptive TP/SL [Starbots]Self Optimizing RSI and Self Adaptive TP/SL Strategy. (non-repainting)
This script continuously backtests 20 different combinations of RSI Buy conditions across 5 different Take Profit/Stop Loss combinations. In total, it tests 100 variants on every bar close and records the Net Profit gained for each combination. The strategy then selects and uses the best-performing combination of settings currently available for you to trade.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI oscillates between zero and 100. Traditionally the RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30. Signals can be generated by looking for divergences and failure swings. RSI can also be used to identify the general trend.
To improve our results we are calculating Multiple Length RSI - Average RSI based on the multiple periods. You can use just 1 Length or Multiple.
Set Inputs to Min=14, Max=14 if you want to use just 1 period.
= RSI(14)
3 RSI Lengths example (12,13 and 14):
Min=12, Max=14
(12+13+14) / 3 = avg. RSI
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Backtester - Optimizer Explained:
The backtester runs numerous backtests in the background to optimize trading strategies. Here’s how it works:
Default Inputs (Combinations of TP/SL)
TP 1%, SL4%
TP 2%, SL4%
TP 3%, SL4%
TP 2%, SL5%
TP 4.5%, SL10%
Default Inputs (RSI Crossover Buys) :
18 ,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,45,55, 69
_______________________________________________________
Backtest RSI Crossover 18:
TP1%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP2%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP3%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP2%, SL5% => Save net profit
TP4.5%, SL10% => Save net profit
,...
,...
Backtest RSI Crossover 69:
TP1%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP2%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP3%, SL4% => Save net profit
TP2%, SL5% => Save net profit
TP4.5%, SL10% => Save net profit
Self Optimizing Buy Condition and Self Optimizing Take Profit - Stop Los
This process involves testing various combinations of RSI crossover values with different Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) percentages. The net profit for each combination is saved, allowing the optimizer to select the best-performing settings for trading.
It recalculates on every bar close. If one combination starts performing better than others—achieving a higher net profit gain (essentially like running 100 backtests with different settings in the background)—the strategy switches to that combination of TP/SL and Buy condition. It continues trading with the new settings until another parameter starts performing better and the strategy switches to that setting.
________________________________________________________________________
If you wish to use it as INDICATOR - turn on 'Recalculate - On every tick' in Properties tab to have this script updating constantly and use it as a normal Indicator tool for manual trading.
Other functions:
Set the %fee for optimizing engine. If you set this % higher, you also punish small average trades and make the strategy prefer larger avg. trades, giving you better chances to make your strategy profitable.
Trade with trend and optimize the strategy only when the market is uptrending with EMA/HMA
Use Moving Average of avg.RSI and smooth the values for indicator even more. (Yes strategy is self optimizing RSI or avg.RSI or RSI-MA, you can select all sorts of this indicator for optimizing)
All trading alerts are working and functional, if you want to automate the strategy
This script is simple to use for any trader as it saves a lot of time for searching good parameters on your own. It's self-optimizing and adjusting to the markets on the go.
TradeBuilderOverview
TradeBuilder is an ever-growing toolbox that lets you combine and compound any number of bundled indicators and algorithms to create a compound strategy. At launch, we're including two Moving Averages (SMA, EMA), RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator, with many more to come. You can use any combination of indicators, be it just one, two, or all.
Key Concepts
Indicator Integration: Tradebuilder allows the use of Moving Averages, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillators, with customizable parameters for each. More indicators to come.
Mode Selection : Choose between Confirm Trend Mode (using indicators to confirm trends) and Momentum Mode (using indicators to spot reversals).
Trade Flexibility : Offers options for both long and short trades, enabling diverse trading strategies.
Customizable Inputs : Easily toggle indicators on or off and adjust specific settings like periods and thresholds.
Signal Generation : Combines multiple conditions to generate entry and exit signals.
Input Parameters:
Moving Average (MA):
use_ma : Enable this to include the Moving Average in your strategy.
ma_cross_type : Choose between "Close/MA" (price crossing the MA) or "MA/MA" (one MA crossing another).
ma_length : Set the period for the primary MA.
ma_type : Choose between "SMA" (Simple Moving Average) or "EMA" (Exponential Moving Average).
ma_length2 : Set the period for the secondary MA if using the "MA/MA" cross type.
ma_type2 : Set the type for the secondary MA.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
use_rsi : Enable this to include RSI in your strategy.
rsi_length : Set the period for RSI calculation.
rsi_overbought : Define the overbought level.
rsi_oversold : Define the oversold level.
Stochastic Oscillator:
use_stoch : Enable this to include the Stochastic Oscillator in your strategy.
stoch_k : Set the %K period.
stoch_d : Set the %D period.
stoch_smooth : Define the smoothing factor.
stoch_overbought : Set the overbought level.
stoch_oversold : Set the oversold level.
Confirmation or Momentum Mode:
confirm_trend : Set this to true to use RSI and Stochastic Oscillator to confirm trends (long when above overbought, short when below oversold). Set to false to trade on momentum (short when above overbought, long when below oversold).
Tip: When set to false and used with just momentum oscillators like Stochastic or RSI, it's geared toward scalping as it essentially becomes momentum trading.
Trade Directions:
trade_long : Enable to allow long trades.
trade_short : Enable to allow short trades.
Example Strategy on E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ), 1-minute Chart
Let’s say you want to create a strategy to go long when:
A 5-period SMA crosses above a 100-period EMA.
RSI is above 20.
The Stochastic Oscillator is above 95.
Trend Confirmation Mode is on.
For short:
A 5-period SMA crosses below a 100-period EMA.
RSI is below 45.
The Stochastic Oscillator is below 5.
Trend Confirmation Mode is on.
Here’s how you would set it up in Tradebuilder:
use_ma = true
ma_cross_type = "MA/MA"
ma_length = 5
ma_type = "SMA"
ma_length2 = 100
ma_type2 = "EMA"
use_rsi = true
rsi_length = 14
rsi_overbought = 20
rsi_oversold = 45
use_stoch = true
stoch_k = 8
stoch_d = 1
stoch_smooth = 1
stoch_overbought = 95
stoch_oversold = 5
confirm_trend = true
trade_long = true
trade_short = false
Alerts
Here is how to set TradeBuilder alerts: open a TradingView chart, attach TradeBuilder, right-click on chart -> Add Alert. Condition: Symbol (e.g. NQ) >> TradeBuilder >> Open-Ended Alert >> Once Per Bar Close.
Development Roadmap
We plan to add many more compoundable indicators to TradeBuilder over the coming months from all walks of technical analysis, including Volume, Volatility, Trend Detection/Validation, Momentum, Divergences, Chart Patterns, Support/Resistance Analysis. etc.
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200 EMA FilterStrategy Name and Purpose
Chandelier Exit Strategy with 200EMA Filter
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator in combination with a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to generate trend-based trading signals. The main purpose of this strategy is to help traders identify high-probability entry points by leveraging the Chandelier Exit for stop loss levels and the EMA for trend confirmation. This strategy aims to provide clear rules for entries and exits, improving overall trading discipline and performance.
Originality and Usefulness
This script integrates two powerful indicators to create a cohesive and effective trading strategy:
Chandelier Exit : This indicator is based on the Average True Range (ATR) and identifies potential stop loss levels. The Chandelier Exit helps manage risk by setting stop loss levels at a distance from the highest high or lowest low over a specified period, multiplied by the ATR. This ensures that the stop loss adapts to market volatility.
200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) : The EMA acts as a trend filter. By ensuring trades are only taken in the direction of the overall trend, the strategy improves the probability of success. For long entries, the close price must be above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish trend. For short entries, the close price must be below the 200 EMA, indicating a bearish trend.
Combining these indicators adds layers of confirmation and risk management, enhancing the strategy's effectiveness. The Chandelier Exit provides dynamic stop loss levels based on market volatility, while the EMA ensures trades align with the prevailing trend.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry
A buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is above the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Short Entry
A sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
The close price is below the 200 EMA, indicating a strong bearish trend.
Exit Conditions
For long positions: The position is closed when a sell signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
For short positions: The position is closed when a buy signal is generated by the Chandelier Exit.
Risk Management
Account Size: 1,000,00 yen
Commission and Slippage: 17 pips commission and 1 pip slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity
Stop Loss: For long trades, the stop loss is placed slightly below the candle that generated the buy signal. For short trades, the stop loss is placed slightly above the candle that generated the sell signal. The stop loss levels are dynamically adjusted based on the ATR.
Settings Options
ATR Period: Set the period for calculating the ATR to determine the Chandelier Exit levels.
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR to define the distance of stop loss levels from the highest high or lowest low.
Use Close Price for Extremums: Choose whether to use the close price for calculating the extremums.
EMA Period: Set the period for the EMA to adjust the trend filter sensitivity.
Show Buy/Sell Labels: Choose whether to display buy and sell labels on the chart for visual confirmation.
Highlight State: Choose whether to highlight the bullish or bearish state on the chart.
Sufficient Sample Size
The strategy has been backtested with a sufficient sample size to evaluate its performance accurately. This ensures that the strategy's results are statistically significant and reliable.
Notes
This strategy is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results.
Thoroughly backtest and validate results before using in live trading.
Market volatility and other external factors can affect performance and may not yield expected results.
Acknowledgment
This strategy uses the Chandelier Exit indicator. Special thanks to the original contributors for their work on the Chandelier Exit concept.
Clean Chart Explanation
The script is published with a clean chart to ensure that its output is readily identifiable and easy to understand. No other scripts are included on the chart, and any drawings or images used are specifically to illustrate how the script works.
Strategy SEMA SDI WebhookPurpose of the Code:
The strategy utilizes Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and Smoothed Directional Indicators (SDI) to generate buy and sell signals. It includes features like leverage, take profit, stop loss, and trailing stops. The strategy is intended for backtesting and automating trades based on the specified indicators and conditions.
Key Components and Functionalities:
1.Strategy Settings:
Overlay: The strategy will overlay on the price chart.
Slippage: Set to 1.
Commission Value: Set to 0.035.
Default Quantity Type: Percent of equity.
Default Quantity Value: 50% of equity.
Initial Capital: Set to 1000 units.
Calculation on Order Fills: Enabled.
Process Orders on Close: Enabled.
2.Date and Time Filters:
Inputs for enabling/disabling start and end dates.
Filters to execute strategy only within specified date range.
3.Leverage and Quantity:
Leverage: Adjustable leverage input (default 3).
USD Percentage: Adjustable percentage of equity to use for trades (default 50%).
Initial Capital: Calculated based on leverage and percentage of equity.
4.Take Profit, Stop Loss, and Trailing Stop:
Inputs for enabling/disabling take profit, stop loss, and trailing stop.
Adjustable parameters for take profit percentage (default 25%), stop loss percentage (default 4.8%), and trailing stop percentage (default 1.9%).
Calculations for take profit, stop loss, trailing price, and maximum profit tracking.
5.EMA Calculations:
Fast and slow EMAs.
Smoothed versions of the fast and slow EMAs.
6.SDI Calculations:
Directional movement calculation for positive and negative directional indicators.
Difference between the positive and negative directional indicators, smoothed.
7.Buy/Sell Conditions:
Long (Buy) Condition: Positive DI is greater than negative DI, and fast EMA is greater than slow EMA.
Short (Sell) Condition: Negative DI is greater than positive DI, and fast EMA is less than slow EMA.
8.Strategy Execution:
If buy conditions are met, close any short positions and enter a long position.
If sell conditions are met, close any long positions and enter a short position.
Exit conditions for long and short positions based on take profit, stop loss, and trailing stop levels.
Close all positions if outside the specified date range.
Usage:
This strategy is used to automate trading based on the specified conditions involving EMAs and SDI. It allows backtesting to evaluate performance based on historical data. The strategy includes risk management through take profit, stop loss, and trailing stops to protect gains and limit losses. Traders can customize the parameters to fit their specific trading preferences and risk tolerance. Differently, it can perform leverage analysis and use it as a template.
By using this strategy, traders can systematically execute trades based on technical indicators, helping to remove emotional bias and improve consistency in trading decisions.
Important Note:
This script is provided for educational and template purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their research and analysis before making any trading decisions.