Fractal Breakout Trend Following StrategyOverview
The Fractal Breakout Trend Following Strategy is a trend-following system which utilizes the Willams Fractals and Alligator to execute the long trades on the fractal's breakouts which have a high probability to be the new uptrend phase beginning. This system also uses the normalized Average True Range indicator to filter trades after a large moves, because it's more likely to see the trend continuation after a consolidation period. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trend and volatility filtering system: Strategy uses Williams Alligator to filter the counter-trend fractals breakouts and normalized Average True Range to avoid the trades after large moves, when volatility is high
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose the stop-loss percent (by default = 3%) for trades, but strategy also has the dynamic stop-loss level using down fractals.
Methodology
The strategy places stop order at the last valid fractal breakout level. Validity of this fractal is defined by the Williams Alligator indicator. If at the moment of time when price breaking the last fractal price is higher than Alligator's teeth line (8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future) this is a valid breakout. Moreover strategy has the additional volatility filtering system using normalized ATR. It calculates the average normalized ATR for last user-defined number of bars and if this value lower than the user-defined threshold value the long trade is executed.
When trade is opened, script places the stop loss at the price higher of two levels: user defined stop-loss from the position entry price or down fractal validation level. The down fractal is valid with the rule, opposite as the up fractal validation. Price shall break to the downside the last down fractal below the Willians Alligator's teeth line.
Strategy has no fixed take profit. Exit level changes with the down fractal validation level. If price is in strong uptrend trade is going to be active until last down fractal is not valid. Strategy closes trade when price hits the down fractal validation level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 3% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Williams Fractals to open long trade when price has broken the key resistance level to the upside. This resistance level is the last up fractal and is shall be broken above the Williams Alligator's teeth line to be qualified as the valid breakout according to this strategy. The Alligator filtering increases the probability to avoid the false breakouts against the current trend.
Moreover strategy has an additional filter using Average True Range(ATR) indicator. If average value of ATR for the last user-defined number of bars is lower than user-defined threshold strategy can open the long trade according to open trade condition above. The logic here is following: we want to open trades after period of price consolidation inside the range because before and after a big move price is more likely to be in sideways, but we need a trend move to have a profit.
Another one important feature is how the exit condition is defined. On the one hand, strategy has the user-defined stop-loss (3% below the entry price by default). It's made to give users the opportunity to restrict their losses according to their risk-tolerance. On the other hand, strategy utilizes the dynamic exit level which is defined by down fractal activation. If we assume the breaking up fractal is the beginning of the uptrend, breaking down fractal can be the start of downtrend phase. We don't want to be in long trade if there is a high probability of reversal to the downside. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.19%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.97%
Net Profit: +3036.90 USDT (+30.37%)
Total Trades: 83 (28.92% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.953
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 963.98 USDT (-8.29%)
Average Profit per Trade: 36.59 USDT (+1.12%)
Average Trade Duration: 72 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h and higher time frames and the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Fractalstrategy
RSI Fractal Energy with Signal LineHere is my second script.
Introducing the RSI Fractal Energy Indicator.
This incorporates the Relative-Strength Index and Fractal Energy as the name implies.
This will help the trader identify:
1. Trend Strength: The higher the value of the indicator can indicate the strength of the trend and vice versa.
2. Reversal points: If the indicator is showing weakness and the market is making higher highs and lower lows this can indicate a reversal is possible.
3. Overbought and Oversold conditions: This indicator is currently set to 30(Oversold) and 70(Overbought), but this can be changed in the source code.
I also added a signal line to provide bullish/bearish crossovers.
I use this indicator on the 1 hr chart, but it can be used on any time frame.
Please let me know if you have any questions, comments, or concerns. Always open to learning more.
I will also provide updates as I continue to use my indicators.
Happy trading!
Market Structure CHoCH/BOS (Fractal) [LuxAlgo]The Market Structure CHoCH/BOS (Fractal) indicator is an experimental take on classical market structure, whereas fractal patterns are used for their construction instead of swing points.
Compared to utilizing swing points for highlighting market structure like our Smart Money Concepts indicator , fractal-based market structure can appear as more adaptive, however, it can also be more restrictive when it comes to returning swing points which can cause the indicator to miss reversals in some cases.
If enabled from within the settings, users can see support and resistance levels returned from the detected market structure with breakouts highlighted on the chart. Alongside this feature, an additional dashboard showing the structure to fractal structure percentage is also provided.
🔶 SETTINGS
Length: Length of the fractal patterns to detect.
🔹 Style
Bullish Structures: Show bullish structures.
Bearish Structures: Show bullish structures.
Support: Show support levels.
Resistance: Show resistance levels.
🔹 Dashboard
Show Dashboard: Show structure to fractal percentage dashboard on the chart.
Location: Location of the dashboard on the chart.
Size: Dashboard size.
🔶 USAGE
Market structure is commonly used to determine trend direction by using price positions relative to prior swing points. Using fractal patterns to determine market structure can allow users to obtain shorter, more frequent structure labels.
Market structure is commonly classified as follows:
Change of Character (CHoCH), also referred to as Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Break of Structure (BOS), also referred to as Market Structure Break (MSB)
Change of Characters indicate a shift in the market trend, confirming trend reversals. Break of Structures on the other hand occur once a trend is already determined, confirming new higher highs/lower lows.
Using higher length values allow users to detect longer-term fractals, thus highlighting longer-term market structures. The image above detects fractal patterns made of 7 candles, even if the increment is only of 2 bars this significantly reduces the amount of detected market structure labels.
The result obtained by utilizing fractals and higher settings can be a more dynamic view of market structure, however, as seen in the image above this can introduce very significant delay compared to utilizing pure swing points.
🔹 Support/Resistance
The indicator also returns support/resistance levels constructed from the market structure, these levels are obtained similarly to order blocks, finding the minimum on the interval of a bullish market structure and the maximum of a bearish market structure.
Price reaching a support/resistance level can be expected to bounce from it. Once a level is broken, the support/resistance level will no longer extend, and a circle will be displayed highlighting the break.
While utilizing this script for fractal-based market structure, these levels can be useful to ensure all swing points are still considered by the user with the possibility of the indicator missing reversals due to its calculation not being based on swing points themselves.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard reports the structure to fractal percentage, that is the amount of bullish/bearish market structures relative to the total amount of detected bullish/bearish fractal patterns.
This allows us to see how often a detected fractal pattern is used to display a market structure.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Fractals
In the context of technical analysis, Fractals refer to specific patterns that exhibit self-similarity at different scales or timeframes.
The most commonly known fractal pattern consists of a consecutive sequence of candles (more commonly 5), with the central candle being the lowest (in case of a bullish fractal) or highest (in case of a bearish fractal).
A bullish fractal has candles on the right side of the central candle with increasing lows, while candles on the left side have decreasing lows.
A bearish fractal has candles on the right side of the central candle with decreasing highs, while candles on the left side have increasing highs.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
🔹 Smart Money Concepts
🔹 Market Structure Trailing Stop
🔹 ICT Concepts
PD-Box with Fractal Points V1 (by Jonny86FXPro)PD-Box with Fractal Points V1 (by Jonny86FXPro)
This indicator has several functions:
Premium/Discount Box: The two most recent fractal highs and lows form a premium/discount box that provides valuable information about potential price movements.
Fractal Breaker Lines: Two fractal breaker lines are integrated for the high and low points to better visually represent the break of a fractal point.
Customizable: The genius of this indicator is that you can customize everything to your own needs. Whether you want to display lines, or change the colors of the box or lines, everything is possible.
Automatic Adjustment: Once a fractal point is broken, the premium discount automatically adjusts to the current price. Once a new fractal point is formed, the box is automatically adjusted again.
HTF Analysis: Use this indicator for your HTF analysis and determine in which direction the price could develop.
Premium Discount Box Information: When the price is in the premium range, there is a higher probability of a sell-off. However, if the price breaks upward, there is a good chance that it will continue to rise. The opposite is true for the discount range.
Power Behind Each Move: It is important how the price hits the fractal point. If there is power behind each move, the chances are very good that it will continue in that direction. If there is no real power behind it, it could be an indication of a trend reversal.
Weak Breaks: In the premium range, a weak upward break could lead to a bearish move, and in the discount range, a weak downward break through the fractal low point could lead to a move in the bullish direction.
As you can see, this powerful indicator has many functions that can help you determine trend direction and potential price movements.
Quick overview of functions:
Designed for higher timeframes such as 4H chart.
Identifies the last two fractal highs and lows to create a premium/discount box.
Includes two fractal breaker lines for the high and low points to better visually represent fractal breaks.
Customizable to fit individual needs, including the ability to show/hide lines and change box/line colors.
Automatically adjusts premium/discount levels to current price when a fractal point is broken.
Can be used for higher timeframe analysis to determine potential price direction.
Premium/discount box provides insight into potential market direction based on price movement within its range.
Fractal break with strong market momentum indicates a higher chance of trend continuation.
Fractal break with weak market momentum may suggest a potential trend reversal.
A powerful indicator that can greatly assist in determining trend direction.
Dollar cost averaging trading system (DCA)As investors, we often face the dilemma of willing high stock prices when we sell, but not when we buy. There are times when this dilemma causes investors to wait for a dip in prices, thereby potentially missing out on a continual rise. This is how investors get lured away from the markets and become tangled in the slippery slope of market timing, which is not advisable to a long-term investment strategy.
Skyrex developed a complex trading system based on dollar-cost averaging in Quick Fingers Luc's interpretation. It is a combinations of strategies which allows to systematically accumulate assets by investing scaled amounts of money at defined market cycle global support levels. Dollar-cost averaging can reduce the overall impact of price volatility and lower the average cost per asset thus even during market slumps only a small bounce is required to reach take profit.
The strategy script monitors a chart price action and identifies bases as they form. When bases are reached the script provides entry actions. During price action development an asset value can go lower and in this way the script will perform safety entries at each subsequent accumulation levels. When weighted average entry price reaches target profit the script will perform a take profit action.
Bases are identified as pivot lows in a fractal pattern and validated by an adjustable decrease/rise percentage to ensure significancy of identified bases. To qualify a pivot low, the indicator will perform the following validation:
Validate the price rate of change on drops and bounces is above a given threshold amount.
Validate the volume at the low pivot point is above the volume moving average (using a given length).
Validate the volume amount is a given factor of magnitude above is above the volume moving average.
Validate the potential new base is not too close to the previous range by using a given price percent difference threshold amount.
A fractal pattern is a recurring pattern on a price chart that can predict reversals among larger, more chaotic price movements.
These basic fractals are composed of five or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
Basic dollar-cost averaging approach is enhances by implementation of adjustable accumulation levels in order to provide opportunity of setting them at defined global support levels and Martingale volume coefficient to increase averaging effect. According to Quick Fingers Luc's principles trading principles we added volume validation of a base because it allows to confirm that the market is resistant to further price decrease.
The strategy supports traditional and cryptocurrency spot, futures, options and marginal trading exchanges. It works accurately with BTC, USD, USDT, ETH and BNB quote currencies. Best to use with 1H timeframe charts and limit orders. The strategy can be and should be configured for each particular asset according to its global support and resistance levels and price action cycles. You can modify levels and risk management settings to receive better performance
Advantages of this script:
Strategy has high net profit of 255% at backtests
Backtests show high accuracy around 75%
Low Drawdowns of around 14% at backtests
Strategy is sustainable to market slumps and can be used for long-term trading
The strategy provides a large number of entries which is good for diversification
Can be applied to any market and quote currency
Easy to configure user interface settings
How to use?
1. Apply strategy to a trading pair your are interested in using 1H timeframe chart
2. Configure the strategy: change layer values, order size multiple and take profit/stop loss values according to current market cycle stage
3. Set up a TradingView alert to trigger when strategy conditions are met
4. Strategy will send alerts when to enter and when to exit positions which can be applied to your portfolio using external trading platforms
5. Update settings once market conditions are changed using backtests on a monthly period
Fractal Level Zones - Break / Test / RaidFractal Level Zones - Break / Test / Raid
An experimental script that marks out the last two unbroken fractal high and low zones. The aim of the script is to focus on the type of candles that form and close in a zone. They can either tap into the zone or break them.
There are a number of outcomes:
- Break
- Break and retest
- Reversal
- Raid
When a zone is broken, the next untested fractal zone is printed.
How to use:
The indicator is to be used on higher time frames (M,W,D/4H). Monitor the type of candles that in form a zone (Daily TF recommended)
Default icon colours
Orange - Test of Zone
Purple - Break of fractal (can also be a raid)
Alert function included
Indicator in Use
3SMMA + Fractal Strategy [Kintsugi Trading]What is the 3SMMA + Fractal Strategy?
This premium indicator was inspired by my desire to find and place high probability forex trades in any market, direction, or time of day.
Why Forex?
The Forex markets operate 24 hours, 5.5 days a week
Access to meaningful leverage
Ability to easily trade long or short
High liquidity
How to use it!
----- First, start by choosing Breakout Additional PIP Size, Stop Additional PIP Size, and Target Profit (TP) PIP Size. -----
- Breakout Additional PIP Size = Additional PIPs beyond the default strategy entry point.
- Stop Additional PIP Size = The default stop is above/below the signal candle, depending on trade direction. This input allows the user to target more or less PIPs as a stopping-out point.
- Target Profit (TP) PIP Size = Number of PIPs set at a target profit.
----- Next, we set the Session Filter. -----
Set the Timezone and Trade Session you desire. If no specific session is desired, simply leave the box unchecked.
----- Next, we set the Length of the 3 Smoothed Moving Averages. -----
Enter the Desired Moving Average Length:
Length 1 - Source
Length 2 - Source
Length 3 - Source
These inputs will determine whether the strategy looks for Long or Short positions.
----- Next, we set the Fractal Periods. -----
This user input re-programs the strategy to only allow for 'n' number of lower or higher candles on either side of a fractal signal.
For example: If the user inputs "5" for the number of Periods, Fractal indicator signals will only appear on candles with "5" candles higher or lower on both sides of the signal candle.
In combination with the 3 Smoothed Moving Averages, the Fractal signals help us determine when to take a trade and in what direction.
The strategy is essentially looking for trades going with the overall trend and placing potential trades after a low has been reached and is re-tested in the overall trend direction.
----- Finally, we backtest our ideas. -----
After using the 'Strategy Tester' tab on TradingView to thoroughly backtest your predictions you are ready to take it to the next level - Automated Trading!
This was my whole reason for creating the script. If you work a full-time job, live in a time zone that is hard to trade, or just don't have the patience, this will be a game-changer for you as it was for me.
Auto-Trading
When it comes to auto-trading this strategy I have included two options in the script that utilize the alert messages generated by TradingView.
*Note: Please trade on a demo account until you feel comfortable enough to use real money, and then please stick to 1%-2% of your total account value in risk per trade.*
AutoView
PineConnector
Good luck with your trading!
Eliza Ellis Improved FractalsA little side project of mine. may enhance further in the future. Used best for scalping. The longer you're in the market the more the news is waiting to eat you so I'd recommend using high volume and getting in and out quickly
iTradeAIMS | The BOX IndicatorIntroduction to iTradeAIMS The Box Indicator
Here I will attempt to give a brief introduction to this amazing indicator that has revolutionised my trading since 2009.
Everything in the universe is energy and energy follows the path of least resistance. When it moves it heavily influenced by a structure.
When energy flows it reacts to the underlying structure. Electricity flows through copper wires easily compared to "my arm".
A river flows smoothly on flat plains of the land but becomes violent when flowing down a mountain. Why is this? Why does it change its behaviour?
The Science of Chaos Brings us here. Everything in the universe has an internal or underlying structure. That structure is often, but not always, hidden.
The Market has an underlying Unseen Structure. And it can be revealed by using this indicator. TSX:TSL
Anatomy of the Box
The iTradeAIMS Boxes are formed using the high and low of the fractals.
A new AIMS Box will be created whenever price makes a new high or low Fractal.
The bottom of the AIMS Box – the Lower AIMS Level - is created when a low Fractal is formed i.e. the low of a candle is lower than two candles to the left and two candles to the right.
What is the Underlying Structure of the Market?
The underlying structure of the Market is Elliott Wave .
And the Underlying Structure of the Elliott Wave is the Fractals.
This BOX is an indicator based on the Fractals.
The Upper and Lower Levels require a minimum of five bars with the top of the box being the upper Fractal; the bottom of the box, the lower Fractal
The AIMS Levels are the high and low of the AIMS Box – the upper and lower Fractals.
This indicator, by itself, provided the concept that revolutionised my trading.
What are the Benefits of Using AIMS iTradeAIMS The Box?
1. Identify Trend:
The Box will also help you identify Trending Markets.
The Stepping Up pattern it creases is an indication of UPTREND .
The Stepping Down pattern indicates DOWNTREND .
2. Identify Entry Points
The Box will help you identify Entry Points into the market.
There are two ways it helps you make entries into the market.
a) breakout entry
b) trend following entry
3. Identify Range-Bound Market
The Box helps identify a sideways range-bound market.
When the box is not creating either a stepping up or stepping down pattern, it usually indicates to a sideways or rangebound market on that time frame.
4. Help you Make Entries: Calculate Correct Positions Size and Risk Size
The BOX is the structure of the market that offers the best method of How to calculate Risk Per Trade based on the market generated information.
Calculate your Entry Level and Stop Loss level using the Box Levels on either side of the box.
Buying the Box:
Set a Buy Order a Point above the Box and Stop Loss a point below the Box Low.
Selling the Box
Set a Sell Order a Point Below the Box Low and Stop Loss a Point Above the Box High.
TSLA Entries and Exits for Tesla Stock
I took this trade on the box high of this stock OII
I shared the Idea on TradingView as a Buy Signal on OII
Check the BitCoin Entry Here
5. Stop Loss Trailing Mechanism to Lock in Profits
The box levels are used for Trailing Stops.
For Long (Buy) Orders use the box low as a stop loss level for trailing and locking-in profits.
For Shorts (Sell) Orders, use the Box High levels for trailing stop and lock in profits.
6. Support and Resistance
The Box Levels (upper and lower) clearly shows support and resistance – where price approached a level and could not go further, forcing it to retrace on itself.
Pay attention to how box levels create ranges and also indicate trends.
How to Use this Indicator with other Indicators?
This indicator is great on its own but even greater if used in conjunction with iTradeAIMS The Wave and The Gator and The Magic Purple (Script Available FREE to use on iTradeAIMS Profile)
> The market always creates an AIMS Box before it turns around.
> Every trend starts and ends with an AIMS Box.
> Entries are always taken on the breakout of the AIMS Box.
How to Get Access to This Script?
Enjoy and accept it as my gift to the TradingView Community from iTradeAIMS | This Indicator is now available to everyone for FREE.
Credits: I learned the method from Bill Williams of Profitunity.com All credits, thanks, gratitude, positive vibes, and prayers goes to Dr Williams 🥇 (RIP) and his family ❤.
Fractals (Expo)
Fractals (Expo) make use of fractals to identify trends and reversals. The indicator is designed to adapt smoothly and quickly to significant price moves in order to identify trend reversals as well as filtering out noise in an established trend. The indicator is simple to use and understand therefore valuable to all trading styles.
The user has the ability to enable a custom input source which gives the user great flexibility and full control over what the calculations should be based on. The default input source is fractals from the swing points of the market.
Real-Time Trend Alerts
No Repainting
Works on any market and in any timeframe
HOW TO USE
Use the indicator to gain insights into trends and trend reversals.
Identify Trends
Identify Trend reversals
Use it as a Trend filter
INDICATOR IN ACTION
Daily Chart
I hope you find this indicator useful , and please comment or contact me if you like the script or have any questions/suggestions for future improvements. Thanks!
I will continually work on this indicator, so please share your experience and feedback as it will enable me to make even better improvements. Thanks to everyone that has already contacted me regarding my scripts. Your feedback is valuable for future developments!
-----------------
Disclaimer
Copyright by Zeiierman.
The information contained in my scripts/indicators/ideas does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My scripts/indicators/strategies/ideas are only for educational purposes!
ACCESS THE INDICATOR
• Contact me on TradingView or use the links below
Fractal_Trend_MTFFractal_Trend_MTF - 3 fractal trend time frames in 1
Ability to view the fractal trend of 3 times frames in one indicator
Time frames are user configurable
Turn on/off agreement highlights
Specify if a candles needs to close above/below a fractal level to consider it broken - or just break it with its high/low
Alerts enabled for each time-frame and for when all time frames are all in agreement
Usage Note: To accurately display the fractal trends the chart must be opened on a time-frame that is equal to or less than the lowest time-frame specified in the indicator. Tradingview can accurately display higher time frame information on a lower time frame chart but not vice-versa. e.g If the lowest time frame selected is the H1 then view the indicator on the H1 chart or below.
FRACTAL_BREAK - fractal trend analysis
Highlights areas on the chart where Higher Highs or Lower Lows are being created in terms of fractals
Ability to highlight breaks of highs and lows
Configurable fractal break strictness - (candle close vs candle high/low)
The large triangles = a higher high or lower low has been created
The small dashes = a lower high or lower low has been created
Alerts available for fractal break events
Fractal Breakout StrategyFractal
A type of pattern used in technical analysis to predict a reversal in the current trend. A fractal pattern consists of five bars and is identified when the price meets the following characteristics:
1. A shift from a downtrend to an uptrend occurs when the lowest bar is located in the middle of the pattern and two bars with successively higher lows are positioned around it.
2. A shift from an uptrend to a downtrend occurs when the highest bar is located in the middle of the pattern and two bars with successively lower highs are positioned around it.
FRAMA (Ehlers true modified calculation)Credit goes to Shizaru for the original calculation. I made just a few fixes, so that the calculation is really that of Ehlers.
Fixed H2 and L2 period, fixed w natural logarithm
