This indicator uses a simple time series forecasting method derived from the similarity between recent prices and similar/dissimilar historical prices. We named this method "ECHO". This method originally assumes that future prices can be estimated from a historical series of observations that are most similar to the most recent price variations. This similarity...
Note: This description is copied from the script comments. Please refer to the comments and release notes for updated information, as I am unable to edit and update this description. ---------- USAGE This script gives signals based on a volatility forecast, e.g. for a stop loss. It is a simplified version of my other script "trend_vol_forecast", which...
This script helps you evaluate the fair value of an option. It poses the question "if I bought or sold an option under these circumstances in the past, would it have expired in the money, or worthless? What would be its expected value, at expiration, if I opened a position at N standard deviations, given the volatility forecast, with M days to expiration at the...
Returns pivot points high/low alongside the percentage change between one pivot and the previous one (Δ%) and the distance between the same type of pivots in bars (Δt). The trailing mean for each of these metrics is returned on a dashboard on the chart. The indicator also returns an estimate of the future time position of the pivot points. This indicator by its...
EXPERIMENTAL: Forecasting using a polynomial regression over the estimates of multiple linear regression forecasts. note: on low data the estimates are skewd away of initial value, i added the i_min_estimate option in to try curve this issue with limited success "o_o.
Function to calculate a forecast using a linear regression approach, this is the same function used on excel and other data sheet programs. reference: - support.microsoft.com - stackoverflow.com
This script allows to use 5 different MAs with prediction of the next five periods.
This indicator shows the ROI % of Bitcoin from when it passed its ATH of the previous bull cycle. I found it interesting that each time it crossed its ATH it took around 260-280 days to peak for each one. This bull run seems to follow between both of the previous bull runs including this recent dip. There are a couple issues I want to fix but can't figure out: 1....
This is an experimental study designed to forecast the range of price movement from a specified starting point using a Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo experiments are a broad class of computational algorithms that utilize random sampling to derive real world numerical results. These types of algorithms have a number of applications in numerous fields of study...
The Forecast Oscillator is a technical indicator that compares a security close price to its time series forecast. The time series forecast function name is "tsf" and it calculates the projection of the price trend for the next bar. The Forecast Oscillator and therefore the time series forecast are based on linear regression. The time series forecast indicator...
Moving Regression is a generalization of moving average and polynomial regression. The procedure approximates a specified number of prior data points with a polynomial function of a user-defined degree. Then, polynomial interpolation of the last data point is used to construct a Moving Regression time series. Application: Moving Regression allows one to smooth...
Experimental script to plot a forecast for the Donchian Channels indicator. By using show_last = 2 , the forecast shows a solid line, this gets messed up on the bar when a new high or low is made.. Like the image below. I don't know how to fix that, please tell me if you do :)
The core idea is that given a deaths count and a death ratio, we can calculate how many cases must exist. Total Cases <-> 100% Deaths <-> Death Rate This script plots the total cases for two different death rates. Death Rate = (Deaths * 100) / Total Cases Remember to update the DEATHS_X value in the script settings so that it matches the COMFIRMED_X graph...
experimental: zigzag indicator with all the zigzag methods that im aware of(that matter atleast), theres something for all tastes there :P this will be the basis for zigzag tools i make in the future. note: some zigzags REPAINT.
Fit a quadratic polynomial (parabola) to the last length data points by minimizing the sum of squares between the data and the fitted results. The script can extrapolate the results in the future and can also display the R-squared of the model. Note that this script is subject to some limitations (more in the "Notes" section). Settings Length : Number of...
EXPERIMENTAL: Using keltner channels with automatic multiplier finding, offsets and show_last cutoffs to generate a forecast area. video showing why its named keltner worms :p.. streamable.com
Experimental: its a play at linear forecasting. use replay feature to see it in action: streamable.com
This is my original indicator that was inspired by "Mayer Multiple" and "Chande Forecast Oscillator" (CFO). I decided to search truth of trend power with SMA and LinReg and found it in a somewhere of the middle. Also, I added a limit area, where you need to keep a more attention, because it can show a potential reversal. You can change parametrs with a your own...