True stock performance based on Earnings YieldThe whole basis of the stock market is that you invest your money into a business that can use that money to increase it's earnings and pay you back for that investment with dividends and increased stock value. But because we are human the market often overbuy stocks that cant keep up their earnings with the current inflow of investments. We can also oversell a stock that is keeping up with earnings in regards to the stock price but we don't care because of the sentiment we have.
Earnings Yield is simply the percentage of Earnings Per Share in relation to the stock price. Alone, it's a great fundamental indicator to analyze a company. But I wanted to use it in another way and got tired of using the calculator all the time so that's why I made this indicator.
The goal is to see if the STOCK price is moving accordingly to the BUSINESS earnings. It works by calculating the difference of EY (TTM) previous close (1 bar) to the close thereafter. It then calculates the stock performance of the latest bar and divides that to get decimal form instead of percent. Then it divides the stock performance in decimal form with the difference of EY calculated before. The result shows how much the stock prices moves in relation to how much EY is moving. The theory is that if EY barely moves but the stock price moves heavily, you have a sentiment driven trend.
Example: Week 1 EY = 1.201. Week 2 EY = 1.105.
1.201 - 1.105 = 0.096
Week 2 performed a 11,2% increase in stock price. = 0.112 in decimal form.
0.112 / 0.096 = 1.67
1.67 is the multiple that plots this indicator.
Here is an good example of a stock that's currently in a highly sentiment driven trend, NVIDIA! (Posted 2024-03-30)
Here is an example of a Swedish stock that retail investors flocked to that have been blowned out completely.
When do I buy and sell?
This indicator is not meant to give exact entries or exits. The purpose is to scout the current and past sentiment, possible divergencies and see if a stock is over or under valued. I did add a 50 EMA to get some form of mean plotted. One could buy when true performance is low and sell when true performance drops below the 50 EMA. You could also just sell a part of your position and set a trailing exit with a ordinary 50 EMA or something like that. Often the sentiment will keep driving the price up. But if it last for 1 month or 1 year is impossible to tell.
Try it out and learn how it works and use it as you like. Cheers!
Отчётность
Earnings Line+Growth stock investors are concerned with Earnings per share that is growing, Sales (Revenue) that is growing and Increasing gross margins. This indicator helps view each of these parameters.
On the chart is Tesla (TSLA) gross margin (blue line) on a 12 trailing months basis (TTM). As you can see, TSLA's margins appear to be eroding.
The user selects one of the following parameters to display from the input drop down menu:
"EARNINGS_PER_SHARE_BASIC", "TOTAL_REVENUE", or "GROSS_MARGIN".
The value axis for your selection will appear on the left side of the chart.
The user also selects one of the following periods: "FY", "FQ" or "TTM" (Fiscal year, fiscal quarter or 12-trailing months). You have an option to display the inputs by checking the box. This is useful as a reminder but can be removed if the label is in the way.
The chart will render on any chart time scale, however longer time scales will probably be of more value. Weekly charts work well.
It is not possible to display more than one line simultaneously because of axis incompatibilities. However, it is possible to load this indicator multiple times and select different items in each. In this case additional left-side scales will be shown as well as additional lines. Common pairings are Revenue (Sales) and Earnings, or, Revenue and Gross Margin.
@ jmikes
Earnings CountdownSince TradingView for some reason removed the small UI element in the symbol details window showing the amount of days left til a company releases its next earnings report, I decided to make my own.
A simple script with options for choosing the position and at what amount of days left the displayed color should change to red (mimicking the old feature).
I would suggest placing the indicator somewhere else than the main price chart, since it will be difficult to place it somewhere where it doesn't obscure something. Default is bottom and right since I place it on a separate volume indicator where the number is clearly visible.
Free cash flow yieldThis script shows
- FCF Yield Net based on enterprise value. See reference: www.investopedia.com
- FCF Yield Diluted: which reduced CFC net by dilution amount.
- FCF % change.
This should give you a good overview on how well the company is at growing FCF and how efficiently they are creating FCF.
The Strat with Continuity [starlord_xrp]This indicator shows entry and exit points for The Strat as well as potential setups. It also has full time frame continuity detection.
Earnings Yield SpreadThe Earnings Yield Spread might offer an investor some insight into areas of value.
Earnings yield is the ratio of Diluted earnings per share over the trailing twelve months (TTM) to the company’s share price. Earnings yield shows how much the company has earned per share as a percentage of its share price. It shows investors how much yield they are getting in earnings in return for owning the stock at its current share price. (Thank you, TradingView)
One might wonder how the earnings yield on their investment compares to the yield on a US 10 year treasury bond. The Earnings Yield Spread indicator will read above zero if the stock in question earnings yield is higher than US10Y and will read below zero if the stock in question earnings yield is lower than the US10Y.
Earnings yield is relative to the stock in question, so comparisons should be drawn to its own historical reading and not to other symbols.
Quarterly EarningsThis script displays quarterly earnings per share (EPS) and sales data, and their year-on-year percentage change.
The script builds upon the Volume Price and Fundamentals script by Mohit_Kakkar08 and improves upon the array functions to keep the code light-weight & the output as accurate as possible. This script uses diluted EPS data for calculating the quarterly earnings. New quarters are auto-generated by the script as the earnings data gets updated in Tradingview every quarter.
Features:
⦿ View quarterly earnings per share (EPS) and sales data.
⦿ The percentage change is a YoY (year on year) comparison of the current quarter to the same quarter of the previous year.
⦿ Option to change the data from Quarterly (FQ) to Yearly (FY) .
⦿ Long mode : Option to increase the number of previous quarters displayed in the table (default is the past 4 quarters) to any number.
⦿ Location & size of the table can be changed.
⦿ Option for a 1-click dark mode
⦿ Option for a ' Mini mode ' where the values are replaced by traffic lights for a quick visual:
🟢 or 🔵 YoY increase in earnings/sales
🔴 or 🟣 YoY decrease in earnings/sales
🟡 or 🟠 YoY earnings/sales unchanged
⚪️ No data available
⦿ The top-left cell has the option to display either the free float (FF) or the marketcap (Mcap) of the stock.
Please note that sometimes the Tradingview data reflected in the script output might differ a bit from MarketSmith. Also make sure you are viewing the 'consolidated' data there.
This script was developed as a collaboration between me & @EquityCraze .
ATR profit and loss linesWhat is ATR?
Taking a candlestick, the following 3 transactions are calculated:
1-The difference between the high of the day and the low of the day
2-The difference between today's high and yesterday's close
3-The difference between today's low and yesterday's close
Atr takes the average of these 14-day candlesticks after making their calculations and it predicts how high or low a candle can go and these give us support and resistance helps with points
If you have noticed a rise in your chart and have no idea how high it will go, you can use Atr profit and loss lines.
The red zone is the stop point, the blue zones are the snow zones.
Must be used with macd. macd is validator.
There is an increase in your chart, you opened the atr profit and loss lines upwards and if macd gives you an increase, it is recommended that you enter the trade at that time. It is recommended to increase your loss line 1 step in the direction of profit every 2 profit breaks on atr profit and loss lines.
ATR Nedir?
Bir mum barı ele alınarak şu 3 işlem hesaplanır:
1-Günün yükseği ile günün düşüğü farkı
2-Günün yükseği ile dünün kapanışının farkı
3-Günün düşüğü ile dünkü kapanışın farkı
ATR ise 14 günlük bu mum barlarının hesaplarını yaptıktan sonra ortalamasını alır ve bir mumum ne kadar yükselip düşebileceği konusunda tahmin verir ve bunlar bize destek ve direnç noktaları konusunda yardımcı olur
Eğer grafiğinizde bir yükseliş farketmişseniz ne kadar yükseleceği konusunda fikriniz yoksa Atr kar zarar çizgilerini kullanabilirsiniz.
Kırmızı bölge durdurma noktası,mavi bölgeler kar bölgeleridir.
Macd ile birlikte kullanılmalıdır.macd doğrulayıcıdır.
Grafiğinizde yükseliş var,atr kar zarar çizgilerini yukarı yönlü açtınız ve macd size yükseliş veriyorsa işte o sırada işleme girmeniz tavsiye edilir.atr kar zarar çizgilerinde her 2 kar kırılımında bir zarar çizginizi kar yönünde 1 kademe arttırmanız önerilir
Joel Greenblatt Magic FormulaJoel Greenblatt Magic Formula. I always wanted to make this.
The Indicator shows 3 values.
ROC,EY,SUM.
ROC= Return On Capital.
EY=Earnings Yield
SUM= Addition of Two.
Formula:
ROC=EBIT / (Net Working Capital + Net Fixed Assets).
EY = EBIT / Enterprise value
Enterprise Value=(Market value of equity + Net Interest-bearing debt)
To implement the strategy, investors start by identifying a universe of stocks, typically large-cap or mid-cap companies that trade on a major stock exchange. Next, they rank the stocks based on their ROC and EY. The companies with the best combination of these two metrics are considered the best investments (based on this ranking).
For example, a stock that ranks 10th on EY and 99th on ROIC gets a value of 109. The two ranks are simply added together and all stocks are ranked on the sum of the two ranks. The stocks with the lowest values are best.
All credits to "The Little Book That Beats The Market" by Joel Greenblatt
The Magic Formula strategy is a stock selection method popularized by Joel Greenblatt’s book The Little Book That Beats the Market.
It involves ranking companies based on Two factors:
A high return on capital and A high Earnings Yield.
The companies with the best combination of these two metrics are considered the best investments. The strategy aims to find undervalued companies with strong financials that have the potential for high returns over the long term.
Fundamental ScreenerThis indicator is designed to compare the year-over-year earnings and sales growth, as well as the P/E ratio of up to 10 stocks simultaneously .
This provides valuable insights into the fundamental performance of multiple stocks at the same time, allowing traders to quickly identify which stocks are outperforming or underperforming their peers.
The earnings and sales growth figures are calculated on a year-over-year basis , comparing the most recent quarter to the same quarter 1 year ago.
The P/E ratio is a valuation metric that measures a company's stock price relative to its trailing twelve months earnings per share.
By comparing these three key metrics across multiple stocks, traders can quickly identify which stock in a group has superior fundamentals.
Customization
Chose to compare 5 or 10 symbols
Table position, color, and size
RS RatingHello everyone.
The RS Rating (or Relative Strenght Rating) is a metric that tracks a stock's price performance relative to the rest of the market. Specifically, it looks at a stock's relative strength over the last 52 weeks.
It allows you to identify at a glance stocks that are outperforming the market and may be poised for further gains.
Designed for break-out traders, trend follower, value investors, the RS Rating can help you identify promising opportunities and make informed investment decisions.
The Rating stands as follow:
- From 1 (worst) to 99 (best)
- 99 rating means the stock is outperforming 99% of all stocks in terms of relative share price performance over the last 52 weeks.
The RS Rating is accompanied by the RS line which is a representation of the progress of the asset against the comparative symbol. (Here SP500)
Of course this script is inspired by the IBD rating system.
The results may be equivalent but it is not guaranteed.
This indicator proposes a scoring system in the style of the one proposed by IBD.
Indeed for an optimal result, it would be necessary to compare the relative performance of all actions, which is not yet possible on PineScript.
Here is the formula for calculating the score:
RS Score = 40% * P3 + 20% * P6 + 20% * P9 + 20% * P12
With
P3 = Performance over the last 3 months
P6 = Performance over the last 6 months
P9 = Performance over the last 9 months
P12 = Performance over the last 12 months
There is no equivalent solution for the moment on TradingView.
The rating score will only appear on the daily timeframe.
For now it's my pleasure to share!
Kitti-Playbook request.earnings R0.0Date: Feb 5 2023
Objective :
Display Earnings per share
Calculation :
Get Earning value by use Function "request.earnings "
Display :
Plot Earnings Data
Earnings History Tab
Valuation RainbowValuation Rainbow
© danny_peanuts
Stock value based on Book Value, Earnings, Dividends and Money Multiplier
SV = (BVPS + EPS + DPS) * MM
BVPS = Book Value Per Share
EPS = Earnings Per Share
DPS = Dividends Per Share
MM = Money Multiplier - Integer Number from 1,2,3, ... ,7
There are multiple ways of valuing the stock. Book value is traditionally used as the basic valuation since it's calculate the total asset value minus the liabilities of any company. There are valuation based on multiplication of book value, there are valuation based on multiplication of earnings, and valuation based on multiplication of dividends. Here I'm proposing valuation based on all of these combined. So this indicator is measuring stock value based on multiplication of book value plus earning plus dividend per share. Since the money supply could have an multiplication effect so does the stock value could have a multiplication effect. Also notes that some blue chips stock tends to value higher than startup stock due to money is not equally distributed. So for simplicity I will use simple integer number to represent this multiplication effect as rainbow color plots, thus it can be applied to any stock at any given countries. The higher the stock price on valuation bands the most expensive it is and the lower the price on valuation bands the cheaper it is.
Enterprise Value on Earnings / FCF / FFO Band Enterprise Value per Diluted Share plotted as black line.
Bands start at 5x and stops at 30x, each represents a 5x increment.
Band Options (per Diluted Share, Fiscal Year):
①Free Cash Flow
②Operating Income
③Adjusted Funds from Operations
④Core Earnings
where:
AFfO = FFO - Unusual Income/Expenses + Tax Distortion (dafault 25% tax rate)
Core Earnings = Net Income - Unusual Income/Expenses + Tax Distortion (default 25% tax rate)
These two adjustments are coarse and watered-down, so take them with a grain of salt.
For professional assessments of Core Earnings versus GAAP Earnings you may go to David Trainer at Great Speculations(costs money). I am unaffiliated with these entities.
Tips:
①③ are unapplicable to financials.
③ may work for REIT-like companies whose depreciation is mostly overstated(e.g. hydro-elec utility companies whose dams typically don't wear out in ten years; companies with assets that APPRECIATE in reality but they D&A them anyway).
Probably none works for cyclicals, especially extreme boom-bust cyclicals such as oil, aluminum & shipping etc.
Beware unnaturally low (dividend_payout+buyback)/net_income ratio as some majority shareholders may funnel money to themselves/cronies at the expense of small shareholders.
Disclaimer: Use at your own discretion. No guarantees for any accuracy or usefulness. If you decide to use it, I take no responsibility whatsoever for any consequences. Does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not Indicative of future results.
Rule Of 20 - Fair Value Estimation by Inflation & Earnings (TG)The Rule Of 20 is a heuristic calculation to find the fair value of an asset or market given its earnings and current inflation.
Its calculation is straightforward: the fair multiple of the price or price-to-earnings ratio of a stock should be 20 minus the rate of inflation.
In math terms: fair_price-to-earnings_ratio = (20 - inflation) ; fair_value = current_price * fair_price-to-earnings_ratio / real_price-to-earnings_ratio
For example, if a stock or index was trading on 11 times earnings and inflation was 2%, then the theory would be that the fair price-to-earnings ratio would be 20-2 = 18, which is much higher than the real price-to-earnings ratio of 11, and hence the asset would be undervalued.
Conversely, a market or company that was trading on 18 times price-to-earnings ration when inflation was 8% was seen as overvalued, because of the fair price-to-earnings ratio being 20-8=12, hence much lower than the real price-to-earnings ratio of 18.
We can then project the delta between the fair PE and real PE onto the asset's value to obtain the projected fair value, which may be a target of future value the asset may reach or hover around.
For example, as of 1st November 2022, SPX stood at 3871.97, with a PE ratio of 20.14 and an inflation in the US of 7.70. Using the Rule Of 20, we find that the fair PE ratio is 20-7.7=12.3, which is much lower than the current PE ratio of 20.14 by 39%! This may indicate a future possibility of a further downside risk by 39% from current valuation levels.
The origins of this rule are unknown, although the legendary US fund manager Peter Lynch is said to have been an active proponent when he was directing the Fidelity’s Magellan fund from 1977 to 1990.
For more infos about the Rule Of 20, reading this article is recommended: www.sharesmagazine.co.uk
This indicator implements the Rule Of 20 on any asset where the Financials are availble to TradingView, and also for the entire SP:SPX index as a way to assess the wider US stock market. Technically, the calculation is a bit different for the latter, as we cannot access earnings of SPX through Financials on TradingView, so we access it using the QUANDL:MULTPL/SP500_PE_RATIO_MONTH ticker instead.
By default are displayed:
current asset value in red
fair asset value according to the Rule Of 20 in white for SPX, or different shades of purple/maroon for other assets. Note that for SPX there is only one calculation, whereas for other assets there are multiple different ways to calculate earnings, so different fair values can be computed.
fair price-to-earnings ratio (PE ratio) in light grey.
real price-to-earnings ratio in darker grey.
This indicator can be used on SP:SPX ticker, and on most NASDAQ:* tickers, since they have Financials integrated in TradingView. Stocks tickers from other exchanges may not provide Financials data, so this indicator won't work then. If this happens, try to find the same ticker on NASDAQ instead.
Note that by default, only the US stock market is considered. If you want to consider stocks or assets in other regions of the world, please change the inflation ticker to a ticker that reflect the target region's inflation.
Also adding a table to ease interpretation was considered, but then the Timeframe MTF parameter would not work, and since the big advantage of this indicator is to allow for historical comparisons, the table was dropped.
Enjoy, and keep in mind that all models are wrong, but some are useful.
Trade safely!
TG
[GTH] Net Profit Margin (%)Displays the Net Profit Margin in a more "readable" fashion than the built-in TV Indicator.
This indicator concludes the series of 'Minervini-indicators', consisting of "GTH Earnings", "GTH Revenues" and "GTH Net Profit Margin (%)".
Famous trader Mark Minervini repeately describes rising earnings, revenues and net profit margin as the most important financials for finding superperformers.
In case of reporting a malfunction: Please be specific. Statements like "does not work" are useless. Thanks.
[GTH] Earnings
Black line -> actually Reported Earnings
Colored bars -> positive/negative surprise in regard to Estimated Earnings
Labels -> percentage of change in regard of the previous Reported Earnings
EPS & SalesHi everyone,
I just adapted a little utility script to visualise EPS % increase (quarters vs Year -1) and sales.
I used the code from @ARUN_SAXENA and modified it to fix what I saw as issues.
(Using base 3M instead of 1M +
request.earnings(syminfo.tickerid, earnings.actual, ignore_invalid_symbol=true)
instead of
request.financial(syminfo.tickerid, "EARNINGS_PER_SHARE", "FQ")
Data will differ from MarketSmith because they use sometimes actual EPS sometimes standard, but think we can at least trust what we see in term of %
The tool is far from being perfect !
Nabz-BBMACD-2022-V1.1I have tried to make script which triggers indicators on combination of different feedback including Bollinger bands and MACD. Also used some of my logic by trial and error, It gave 744%+ profit on back-testing on coin RUNE/USDT from Jan 2021. It is my first script, I am happy to help the community. Please share your feedback.
EPS DashboardThis script creates a little table in an indicator below your chart that allows you to view the earnings per share over the last year as well as calculates the year over year earnings per share growth. According to IBD, strong EPS growth is a great indicator of a potential super-performer stock so hopefully this will make it easier to keep an eye on this metric. Note it does not work on things without financial data like crypto, indexes, and ETFs.
Earnings Price Move Cheat Sheet [KT]Hello!
This script looks to distinguish replicable sequences and correlations between earnings releases and price. The indicator calculates the average 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset prior to an earnings release, and the 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset subsequent an earnings release.
You can select the number of sessions the script calculates for asset performance.
In the image above the script calculates the average 1-session performance following an earnings surprise, earnings miss, and in general. 20 sessions is the maximum value!
Also measured is the average performance of an asset before and after earnings, in addition to the average performance following an earnings surprise "green earnings" and the average performance following an earnings miss "red earnings".
I included VaR and CVaR calculations - using the historical method - in the script. For those of you unfamiliar with the metrics, both look to quantify the risk of financial loss for a portfolio, or even a particular position.
The script also calculates the 1st - 5th percentile for earnings losses. A more comprehensive explanation of the metrics is stored in tooltips in the user input tab.
The script also calculates the highest high and lowest low following an earnings release, up to 20 sessions, and calculates the difference between the two.
Keep in mind that a company might not have a significant number of earnings misses, or may have only traded publicly for a short while. If true, the resulting earnings/price calculations *will* be misleading - there is an insufficient sample size; no correlations are ascertainable.
I will be working on this script more, so let me know if there is anything you would like included!
Financial GrowthThis indicator will acquire the financial data provided by Tradview.
the data is compare between Quarter, Annual and TTM in term of percent of growth.
YoY, QoQ and CAGR is also available by this script (The minimum is 4).
in addition, ploting of data, label and table also available (you can check the mark to toggle on / off).
Data : Revenue, Net Income, EBITDA, EPS, DVPS, Free Cash Flow and Forward PE .
How to use it.
just select the financial data, period and size of data to compare.
you can check the box to toggle the plotting line, label and table.
Enjoy.
