AMDX Time ZoneThis script is base on the theory of @traderdaye, on the TimeZone AMDX
Accumulation
Manipulation
Distribution
X reversal / continuation
OR
AMDX
It show you the box on intraday Timeframe:
Q1: 18.00 - 19.30 | Q2: 19.30 - 21.00 | Q3: 21.00 - 22.30 | Q4: 22.30 - 00.00 (90min Cycles of the Asian Session)
Q1: 00.00 - 01.30 | Q2: 01.30 - 03.00 | Q3: 03.00 - 04.30 | Q4: 04.30 - 06.00 (90min Cycles of the London Session)
Q1: 06.00 - 07.30 | Q2: 07.30 - 09.00 | Q3: 09.00 - 10.30 | Q4: 10.30 - 12.00 (90min Cycles of the NY Session)
Q1: 12.00 - 13.30 | Q2: 13.30 - 15.00 | Q3: 15.00 - 16.30 | Q4: 16.30 - 18.00 (90min Cycles of the PM Session)
You can extend this theory to the day => to the week => to the month
Thanks LuxAlgo for the base,
Hope you enjoy it
Циклический анализ
Daye Quarterly Theory by toodegrees> Introduction and Acknowledgements
The Daye Quarterly Theory° tool encompasses the cyclical Time aspect of the markets as studied and developed by Daye (traderdaye on Twitter).
I am not the creator of this Theory, and I do not hold the answers to all the questions you may have; I suggest you to study it from Daye's tweets and material.
I collaborated directly with Daye to bring a comprehensive Time tool to Tradingview.
S/O to @a1tmaniac and @joshuuu for their previous works on this Theory.
> Tool Description
This is purely a graphical aid for traders to be able to quickly determine Daye's Quarterly Cycles, and save Time while on the charts.
The disruptive value of this tool is that it reliably plots forwards in Time, allowing you to strategize and tape read efficiently; as well as calculating all the Cycles, from Micro Sessions, to the Year.
> Quarterly Theory by Daye
The underlying idea is that Time is to be divided in Quarters for correct interpretation of Market Cycles. The specific starting point of a Cycle will depend on the Timeframe at hand.
Daye being one of the most prominent Inner Circle Trader students, these ideas stem from ICT's concepts themselves, and are to be used hand in hand (PD Array Matrix, PO3, Institutional Price Levels, ...).
These Quarters represent:
A - Accumulation (required for a cycle to occur)
M - Manipulation
D - Distribution
X - Reversal/Continuation
The latter are going to always be in this specific sequence; however the cycle can be transposed to have its beginning in X, trivially followed by A, M, and finally D.
This feature is not automatic and at the subjective discretion of the Analyst.
Note: this theory has been developed on Futures, hence its validity and reliability may change depending on the market Time.
This tool does provide a dynamic and auto-adapting aspect to different market types and Times, however they must be seen as experimental.
> Quarterly Cycles
The Quarterly Cycles currently supported are: Yearly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 90 Minute, Micro Sessions.
– Yearly Cycle:
Analogously to financial quarters, the year is divided in four sections of three months each
Q1 - January, February, March
Q2 - April, May, June (True Open, April Open)
Q3 - July, August, September
Q4 - October, November, December
Note: this Cycle is the most difficult to optimize as Timeframes become more granular due to the sheer length of its duration. With Time and advancements it will become more accurate. This is the only Cycle for which accuracy is not 100%.
– Monthly Cycle:
Considering that we have four weeks in a month, we start the cycle on the first month’s Monday (regardless of the calendar Day).
Q1 - Week 1, first Monday of the month
Q2 - Week 2, second Monday of the month (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price)
Q3 - Week 3, third Monday of the month
Q4 - Week 4, fourth Monday of the month
– Weekly Cycle:
Daye determined that although the trading week is composed by 5 trading days, we should ignore Friday, and the small portion of Sunday’s price action.
Q1 - Monday
Q2 - Tuesday (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price)
Q3 - Wednesday
Q4 - Thursday
– Daily Cycle:
The Day can be broken down into 6H quarters. These Times roughly define the sessions of the Trading Day, reinforcing the Theory’s validity.
Q1 - 18:00 - 00:00, Asian Session
Q2 - 00:00 - 06:00, London Session (True Open, Midnight New York Time)
Q3 - 06:00 - 12:00, NY Session
Q4 - 12:00 - 18:00, PM Session
Note: these Times are based on Futures Trading in New York Time, these will vary depending on the market type (experimental).
– 90 Minute Cycle:
Merely dividing one of the Daily Cycle’s Quarters we obtain 90 minute quarters. The first one in a Trading Day – 90min Cycles of the Asian Session – follows as an example, in New York Time.
Q1 - 18:00 - 19:30
Q2 - 19:30 - 21:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 21:00 - 22:30
Q4 - 22:30 - 00:00
– Micro Cycle:
Lastly, dividing a 90 Minute Cycle yields 22.5 Minute Quarters, known as Micro Sessions. An example breaking down the 90 Minute Cycle from 18:00 to 19:30 follows.
Q1 - 18:00 - 18:22:30
Q2 - 18:22:30 - 18:45 (True Open)
Q3 - 18:45 - 19:07:30
Q4 - 19:07:30 - 19:30
Note: trivially, these may not be exact unless the Timeframe is in the seconds, to correctly account for the half minute in each quarter – this said the tool is able to plot these anyways, although slight inaccuracy needs to be taken account depending on the Timeframe.
It is important to remember and be aware that the current chart’s Timeframe will heavily impact the plotted Time Cycles. This tool is in its initial form and it will be improved and adapted as traders start using it on a daily basis.
> Tool Settings
Plot Settings:
"Plot Type" will allow you to decide how the Cycles will be displayed. Out of the box the tool will be plotted on a separate pane, at the bottom of the chart; you can decide the orientation of the cycles from longest cycle at the bottom (Bottom Pane), or top (Top Pane). Alternatively you can move the tool to the chart and have the cycles plot on price (Move To -> Existing Pane Above), specifically above price (Top), or below (Bottom). The cycles will auto adjust their position based on the visible price action.
"Historical Cycles" will show previous Historical Cycles, up to where available in terms of script memory.
"Plot Size" will allow you to vary the height of the Cycle’s boxes
"Show Labels" will give you an auto-adapting legend which will help you determine which Cycle is which if you get lost.
The remaining Settings are self explanatory, allowing you to change colors, and choose which Cycles to see.
The source of the code is hidden due to the use of private libraries of mine. Happy to answer any questions in terms of code, where I will not be able to divulge any detail that concerns said libraries. Thank you for understanding!
Major thanks to Daye for his Time and Knowledge, it was a pleasure to collaborate and work together on this tool.
GLGT!
LIT - TimingIntroduction
This Script displays the Asia Session Range, the London Open Inducement Window, the NY Open Inducement Window, the Previous Week's high and low, the Previous Day's highs and lows, and the Day Open price in the cleanest way possible.
Description
The Indicator is based on UTC -7 timing but displays the Session Boxes automatically correct at your chart so you do not have to adjust any timings based on your Time Zone and don't have to do any calculations based on your UTC. It is already perfect.
You will see on default settings the purple Asia Box and 2 grey boxes, the first one is for the London Open Inducement Window (1 hour) and the second grey box is for the NY Open Inducement Window (also 1 hour)
Asia Range comes with default settings with the Asia Range high, low, and midline, you can remove these 3 lines in the settings "style" and untick the "Lines" box, that way you only will have the boxes displayed.
Special Feature
Most Timing-based Indicators have "bugged" boxes or don't show clean boxes at all and don't adjust at daylight savings times, we made sure that everything automatically gets adjusted so you don't have to! So the timings will always display at the correct time regarding the daylight savings times.
Combining Timing with Liquidity Zones the right way and in a clear, clean, and simple format.
Different than others this script also shows the "true" Asia range as it respects the "day open gap" which affects the Asia range in other scripts and it also covers the full 8 hours of Asia Session.
Additions
You can add in the settings menu the last week's high and low, the previous day's high and low, and also the day's open price by ticking the boxes in the settings menu
All colors of the boxes are fully adjustable and customizable for your personal preferences. Same for the previous weeks and day highs and lows. Just go to "Style" and you can adjust the Line types or colors to your preferred choice.
Recommended Use
The most beautiful display is on the M5 Timeframe as you have a clear overview of all sessions without losing the intraday view. You can also use it on the M1 for more details or the M15 for the bigger picture. The Template can hide on higher time frames starting from the H1 to not flood your chart with boxes.
How to use the Asia Session Range Box
Use the Asia Range Box as your intraday Guide, keep in mind that a Breakout of Asia high or low induces Liquidity and a common price behavior is a reversal after the fake breakout of that range.
How to use the London Open and NY Open Inducement Windows
Both grey boxes highlight the Open of either London Open or NY Open and you should keep an eye out for potential Liquditiy Graps or Mitigations during that times as this is when they introduce major Liquidity for the regarding Session.
How to use the Asia high, low and midline and day open price
After Asia Range got taken out in one direction, often price comes back to those levels to mitigate or bounce off, so you can imagine those zones as support and resistance on some occasions, recommended in combination with Imbalances.
How to use the previous day and week's highs and lows
Once added in the settings, you can display those price levels, you can use them either as Liquidity Targets or as Inducement Levels once they are taken out.
Enjoy!
Seasonality by Scan Your StratOverview :
This indicator helps with seasonality on the security. Seasonal analysis searches for repeating patterns across the years. Our recommended timeframe to look for seasonality is a minimum of 5 years. The idea is to see if there are predictable movements in price that recur every calendar year.
How it works/Calculations :
It will take all the years that you choose, whether 5 or 10 or 15 years or more and will analyze the average movement by calendar year and then will detrend the results to give you a chart that goes horizontally and makes you see a clearer picture of periods of strengths or periods of weakness. It will take the ROC of each day for each year and average the results and at the end will give you a chart with line that can show uptrend or downtrend.
Potential Pitfalls :
Certain events of that year can affect the movement for that security more than a “normal” year would. In addition, there are similar price action moves that can happen across several years that have no true seasonal basis. For example, company news released coincidentally at the same time of the year over several years and can lead to show a seasonal pattern when there is not one. You can battle this by using more years like 10 or 15 years or by eliminating years from being analyze. On the other hand, using too many years (like distant past) may have little to do with today's price action and seasonal trends.
How to use :
You should not be using this indicator for entries or stop. This indicator will help you identify potential periods of strength and may help you in holding longer. Sometimes seasonal periods can start sooner or later to the chart. Very important, the indicator will work only on daily candle as the smallest timeframe.
Settings :
- Start year and end year : to put years where you want to start your analysis and where it ends. For example, you can put 2013 as a start and 2022 year end. *”Use years back” will need to be at 0 for this option to work.
- Use years back : you can put directly 10 years and will analyze 2013 to 2022. If there is a number in here like 5, will mean the last 5 years and will trump any years on the above section. "0" means is deactivated and you can use start year and end year options.
- Avoid year - there are 3 spots if you wanted to avoid certain years in a series. For example, lets say you want to analyze the last 10 years but you want to eliminate 2020 due to covid then you can put in here up to 3 different years that will not be taken into account.
- Start month and end month : it will be automatic at start 1 and end 12, but if you wanted to just see a specific timeframe you can adjust in here.
Disclaimer :
This is still an indicator that is being tested and in no way should be used alone. Currently will be in closed beta to find bugs and to work on accuracy.
The information contained in this script does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts are only for educational purposes!
Bitcoin Market Cap wave model weeklyThis Bitcoin Market Cap wave model indicator is rooted in the foundation of my previously developed tool, the : Bitcoin wave model
To derive the Total Market Cap from the Bitcoin wave price model, I employed a straightforward estimation for the Total Market Supply (TMS). This estimation relies on the formula:
TMS <= (1 - 2^(-h)) for any h.This equation holds true for any value of h, which will be elaborated upon shortly. It is important to note that this inequality becomes the equality at the dates of halvings, diverging only slightly during other periods.
Bitcoin wave model is based on the logarithmic regression model and the sinusoidal waves, induced by the halving events.
This chart presents the outcome of an in-depth analysis of the complete set of Bitcoin price data available from October 2009 to August 2023.
The central concept is that the logarithm of the Bitcoin price closely adheres to the logarithmic regression model. If we plot the logarithm of the price against the logarithm of time, it forms a nearly straight line.
The parameters of this model are provided in the script as follows: log(BTCUSD) = 1.48 + 5.44log(h).
The secondary concept involves employing the inherent time unit of Bitcoin instead of days:
'h' denotes a slightly adjusted time measurement intrinsic to the Bitcoin blockchain. It can be approximated as (days since the genesis block) * 0.0007. Precisely, 'h' is defined as follows: h = 0 at the genesis block, h = 1 at the first halving block, and so forth. In general, h = block height / 210,000.
Adjustments are made to account for variations in block creation time.
The third concept revolves around investigating halving waves triggered by supply shock events resulting from the halvings. These halvings occur at regular intervals in Bitcoin's native time 'h'. All halvings transpire when 'h' is an integer. These events induce waves with intervals denoted as h = 1.
Consequently, we can model these waves using a sin(2pih - a) function. The parameter determining the time shift is assessed as 'a = 0.4', aligning with earlier expectations for halving events and their subsequent outcomes.
The fourth concept introduces the notion that the waves gradually diminish in amplitude over the progression of "time h," diminishing at a rate of 0.7^h.
Lastly, we can create bands around the modeled sinusoidal waves. The upper band is derived by multiplying the sine wave by a factor of 3.1*(1-0.16)^h, while the lower band is obtained by dividing the sine wave by the same factor, 3.1*(1-0.16)^h.
The current bandwidth is 2.5x. That means that the upper band is 2.5 times the lower band. These bands are forming an exceptionally narrow predictive channel for Bitcoin. Consequently, a highly accurate estimation of the peak of the next cycle can be derived.
The prediction indicates that the zenith past the fourth halving, expected around the summer of 2025, could result in Total Bitcoin Market Cap ranging between 4B and 5B USD.
The projections to the future works well only for weekly timeframe.
Enjoy the mathematical insights!
Bitcoin wave modelBitcoin wave model is based on the logarithmic regression model and the sinusoidal waves, induced by the halving events.
This chart presents the outcome of an in-depth analysis of the complete set of Bitcoin price data available from October 2009 to August 2023.
The central concept is that the logarithm of the Bitcoin price closely adheres to the logarithmic regression model. If we plot the logarithm of the price against the logarithm of time, it forms a nearly straight line.
The parameters of this model are provided in the script as follows: log (BTCUSD) = 1.48 + 5.44log(h).
The secondary concept involves employing the inherent time unit of Bitcoin instead of days:
'h' denotes a slightly adjusted time measurement intrinsic to the Bitcoin blockchain. It can be approximated as (days since the genesis block) * 0.0007. Precisely, 'h' is defined as follows: h = 0 at the genesis block, h = 1 at the first halving block, and so forth. In general, h = block height / 210,000.
Adjustments are made to account for variations in block creation time.
The third concept revolves around investigating halving waves triggered by supply shock events resulting from the halvings. These halvings occur at regular intervals in Bitcoin's native time 'h'. All halvings transpire when 'h' is an integer. These events induce waves with intervals denoted as h = 1.
Consequently, we can model these waves using a sin(2pih - a) function. The parameter determining the time shift is assessed as 'a = 0.4', aligning with earlier expectations for halving events and their subsequent outcomes.
The fourth concept introduces the notion that the waves gradually diminish in amplitude over the progression of "time h," diminishing at a rate of 0.7^h.
Lastly, we can create bands around the modeled sinusoidal waves. The upper band is derived by multiplying the sine wave by a factor of 3.1*(1-0.16)^h, while the lower band is obtained by dividing the sine wave by the same factor, 3.1*(1-0.16)^h.
The current bandwidth is 2.5x. That means that the upper band is 2.5 times the lower band. These bands are forming an exceptionally narrow predictive channel for Bitcoin. Consequently, a highly accurate estimation of the peak of the next cycle can be derived.
The prediction indicates that the zenith past the fourth halving, expected around the summer of 2025, could result in prices ranging between 200,000 and 240,000 USD.
Enjoy the mathematical insights!
Personal Trading Hours (timezone Europe/Amsterdam)This Personal Trading Hours indicator is intended to specify the times you can trade and make them visible on the chart. Multiple sessions can be specified per specific day of the week and you can give each day its own color if you want.
This can be used perfectly if you are backtesting your strategy manually. You can indicate exactly when you have time to look at the charts and therefore only perform your backtest at those times. Making mistakes that you open en close trades during your sleeptime or worktime in your backtest are gone.
But this indicator is also suitable for live trading.
Filter out the times when you don't want to trade, for example during lunchtime, during opening hours of the exchanges or when you know that big news events will take place during your tradingweek. All the timesessions you do want to trade you can make visible on you chart.
The timezone that is used for this indicator is the timezone: Europe/Amsterdam and therefor only usable for traders in this timezone.
You can use this indicator for timeframes lower then the Daily timeframe with the normal settings. If you want to use this indicator on the Daily timeframe, all the settings in the upper part of the settingsmenu must be unchecked and only the part at the bottom of the settingsmenu can then be used.
This indicator doesn't work on timeframes higher than the Daily timeframe.
If you do not use all the tradingsessions on each day, you have to make sure that all the boxes are filled. So unused session boxes must have the same timeperiodes as the used boxes, otherwise the whole day will be highlighted on the chart.
Hybrid EMA AlgoLearner⭕️Innovative trading indicator that utilizes a k-NN-inspired algorithmic approach alongside traditional Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for more nuanced analysis. While the algorithm doesn't actually employ machine learning techniques, it mimics the logic of the k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) methodology. The script takes into account the closest 'k' distances between a short-term and long-term EMA to create a weighted short-term EMA. This combination of rule-based logic and EMA technicals offers traders a more sophisticated tool for market analysis.
⭕️Foundational EMAs: The script kicks off by generating a 50-period short-term EMA and a 200-period long-term EMA. These EMAs serve a dual purpose: they provide the basic trend-following capability familiar to most traders, akin to the classic EMA 50 and EMA 200, and set the stage for more intricate calculations to follow.
⭕️k-NN Integration: The indicator distinguishes itself by introducing k-NN (k-Nearest Neighbors) logic into the mix. This machine learning technique scans prior market data to find the closest 'neighbors' or distances between the two EMAs. The 'k' closest distances are then picked for further analysis, thus imbuing the indicator with an added layer of data-driven context.
⭕️Algorithmic Weighting: After the k closest distances are identified, they are utilized to compute a weighted EMA. Each of the k closest short-term EMA values is weighted by its associated distance. These weighted values are summed up and normalized by the sum of all chosen distances. The result is a weighted short-term EMA that packs more nuanced information than a simple EMA would.
Quarterly Cycles [Daye's Theory]This is entirely based on quarters theory by Daye (@traderdaye in Twitter). I'm merely the creator of the indicator and full credits for the underlying concept goes to Daye.
The idea is to split year, month, week and day into quarters at specific times which lead to PO3 (Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution) cycles within those quarters.
They present in one of these two forms:
Q1. (A)ccumulation - Consolidation
Q2. (M)anipulation - Judas Swing
Q3. (D)istribution - Low Resistance Liquidity Run
Q4. (X) - Continuation/Reversal of previous quarter
(OR)
Q1. (X) - Continuation/Reversal of previous quarter
Q2. (A)ccumulation - Consolidation
Q3. (M)anipulation - Judas Swing
Q4. (D)istribution - Low Resistance Liquidity Run
As of now, the indicator assumes everything as AMDX, but if some clever idea comes in the future, I'll try to implement XAMD as well.
Similar to True Day Opens, there are True Monthly Opens, True Weekly Opens and True Session Opens, all of which form during the second quarters of those periods, all of which are marked by the indicator. For timeframes in H1 and below, the indicator shows weekly, daily and session quarter cycle phases. For higher timeframes, it shows yearly, monthly and weekly cycle phases.
Daye @joshuuuThis indicator is based on Dayes studies about 90minute cycles and true opens.
Similar to how ICT teaches the true day open at 0.00, Daye came up with his true year, true month, true week and true session opens.
True Year - April 1st
True Month - 2nd Monday
True Week - Monday, 6pm
True Day - 12am (Midnight)
True Session - 1:30am (London), 7:30am (New York), 1:30pm (Afternoon)
Ideally, for a bearish scenario, we would like to see price trade above the opening price to then reverse and trade lower.
Ideally, for a bullish scenario, we would like to see price trade below the opening price to then reverse and trade higher.
The moves into the opposite direction are used my smart money to accumulate their positions and trap traders into wrong positions.
This indicator also shows 90 minutes cycles.
90min Cycle Cheat Sheet:
Q1. (A)ccumulation - Consolidation
Q2. (M)anipulation - Judas Swing (Trade this)
Q3. (D)istribution - LRLR (Trade this)
Q4. (X) - Continuation/Reversal of previous q.
Or
Q1. (X) - Continuation/Reversal of previous q.
Q2. (A)ccumulation - Consolidation
Q3. (M)anipulation - Judas Swing (Trade this)
Q4. (D)istribution - LRLR (Trade this)
This shows that if q1 consolidates and q2 takes out one side and reverses we anticipate q3 to have a strong move.
however, if q2 consolidates, we anticipate q3 to take out one side, reverse and then have a strong move in q4.
ICT Clean Midnight [dR-Algo]
Are you a trader who values clean charts and precise indicators? Are you an avid follower of ICT Concepts? If so, the Midnight Marker is tailored for you. This ultra-simple, highly effective TradingView script draws a nearly transparent blue line at midnight on your chart, keeping your interface as clean as possible while delivering essential information.
Why is "ICT Clean Midnight" so Special?
Focus on Price Action: The minimalist design ensures that you can focus solely on price action, which is a core principle of ICT teachings.
Easy Back Testing: Whether you're trading live or back-testing strategies, the midnight marker helps you quickly identify key time points.
Customizable: Though designed to be subtle, the line's color and opacity can be easily customized to suit your charting needs.
This indicator embodies ICT's principle of maintaining a clutter-free, focus-driven trading environment. Perfect for both novice traders wanting to adopt ICT concepts and seasoned traders looking for minimalistic yet effective tools.
Pro Momentum CalculatorThe Pro Momentum Calculator Indicator is a tool for traders seeking to gauge market momentum and predict future price movements. It achieves this by counting consecutive candle periods above or below a chosen Simple Moving Average (SMA) and then providing a percentage-based probability for the direction of the next candle.
Here's how this principle works:
1. Counting Consecutive Periods: The indicator continuously tracks whether the closing prices of candles are either above or below the chosen SMA.
- When closing prices are above the SMA, it counts consecutive periods as "green" or indicating potential upward momentum.
- When closing prices are below the SMA, it counts consecutive periods as "red" or suggesting potential downward momentum.
2. Assessing Momentum: By monitoring these consecutive periods, the indicator assesses the strength and duration of the current market trend.
This is important information for traders looking to understand the market's behavior.
3. Predicting the Next Candle: Based on the historical data of consecutive green and red periods, the indicator calculates a percentage probability for the direction of the next candle:
- If there have been more consecutive green periods, it suggests a higher likelihood of the next candle being green (indicating a potential upward movement).
- If there have been more consecutive red periods, it suggests a higher likelihood of the next candle being red (indicating a potential downward movement).
The Pro Momentum Calculator indicator's versatility makes it suitable for a wide range of financial markets, including stocks, Forex, indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies...
first fvg @joshuuuThis indicator was created to display and alert the user for the first Fair Value Gap (FVG) of up to three trading sessions.
Bullish FVG occurs when the high of the first candle is lower than the low of the third candle, resulting in a price gap between them.
Conversely, a Bearish FVG takes place when the low of the first candle is higher than the high of the third candle, leading to a gap between these prices.
ICT emphasizes on three crucial timeframes: 3-4 am NY, 10-11 am NY, and 2-3 pm NY, collectively referred to as the 'silver bullet' times. The very first FVG formed during these periods can significantly impact the remainder of that trading session.
Building upon these concepts, CasperSMC developed a strategy involving buying/selling the very first FVG and placing a stop order just above/below the candle responsible for creating the FVG.
The strategy aims for a consistent 2-to-1 Reward-to-Risk ratio (2RR).
This indicator serves to support the strategy by not only displaying those fvgs but also sending alerts, reducing the need for constant screen monitoring.
Time Cycles IndicatorThis script is used to analyze the seasonality of any asset (commodities, stocks, indices).
To use the script select a timeframe D or W and select the months you are interested in the script settings. You will see all the candles that are part of those months highlighted in the chart.
You can use this script to understand if assets have a cyclical behavior in certain months of the year.
ICT Kill Zones [dR-Algo]ICT Kill Zones Indicator by dR-Algo
Introducing the dR-Algo's ICT Kill Zones Indicator – a tool meticulously crafted to blend with the elegance of the ICT Concept of Kill Zones. Built for traders who seek clarity and focus, this unique indicator is tailored to highlight the essential time frames while ensuring minimal distraction from the core price action.
Key Features:
Three Kill Zones:
London Kill Zone: Kickstart your trading day with the London Kill Zone, highlighting the critical period between 03:00 to 04:00 (UTC-4). The London session, known for its volatility due to the overlapping of the Asian session, is captured precisely for your benefit.
NY AM Session: As the European markets gear towards close and the US markets come alive, our indicator emphasizes the activity from 10:00 to 11:00 (UTC-4). It’s a window where significant market moves often originate.
NY PM Session: Capture the late-day trading action between 14:00 to 15:00 (UTC-4). As markets prepare to close, this time frame can offer last-minute opportunities.
Subtle Yet Effective Visualization: Unlike many other indicators that bombard traders with an array of colors, our ICT Kill Zones Indicator is intentionally designed to be subtle. It provides just the right amount of visual emphasis without overwhelming the chart. The primary goal is to let traders focus on what truly matters: the price action.
User-Friendly Customization: The indicator's settings can be easily tailored to align with individual trading styles, allowing traders to adjust and tweak as per their preference.
Seamless Integration with Trading View: Smoothly integrates with your TradingView charts ensuring optimal performance and real-time responsiveness.
Why Choose Our ICT Kill Zones Indicator?
The market is flooded with indicators, each promising to be the 'next big thing.' What sets dR-Algo's ICT Kill Zones Indicator apart is its dedication to simplicity and effectiveness. It's not just about adding an indicator to your chart; it's about adding value to your trading experience. By seamlessly merging vital time frames without overshadowing the price action, we ensure traders get the best of both worlds.
Join the trading revolution with dR-Algo and embrace a focused approach to the markets.
Bull and Bear Market '20% IndicatorThis indicator uses the somewhat crude method of calculating bear/bull markets using the following popular ' 20% rule ':
A bear market begins when an asset trades 20% below its recent high for more than two months, a bear market ends when an asset trades 20% above its recent low for one month or more.
The 1d time-frame should be used, here's why:
"A bear market begins when an asset trades 20% below its recent high for more than two months."
If we take the standard trading month to be around 20-22 days (excluding weekends), then two months would be approximately 40-44 days. This is why we set the `bearDuration` to 60 days in the script to capture the "more than two months" criteria. Using a daily timeframe, 60 bars represent roughly 3 months (since markets are not open every day due to weekends and holidays).
"...a bear market ends when an asset trades 20% above its recent low for one month or more."
This is why the `bullDuration` is set to 20 days in the script, which represents roughly one trading month on a daily timeframe.
So, to capture the mentioned bear and bull market definitions, you'd want to apply the script on a daily (1d/1D) chart.
MMA mainpanelI stumbled on the MMA in the “Active Investing” course notes by Alan Hull (who invented the Hull Moving Average)
alanhull.com
He writes on page 13:
“Multiple moving averages, MMAs, are a sophisticated tool that can be used in a range of applications. MMAs are a series of lines that track and filter the weekly price movements. They consist of 2 sets of lines that allow Technical Analysts to observe and compare the immediate behavior of price activity with the long term behavior of the price activity. Exponential moving averages are used for this type of analysis. The price bars in the following chart have been switched off to improve readability of the MMA lines.”
“Once we have found a share that has an acceptable 'Rate of return' we must make a qualitative judgment of the trend. We are looking for a strong and consistent trend that is not likely to reverse shortly after we enter the market. The following points are critical;
- The long term group must be spreading apart or running parallel with each other.
- The long term group must be pointing upwards.
- The straighter the long term group of lines are; the less volatile the trend is.
- The short term group can pullback (ie. compress together) but if they cross into the long term group then the trend is weakening and may be about to break.
This type of qualitative analysis is only used when entering the market and the idea is to avoid volatility. We want to 'Buy and Hold' and not get bounced in and out of the market. Judging the quality of trends is the most subjective function we will have to perform.”
Because I tend to close positions too soon, I tried MMA. I found that it can help me to stay in position as long as the trend is going on. TradingView offers several scripts for MMA, this version differs from the others because I added color zones and linecolor changes to mark the trend according to Alan’s norms:
An uptrend is marked with a blue zone when the short term group is above the long term group and the long term group is sorted correctly and ema50 points up. The zone is purple when vice versa in downtrend. When there is no trend no zone is colored, but the lines are made gray.
Because of Alan’s idea to show MMA without price bars, I created both an overlay version for the main panel and a version for a sub panel.
US Recession IndicatorThe US Recession Indicator is designed to identify recessions as they happen, using two reputable indicators that have accurately foreseen all past recessions since 1969. Unlike the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) which determines recession dates after the fact, this indicator seeks to spot recessions in real-time. When both of these distinct metrics meet certain criteria, the chart's background becomes shaded, signifying a strong likelihood that the economy is in a recession. Furthermore, a built-in alert system keeps users updated without constant monitoring.
The first metric is the Smoothed Recession Probabilities developed by Marcelle Chauvet. It is based on a dynamic-factor markov-switching model that assesses four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments and real manufacturing and trade sales. It offers a mathematical analysis of how recessions deviate from expansions. In essence, this index mirrors the probability of the prevailing true economic situation being a recession, grounded on the current GDP data.
The second metric is the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator developed by Claudia Sahm. It operates on the principle that changes in the unemployment rate can be used to identify the onset of a recession. According to this rule, if the three-month moving average of the unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more above its lowest point from the preceding year, it flags a potential recession.
For this combined indicator, the thresholds are intentionally set lower than when each metric is used individually. Both metrics must simultaneously suggest a potential recession in order to send a signal. This stems from the realisation that neither metric is infallible and has, on occasion, sent false signals in the past. By requiring both to align, the likelihood of a false positive is reduced. However, it's crucial to understand that past performance does not guarantee future results, leaving the door open for potential false alerts which may not be confirmed by the NBER.
Global Liquidity IndexThe Global Liquidity Index offers a consolidated view of all major central bank balance sheets from around the world. For consistency and ease of comparison, all values are converted to USD using their relevant forex rates and are expressed in trillions. The indicator incorporates specific US accounts such as the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), both of which are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to give a more nuanced view of US liquidity. Users have the flexibility to enable or disable specific central banks and special accounts based on their preference. Only central banks that both don’t engage in currency pegging and have reliable data available from late 2007 onwards are included in this aggregated liquidity model.
Global Liquidity Index = Federal Reserve System (FED) - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) + European Central Bank (ECB) + People's Bank of China (PBC) + Bank of Japan (BOJ) + Bank of England (BOE) + Bank of Canada (BOC) + Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) + Reserve Bank of India (RBI) + Swiss National Bank (SNB) + Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) + Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) + Bank of Korea (BOK) + Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) + Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank) + Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM).
This tool is beneficial for anyone seeking to get a snapshot of global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. By examining these balance sheets, users can deduce policy trajectories and evaluate the global economic climate. It also offers insights into asset pricing and assists investors in making informed capital allocation decisions. Historically, riskier assets, such as small caps and cryptocurrencies, have typically performed well during periods of rising liquidity. Thus, it may be prudent for investors to avoid additional risk unless there's a consistent upward trend in global liquidity.
Wosabi Time Cycle Gann v1 This indicator is an auxiliary tool for drawing the five-year and ten-year cycle, as it draws vertical lines every 12 candles and for 12 minor cycles, so that a major cycle consists of 144 candles, which is the ten-year cycle. It helps to know whether the current trend will continue for the five-year cycle and whether it will complete the ten-year cycle or not The standard cycle assumes that the trend is from a bottom or a top, if it continues for more than 24 candles to 36 candles, then corrects and does not break the bottom or top, then the trend will continue at least to complete the five-year cycle, i.e. 72 candles, and if the trend continues and the seven-year cycle closes at the 82 candle above The price of the candle of the strategic line No. 42, there is a possibility to complete the ten-year cycle (you must have experience in the standard patterns of time cycles as explained by gan).
The indicator also draws the digital gates in horizontal lines, and you have to select them manually and adjust the price difference from one currency to another from the settings.
When adding the indicator for the first time, you must specify the candle of the beginning of the trend, whether at a bottom or a top, as well as specifying the highest or lowest price that is expected to reach five digital gates, and you can modify the gates later in the settings.
You can show a horizontal line at the close of each minor cycle of 24 candles, and you can adjust the line length from the settings.
You can also show lines on the vibration plugs.
When the trend is up, the end price must be higher than the starting price, in order to draw the direction for the gates correctly, and when the trend is down, the end price must be lower than the starting price.
Important note: This indicator depends on your experience in time cycles and will not give you any buy or sell signals. It is an indicator that saves you drawing for cycles and gates and depends on your personal experience in time cycles.
هذا المؤشر اداة مساعدة لرسم دورة الخمس سنوات والعشر سنوات، فهو يرسم خطوط اعمده راسية كل 12 شمعة ولعدد 12 دورة صغرى لتتكون دورة كبرى من 144 شمعة وهي دورة العشر سنوات وهي تساعد لمعرفة هل الاتجاه الحالي سيستمر لدورة الخمس سنوات وهل سيكمل دورة العشر سنوات ام لا ، فالدورة القياسية تفترض ان الاتجاه من قاع او قمة اذا استمر لاكثر من 24 شمعة الى 36 شمعة ثم صحح ولم يكسر القاع او القمة فإن الاتجاه سيستمر على الاقل لاكمال دورة الخمس سنوات اي 72 شمعة ، واذا استمر الاتجاه واغلق دورة السبع سنوات عند الشمعة 82 فوق سعر شمعة خط الاستراتيجي رقم 42 فهنالك احتمالية لاكمال دورة العشر سنوات (يجب ان يكون ليك خبرة في الانماط القياسية للدورات الزمنية كما شرحها gan).
كذلك يقوم المؤشر برسم البوابات الرقمية في خطوط افقية وعليك تحديدها بشكل يدوي وتعديل فارق السعر من عملة لاخرى من الاعدادات .
عند اضافة المؤشر لاول مرة يجب تحديد شمعة بداية الاتجاه سواء عند قاع او قمة وكذلك تحديد السعر الاعلى او الادنى المتوقع ان تصل له خمس بوابات رقمية ويمكنك تعديل البوابات لاحقا من الاعدادات .
يمكنك اظهار خط افقي عند اغلاق كل دورة صغرى لعدد 24 شمعة ويمكنك تعديل طول الخط من الاعدادات .
يمكنك كذلك اظهار خطوط على شمعات الاهتزاز .
عندما يكون الاتجاه صاعد يجب ان يكون سعر النهاية اعلى من سعر البداية ليتم رسم الاتتجاه للبوابات بشكل صحيح وعندما يكون الاتجاه هابط يجب ان يكون سعر النهاية ادنى من سعر البداية .
ملاحظة هامة : هذا المؤشر يعتمد على خبرتك في الدورات الزمنية ولن يعطيك اي اشارات شراء او بيع فهو مؤشر يوفر عليك الرسم للدورات والبوابات ويعتمد على خبرتك الشخصية في الدورات الزمنية .
Oil Price Prediction (Highly Accurate)It's a little-known fact that gold prices move preceded oil prices by 20 months.
If you don't believe me here is a short video from Tom McClellan discussing this www.cnbc.com
This gives us one of the best and highly accurate indicators of what oil will do in the months to come.
HOW TO USE.
When adding the script to your charts it's important to make a couple of adjustments.
Click the triple dots (...), scroll down to pin to scale, and click pin to new scale.
Rght-click the new scale and click auto (fits data to screen)
Go into the indicator settings and turn off the red line.
What you'll be left with is a price projection on where oil prices will go. This becomes your 30,000-foot view. It is important for traders to know if they're coming into a bullish, bearish or consolidating market and this indicator does that.
Its important to mention this is for Monthly charts.
Happy Trading
[R]2 - ReversionThe Idea:
I had the idea for this script when I read an article about how assets tend to revert to their long-term average or mean. The concept behind "R2" is based on the assumption that extreme deviations from the average tend to be corrected. For example, if an asset is trading well above its historical average, there is a possibility that the price will return towards the average. Conversely, if an asset is trading well below its average, there is a tendency for it to move back towards the average.
This concept serves as the foundation for this script. I have tried to keep the representation as simple as possible, and please remember that "Reversion" (as it's called in financial terms) is not a guaranteed rule but a statistical phenomenon.
The Indicator:
This indicator calculates the average and the distance of closing prices from this average every X periods. The calculated value fluctuates between 0. If the calculated value moves from above towards the zero line, it may indicate further declining prices. If the value moves from below towards the zero line, it may indicate rising prices. If the value is below the zero line, the area between the zero line and the calculated value is displayed in red. If the value is above the zero line, the area is displayed in green.
You can adjust the number of periods. The 'Multiplier' allows you to set how sensitive the indicator reacts, and the 'Threshold' variable sets the threshold for calculating a new average. It's best to adjust the settings to find the most suitable configuration for your needs.
