Ehlers Reflex Indicator [CC]The Reflex Indicator was created by John Ehlers (Stocks and Commodities Feb 2020) and this is a zero lag indicator that works similar to an overbought/oversold indicator but with the current stock cycle data. I find that this indicator works well as a leading indicator as well as a divergence indicator. Generally speaking, this indicator indicates a medium to long term downtrend when the indicator is below the line and a medium to long term uptrend when the indicator is above the line. Ehlers has created a few complementary indicators that I will release in the next few days but just keep in mind that this indicator focuses on the underlying cycle component while removing as much noise with no lag. I have color coded the lines to show strong signals with the darker colors and normal signals with the lighter colors. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Cycle
Stan Weinstein Trend IndicatorThis indicator is a trend indicator for trading charts based on the method of Stan Weinstein. It uses various technical methods to identify four trend phases on an asset: consolidation, advancement, plateauing, and decline. Users can customize the indicator by modifying parameters such as the periods for various calculations, such as the exponential moving average (EMA), the relative strength index (RSI), and support and resistance levels. The results of these calculations are then used to determine if an asset is in a phase of consolidation, advancement, plateauing, or decline.
The results are displayed as markers on the chart, with the following colors:
White: Consolidation
Green: Advancement
Blue: Plateauing
Red: Decline
According to the method of Stan Weinstein, it is recommended to buy an asset during an advancement phase and sell it during a plateauing phase. Similarly, it is recommended to sell an asset during a decline phase and cut this sale when the consolidation phase starts. It is important to note that this indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as investment advice. It is important to conduct fundamental and technical analysis before making an investment decision. It is also recommended to combine this analysis with other methods for optimal results and to consider the risks associated with any investment.
All default parameters of this indicator have been carefully chosen to provide the best possible results, however, it is possible to modify them according to personal preferences. It is important to note that modifying certain parameters may make the indicator less relevant and it is therefore recommended not to deviate too much from default values, unless you have a good understanding of the Stan Weinstein method and the technical indicators used.
It is important to note that this indicator is optimized for 1-week charts. It can be used to look at charts at other timeframes but calculations will always be based on weekly data.
Also, it is noteworthy that this indicator is optimized for cryptocurrencies, except Bitcoin, as it is used to calculate the relative strength of a token. However, you can choose the asset or index you want in the menu to calculate the relative strength. Furthermore, all the default settings are carefully chosen, but users are free to modify them, but doing so may result in less relevant results.
30MIN CYCLE█ HOW DOES IT WORK?
The known 90 min cycle is used as one killzone. But actually all 18 min are relevant to search for a trade. All 18 min when a new box starts only then is the placement of an order valid. If the entry candle isn't in a box then it will probably fail. The boxes should only be used in the M1 or M5 timeframe. The best hitrate is in the M1 timeframe. Included are the last 48 "Mini-Killzones" für intraday trading and backtesting. These "Mini-Killzones" can be used with the "Liquidity Inducement Strategy".
█ WHAT MAKES IT UNIQUE?
This is the first indicator on tradingview that shows all mini-killzones for trading and backtesting a whole tradingday. The well-known killzones of ICT are from 08:00-11:00 and 14:00 - 17:00 (UTC+1) but with this indicator there is finally a refinement of the ICT Smart Money Concept killzones.
█ HOW TO USE IT?
For a proper use of this indicator we suggest to know already at least SMC or better Liquidity Indcuement Trading. This indicator is a further confluence before placing an order. After you made your setup you will have these mini-killzones as a confluence. We don't suggest to open a trade only according to this indicator.
█ ADDITIONAL INFO
This indicator is free to use for all tradingview users.
█ DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice.
AlexD Market annual seasonalityThe indicator displays the percentage of bullish days with a given date over several years.
This allows you to determine the days of the year when the price usually goes up or down.
Indicator has a built-in "simple moving average" shifted back by half a period, due to which the delay of this smoothing is removed.
timing marketIntraday time cycle . it is valid for nifty and banknifty .just add this on daily basis . ignore previous day data
Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator [Loxx]Cycle-Period Adaptive, Linear Regression Slope Oscillator is an osciallator that solves for the Linear Regression slope and turns it into an oscillator. This is a very simple calculation and uses one of Ehler's first implementations of his cycle period calculations. The output slope value is smoothed after calculation and before being drawn. This is a sort of momentum indicator and has a rich history with Forex traders around the world.
What is the Cycle Period?
The spectral content of the data are measured in a bank of contiguous filters as described in "Measuring Cycle Periods" in the March 2008 issue of Stocks & Commodities Magazine. The filter having the strongest output is selected as the current dominant cycle period. The cycle period is measured as the number of bars contained in one full cycle period.
What is Linear Regression?
In statistics, linear regression is a linear approach for modeling the relationship between a scalar response and one or more explanatory variables. The case of one explanatory variable is called simple linear regression; for more than one, the process is called multiple linear regression.
Included:
Bar coloring
2 signal types
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Loxx's Moving Averages
Pi Cycle Indicators Comparison IndicatorThere are now 3 Pi Cycle Indicators that I am aware of; the original, improved**, and bottom.
This indicator attempts to provide all three indicators in a dingle, easy to view script.
I coded this script to displace the moving averages above and below the price bars for easy viewing. This was accomplished by placing a scaling factor (/# or *#) at the end of the ta.sma or ta.ema functions.
A vertical arrow, purposely posing as a short vertical line, marks the crossing of the long and short MAs for each indicator. These are color coded to match their respective indicators and the long and short MAs are similarly color coded for easy differentiation.
The red colored MAs and arrows above the price line are the Improved Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The green colored MAs and arrows below the price line are the Original Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The blue colored MAs and arrows below the green lines and price line are the Pi-Cycle Bottom Indicator.
One last feature of the chart is the use of the location function to enable easy comparison of the crossings of each indicator to the indicator itself and to the price. This can be accomplished simply by moving the chart up and down.
**{I should note that while researching this I found that BitcoinMamo turns out to have beat me to the punch on the Improved Indicator Long.Short and Multiplier numbers. He should therefor get the credit for that}
Bitcoin Golden Pi CyclesTops are signaled by the fast top MA crossing above the slow top MA, and bottoms are signaled by the slow bottom MA crossing above the fast bottom MA. Alerts can be set on top and bottom prints. Does not repaint.
Similar to the work of Philip Swift regarding the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top, I’ve recently come across a similar mathematically curious ratio that corresponds to Bitcoin cycle bottoms. This ratio was extracted from skirmantas’ Bitcoin Super Cycle indicator . Cycle bottoms are signaled when the 700D SMA crosses above the 137D SMA (because this indicator is closed source, these moving averages were reverse-engineered). Such crossings have historically coincided with the January 2015 and December 2018 bottoms. Also, although yet to be confirmed as a bottom, a cross occurred June 19, 2022 (two days prior to this article)
The original pi cycle uses the doubled 350D SMA and the 111D SMA . As pointed out this gives the original pi cycle top ratio:
350/111 = 3.1532 ≈ π
Also, as noted by Swift, 111 is the best integer for dividing 350 to approximate π. What is mathematically interesting about skirmanta’s ratio?
700/138 = 5.1095
After playing around with this for a while I realized that 5.11 is very close to the product of the two most numerologically significant geometrical constants, π and the golden ratio, ϕ:
πϕ = 5.0832
However, 138 turns out to be the best integer denominator to approximate πϕ:
700/138 = 5.0725 ≈ πϕ
This is what I’ve dubbed the Bitcoin Golden Pi Bottom Ratio.
In the spirit of numerology I must mention that 137 does have some things going for it: it’s a prime number and is very famously almost exactly the reciprocal of the fine structure constant (α is within 0.03% of 1/137).
Now why 350 and 700 and not say 360 and 720? After all, 360 is obviously much more numerologically significant than 350, which is proven by the fact that 360 has its own wikipedia page, and 350 does not! Using 360/115 and 720/142, which are also approximations of π and πϕ respectively, this also calls cycle tops and bottoms.
There are infinitely many such ratios that could work to approximate π and πϕ (although there are a finite number whose daily moving averages are defined). Further analysis is needed to find the range(s) of numerators (the numerator determines the denominator when maintaining the ratio) that correctly produce bottom and top signals.
Hybrid, Zero lag, Adaptive cycle MACD [Loxx]TASC's March 2008 edition Traders' Tips includes an article by John Ehlers titled "Measuring Cycle Periods," and describes the use of bandpass filters to estimate the length, in bars, of the currently dominant price cycle.
What are Dominant Cycles and Why should we use them?
Even the most casual chart reader will be able to spot times when the market is cycling and other times when longer-term trends are in play. Cycling markets are ideal for swing trading however attempting to “trade the swing” in a trending market can be a recipe for disaster. Similarly, applying trend trading techniques during a cycling market can equally wreak havoc in your account. Cycle or trend modes can readily be identified in hindsight. But it would be useful to have an objective scientific approach to guide you as to the current market mode.
There are a number of tools already available to differentiate between cycle and trend modes. For example, measuring the trend slope over the cycle period to the amplitude of the cyclic swing is one possibility.
We begin by thinking of cycle mode in terms of frequency or its inverse, periodicity. Since the markets are fractal; daily, weekly, and intraday charts are pretty much indistinguishable when time scales are removed. Thus it is useful to think of the cycle period in terms of its bar count. For example, a 20 bar cycle using daily data corresponds to a cycle period of approximately one month.
When viewed as a waveform, slow-varying price trends constitute the waveform's low frequency components and day-to-day fluctuations (noise) constitute the high frequency components. The objective in cycle mode is to filter out the unwanted components--both low frequency trends and the high frequency noise--and retain only the range of frequencies over the desired swing period. A filter for doing this is called a bandpass filter and the range of frequencies passed is the filter's bandwidth .
Indicator Features
-Zero lag or Regular MACD/signal calculation
- Fixed or Band-pass Dominant Cycle for MACD and Signal MA period inputs
-10 different moving average options for both MACD and Signal MA calculations
-Separate Band-pass Dominant Cycle calculations for both MACD and Signal MA calculations
- Slow-to-Fast Band-pass Dominant Cycle input to tweak the ratio of MACD MA input periods as they relate to each other
DominantCycleCollection of Dominant Cycle estimators. Length adaptation used in the Adaptive Moving Averages and the Adaptive Oscillators try to follow price movements and accelerate/decelerate accordingly (usually quite rapidly with a huge range). Cycle estimators, on the other hand, try to measure the cycle period of the current market, which does not reflect price movement or the rate of change (the rate of change may also differ depending on the cycle phase, but the cycle period itself usually changes slowly). This collection may become encyclopaedic, so if you have any working cycle estimator, drop me a line in the comments below. Suggestions are welcome. Currently included estimators are based on the work of John F. Ehlers
mamaPeriod(src, dynLow, dynHigh) MESA Adaptation - MAMA Cycle
Parameters:
src : Series to use
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
Returns: Calculated period
Based on MESA Adaptive Moving Average by John F. Ehlers
Performs Hilbert Transform Homodyne Discriminator cycle measurement
Unlike MAMA Alpha function (in LengthAdaptation library), this does not compute phase rate of change
Introduced in the September 2001 issue of Stocks and Commodities
Inspired by the @everget implementation:
Inspired by the @anoojpatel implementation:
paPeriod(src, dynLow, dynHigh, preHP, preSS, preHP) Pearson Autocorrelation
Parameters:
src : Series to use
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
preHP : Use High Pass prefilter (default)
preSS : Use Super Smoother prefilter (default)
preHP : Use Hann Windowing prefilter
Returns: Calculated period
Based on Pearson Autocorrelation Periodogram by John F. Ehlers
Introduced in the September 2016 issue of Stocks and Commodities
Inspired by the @blackcat1402 implementation:
Inspired by the @rumpypumpydumpy implementation:
Corrected many errors, and made small speed optimizations, so this could be the best implementation to date (still slow, though, so may revisit in future)
High Pass and Super Smoother prefilters are used in the original implementation
dftPeriod(src, dynLow, dynHigh, preHP, preSS, preHP) Discrete Fourier Transform
Parameters:
src : Series to use
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
preHP : Use High Pass prefilter (default)
preSS : Use Super Smoother prefilter (default)
preHP : Use Hann Windowing prefilter
Returns: Calculated period
Based on Spectrum from Discrete Fourier Transform by John F. Ehlers
Inspired by the @blackcat1402 implementation:
High Pass, Super Smoother and Hann Windowing prefilters are used in the original implementation
phasePeriod(src, dynLow, dynHigh, preHP, preSS, preHP) Phase Accumulation
Parameters:
src : Series to use
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
preHP : Use High Pass prefilter (default)
preSS : Use Super Smoother prefilter (default)
preHP : Use Hamm Windowing prefilter
Returns: Calculated period
Based on Dominant Cycle from Phase Accumulation by John F. Ehlers
High Pass and Super Smoother prefilters are used in the original implementation
doAdapt(type, src, len, dynLow, dynHigh, chandeSDLen, chandeSmooth, chandePower, preHP, preSS, preHP) Execute a particular Length Adaptation or Dominant Cycle Estimator from the list
Parameters:
type : Length Adaptation or Dominant Cycle Estimator type to use
src : Series to use
len : Reference lookback length
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
chandeSDLen : Lookback length of Standard deviation for Chande's Dynamic Length
chandeSmooth : Smoothing length of Standard deviation for Chande's Dynamic Length
chandePower : Exponent of the length adaptation for Chande's Dynamic Length (lower is smaller variation)
preHP : Use High Pass prefilter for the Estimators that support it (default)
preSS : Use Super Smoother prefilter for the Estimators that support it (default)
preHP : Use Hann Windowing prefilter for the Estimators that support it
Returns: Calculated period (float, not limited)
doEstimate(type, src, dynLow, dynHigh, preHP, preSS, preHP) Execute a particular Dominant Cycle Estimator from the list
Parameters:
type : Dominant Cycle Estimator type to use
src : Series to use
dynLow : Lower bound for the dynamic length
dynHigh : Upper bound for the dynamic length
preHP : Use High Pass prefilter for the Estimators that support it (default)
preSS : Use Super Smoother prefilter for the Estimators that support it (default)
preHP : Use Hann Windowing prefilter for the Estimators that support it
Returns: Calculated period (float, not limited)
Tesla Coil MLThis is a re-implementation of @veryfid's wonderful Tesla Coil indicator to leverage basic Machine Learning Algorithms to help classify coil crossovers. The original Tesla Coil indicator requires extensive training and practice for the user to develop adequate intuition to interpret coil crossovers. The goal for this version is to help the user understand the underlying logic of the Tesla Coil indicator and provide a more intuitive way to interpret the indicator. The signals should be interpreted as suggestions rather than as a hard-coded set of rules.
NOTE: Please do NOT trade off the signals blindly. Always try to use your own intuition for understanding the coils and check for confluence with other indicators before initiating a trade.
Bitcoin Bull Runs Mid Cycle Aligned This script plots 2 lines which are the 2013 and 2016 bull run. The plots are aligned on their mid cycles to the 2021 mid cycle.
Settings:
You can move the plots on the x and y axis in the settings for the Daily, Weekly and Monthly TFs.
The plot is weird on the Monthly TF, best to use the Daily and Weekly.
If it doesn't load at first you have to zoom out fully and go back to 2013 for it to load. Then it will load.
Ehlers Cycle Period [CC]The Cycle Period was created by John Ehlers and this is yet another version that shows how to calculate the current cycle period which is the approximate amount of days between a current peak or valley and the next peak or valley. I would not recommend this for trading since it is more for informational use only but I would try experimenting with this output to be used with another indicator as an input length. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
BBC M2 Pi Ratio Indicator v2Pi Cycle indicator expressed as a ratio such that when the indicator triggers (350DMA *2 = 111DMA) the ratio will be 1. This allows you to place an alert on the ratio line for crossing certain thresholds such as 1.1.
Ehlers Mesa Spectrum Dominant Cycle [CC]The Mesa Spectrum Dominant Cycle was created by John Ehlers and this is the foundation for many indicators he created that would later follow. This is his updated version of his original Mesa algorithm and I do not recommend this indicator as a stand alone for trading. This is more of an informational indicator that will tell you the current dominant cycle period which is the approximate period between peaks and valleys in the underlying data. I have color coded buy signals just in case with both strong and normal signals. Darker colors are strong and lighter colors are normal. Buy when the line is green and sell when it is red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
Pi Cycle Bitcoin High/LowThe theory that a Pi Cycle Top might exist in the Bitcoin price action isn't new, but recently I found someone who had done the math on developing a Pi Cycle Low indicator, also using the crosses of moving averages.
The Pi Cycle Top uses the 2x350 Daily MA and the 111 Daily MA
The Pi Cycle Bottom uses the 0.745x471 Daily MA and the 150 Daily EMA
Note: a Signal of "top" doesn't necessarily mean "THE top" of a Bull Run - in 2013 there were two Top Signals, but in 2017 there was just one. There has been one in 2021, but on-chain analysis and macro TA is pointing to there possibly being another one in 2021 or early 2022. Regardless, combining the two indicators (Top and Bottom) means the MAs that converge first will likely give good indication of which will cross first in the next few years.
There is as much of a chance of two "bottom" indications occurring in a single bear market, as nearly happened in the Liquidity Crisis in March 2020.
Ehlers Cycle Amplitude [CC]The Cycle Amplitude was created by John Ehlers (Trend Modes and Cycle Modes) and this indicator wasn't meant to give buy and sell signals by itself but I'm publishing this open source script in case someone comes up with a cool way to use this indicator for buy and sell signals. This indicator essentially tells you the distance between the peaks from the Cycle BandPass Filter and I will be including the last script tomorrow most likely. I'm reusing the same exact buy and sell signals from the cycle bandpass filter so if you have any questions then feel free to refer to the link I posted.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Ehlers Cycle BandPass Filter [CC]The Cycle BandPass Filter was created by John Ehlers (Cycle Modes and Trend Modes) and this is an alternate to the default BandPass Filter by changing some settings. This will be another series I will be introducing showing some indicators created by Ehlers and that didn't get much attention. This identifies the underlying cycle in the price data and these indicators aren't very common so I want to introduce more of these to tv. Buying and selling with these indicators can be a bit tricky but overall what Ehlers recommends is to buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest point to capture the underlying cycle. I have included strong buy and sell signals as darker colors and normal signals as lighter colors. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Ehlers Instantaneous Phase Dominant Cycle [CC]The Instantaneous Phase Dominant Cycle was created by John Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities V. 18:3 (16-27)) and this is one of many similar indicators that I will be publishing from Ehlers in the next few months that calculate the current dominant cycle period. The cycle period can be used in multiple ways but generally this means that if the stock is currently at a low then the current cycle period will tell you when the next lowest low will get hit or vice versa. This is also useful for using this cycle period as an input for other indicators to provide a very good adaptive length. Let me know how you wind up using these indicators in your daily trading. I have included the same buy and sell signals from my recent Hilbert Transform and so buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
Ehlers Adaptive Cyber Cycle [CC]The Adaptive Cyber Cycle was created by John Ehlers and this is a cycle based indicator which you don't find too many of these days. Each stock goes through cycles which are repeating patterns of price movement and cycle indicators help you find the timing of the cycle to capitalize on the underlying cycle. That is an extremely simple explanation but most importantly don't interpret these indicators as the same as other indicators because it may seem like there are very many false signals but that is because of the different cycles the stock is undergoing. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish.
Ehlers Adaptive Center Of Gravity [CC]The Adaptive Center Of Gravity was created by John Ehlers and this is a regular center of gravity indicator combined to be use with the current cycle period. If you are not familiar with stock cycles then I would highly recommend his book on the subject: Cycle Analytics. Buy when the indicator turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you want me to publish!
Sharktank - Pi Cycle PredictionThe Pi Cycle indicator has called tops in Bitcoin quite accurately. Assuming history repeats itself, knowledge about when it might happen again could benefit you.
The indicator is fairly simple:
- A daily moving average of 350 ("long_ma" in script)
- A daily moving average of 111 ("short_ma" in script)
The value of the long moving average is multiplied by two. This way the longer moving average appears above the shorter one.
When the shorter one (orange colored) crosses above the longer (green colored) one, it could mean the top is in.
These moving averages rise at a certain rate. Using these rates we could try to estimate a possible crossover moment. That's exactly what this indicator does! It gives the user a prediction of when a crossover might happen.
Special thanks to:
- Ninorigo, for making his indicator public. This one uses his as a starting point.
- The_Caretaker, for coming up with this idea about calling a top. Yet, his is more price-based, this one is more time-based.
CT Reverse Pi Cycle Bitcoin Top IndicatorIntroducing the Reverse BTC Pi Market Cycle Top indicator
Much respect to Philip Swift the original creator of this idea and big thanks to Tradingview author Ninorigo for sharing the script which this indicator is based on.
Philip Swift has noted that:
Using the x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average along with the 111 day moving average provides an interesting market cycle indicator.
Over the past three market cycles, when the 350DMA x2 crosses below the 111DMA, Bitcoin price peaks in its market cycle, this has been accurate to within three days of Bitcoin price topping out.
Here I have modified an existing script by Tradingview author @Ninorigo which shows the moving averages and gives signals upon crossover by adding the following features:
A function which shows the price at which the 350DMA will Cross Below the 111DMA.
(This is calculated from the prior bar closing data and does not repaint)
An “anticipated cross” function which may give a 1 bar advanced warning of a cross.
(this is calculated from current bar values and may change and repaint)
The crossover levels are shown in an info label to the right of the current price.
When there is a BTC Pi Market Cycle Top anticipated cross on the next bar there will be an orange background signal.
When there is an actual BTC Pi Market Cycle Top cross there will be a red background signal
When there is an anticipated cross back there will be a blue background signal
When there is an actual cross back there will be a green background signal
This indicator will show the appropriate moving averages and crossover information from the daily timeframe regardless of the timeframe you are using.
This should be helpful in more accurately identifying the price level where the Pi Market Cycle moving averages will cross denoting a possible market cycle top.
It is interesting to note:
350 / 111 = 3.153
Which is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
This is a script to give another view and metric on an interesting experimental idea. This is not financial advice.
