Bitcoin Risk Indicator v2Based on the work of Ben Cowen on Youtube. I can't link to the video due to TradingView promotion rules.
Биткоин (Криптовалюта)
Leverage Strategy and a few words on risk/opportunityHello traders,
I started this script as a joke for someone... finally appears it could be used for educational content
Let's talk about leverage and margin call
Margin Call
A margin call is the broker's demand that an investor deposit additional money or securities so that the account is brought up to the minimum value, known as the maintenance margin.
A margin call usually means that one or more of the securities held in the margin account has decreased in value below a certain point.
Leverage
A leverage is a system which allows the trader to open positions much larger than his own capital. ... “Leverage” usually refers to the ratio between the position value and the investment needed,
Strat
The strategy simulates long/short positions on a 4h high/low breakout based on the chart candle close.
The panel below shows the strategy equity curve. Activating the margin call option will show when the account would be margin called giving the settings
Casino
I'm not doing any financial recommendation here.
I made this strategy so that people include more risk management metrics into their strategy.
From the code, we see it's fairly easy to calculate a leveraged position size and a margin call flag - when that flag is hit, the system stops trading.
I simplified things to the extreme here but my point is that the leverage is a double-edge sword gift.
Assuming we always take the same position sizing, increasing the leverage speed up how fast a margin could be ..... called. (bad joke? feel free to tell me). Not saying it will, saying it introduces more risk by design.
Then one could say "I'll just turn off that stupid margin call option". And that's when someone starts backtesting with unrealistic market conditions.
Finally...
When I backtest I always assume the worst in every scenario possible (because I'm French), I always try to minimize the risk first (also because I'm French), keeping as close from 0 as possible (French again)
Then I add the "opportunity" component, looking to catch the maximum of opportunity while keeping the risk low.
It's like a Rubix cube puzzle - decreasing the risk is one side of the equation but whenever I try to catch more opportunity... my risks increases.
Then I update my risk... and now the opportunity decreases... (#wut #wen #simple)
Completely removing the risk from a trading strategy isn't something I wouldn't dare doing.
Trading involves risk. Being obsessed by decreasing the risk is what I do BEST :)
Dave
Heiken Ashi Triangles at the Top and Bottom of ScreenHeiken Ashi Triangles at the Top and Bottom of Screen
The image below shows the comparison to actual Heiken Ashi candles
(Though changing from candles to Heiken Ashi tends to smooth the triangles a little)
Directional Movement Index + Average Directional IndexPersonal DMI and ADX script
ADX color change from positive vs negative momentum
DMI Color fill based on DMI+/- positive momentum
No fill color during lack of momentum
Bitcoin Power Law CorridorOpen-source live tracker of Harold Burger's Bitcoin "Power Law Corridor".
Added optional chart fill and labels to show the percentage delta to the regression center-line, support and resistance.
BEST Cloud ALL MAHello traders
Hope you're all doing well
This script is a generic cloud generator using a pre-selected set of moving averages (I probably forgot a lot but listed all the ones I used at least once).
A cloud is a visual representation of the gap between two moving averages - it shows right away how big in that gap (=how far they are from each other)
The challenge is to find a cloud such as the price often stay stuck between those 2 MA - and when it's getting finally out (up or down), it would be strong enough to signal a beginning of a trend.
This is a cool intellectual challenge for all aspiring traders
For that script, I defined a trend according to how the 2 MAs are located relative to each other (MA1 > MA2 or MA1 < MA2) and if the price gets out of the cloud.
You'll get :
- the option to color the candles based on a trend
- cool triangles entry signals
- and alerts on those triangles
All the BEST
Dave
Syminfo.TypeHello traders
Earlier this week I discovered a new built-in variable called syminfo.type
What is it for?
This variable returns the type of the current symbol. Possible values are cfd, stock, futures, indices, forex, crypto, fund.
Cool bro but... should we care?
Well... we all should. Imagine you have a generic script and you want a different configuration whether you're trading FOREX or Crypto .
I designed a dummy example in that script that will preset the inputs according to the asset type from the chart.
Here I want 12/26/9 for forex and 20/50/50 for crypto - 30/60/90 otherwise
Quick caveat
It seems that for any crypto asset, syminfo.type returns "bitcoin". TradingView will fix it at some point but wanted to give you the heads-up regardless
Enjoy and all the BEST ^^
--
Dave
Blockchain Artificial Neural NetworksI found a very high correlation in a research-based Artificial Neural Networks.(ANN)
Trained only on daily bars with blockchain data and Bitcoin closing price.
NOTE: It does not repaint strictly during the weekly time frame. (TF = 1W)
Use only for Bitcoin .
Blockchain data can be repainted in the daily time zone according to the description time.
Alarms are available.
And you can also paint bar colors from the menu by region.
After making reminders, let's share the details of this interesting research:
INPUTS :
1. Average Block Size
2. Api Blockchain Size
3. Miners Revenue
4. Hash Rate
5. Bitcoin Cost Per Transaction
6. Bitcoin USD Exchange Trade Volume
7. Bitcoin Total Number of Transactions
OUTPUTS :
1. One day next price close (Historical)
TRAINING DETAILS :
Learning cycles: 1096436
AutoSave cycles: 100
Grid :
Input columns: 7
Output columns: 1
Excluded columns: 0
Training example rows: 446
Validating example rows: 0
Querying example rows: 0
Excluded example rows: 0
Duplicated example rows: 0
Network :
Input nodes connected: 7
Hidden layer 1 nodes: 5
Hidden layer 2 nodes: 0
Hidden layer 3 nodes: 0
Output nodes: 1
Controls :
Learning rate: 0.1000
Momentum: 0.8000
Target error: 0.0100
Training error: 0.010571
The average training error is really low, almost worth the target.
Without using technical analysis data, we established Artificial Neural Networks with blockchain data.
Interesting!
14-RSI minus 36-MFI (weekly)On the weekly chart of BTC/USD, the difference between the 14-RSI and the 36-MFI, combined with the 14-RSI alone, gives good buy and sell signals.
UT Bot StrategyUT Bot indicator was inially developer by @Yo_adriiiiaan
Idea of original code belongs @HPotter
I just took code of Yo_adriiiiaan, cleaned it, deleted all useless pieces of code, transformet to v4 and created a strategy from it.
Also I added an input that allows you to swich to signals from Heiking Ashi. I saw that author uses HA for the indicator and on HA it look much nices then on real candles.
Do not add this strategy to HA candles, use usual candles and this checkbox.
Original script:
Bitcoin Real VolumeBitcoin’s Real Volume
An accurate read on the change in Bitcoin’s volume profile over time.
Based on 2019 reports by Bitwise and Alameda Research.
Please see the script code notes for assumptions and details on data selection.
Follow me for more information on this script.
Multi-Exchange Volume (30 Tickers) by kurtsmock + BV + rVolauthor: kurtsmock
Fully Customizable ticker set. Up to 30 Tickers. Bitcoin set as default.
-- IMPORTANT NOTE: --
30 Exchanges are a lot. It can take a while to load. You can fully customize this indicator to your liking. Here's how:
1. Load indicator
2. Open Settings
3. Uncheck the switch box for exchanges you want unincluded
4. At the bottom of the settings menu click "Defaults" and hit "Save as Default"
5. To turn them all back on, hit "Reset Settings" in that same "Defaults" menu and click "Save as Default" again.
Also, you don't have to use this with Bitcoin. This works with any asset, just change the ticker in the settings.
There's a lot going on with this indicator so the following is descriptions and instructions to help you better understand what's going on here. Thanks!
Goal:
- To provide a mechanism for assets on multiple exchanges to have their volume evaluated together
Edge:
- Having better and more complete volume information
Notes:
- The Default Exchanges for this indicator are highest volume bitcoin exchanges, but may contain "fake volume"
- Indicator is set for Bitcoin by default. However, you can change the tickers to reflect any asset you want
////// rVol //////
Goal:
- To understand how much volume is being executed relative to the same candle on previous days/periods
Edge:
- Higher rVol implies higher volatility and market interest.
- High rVol = higher than average volume . Markets move on volume so higher than average volume indicates increased market activity/volatility
- rVol is an indirect measure of active or anticipated volatility
Definitions:
- rVol: The volume of a period compared to the Average Volume of that same period in past sessions
- Important to note it does NOT add up the last 10 (default) candles, but rather the last 10 candles at session intervals.
- Example:
-- On a Tuesday, 1h chart it will add up the last ten Tuesday, 9:00 am candles, not including the current, active candle.
-- It then averages those lookback candles.
-- It then plots the percentage relationship between the most recent candle and the average of the lookback candles
-- Avg Vol of Lookback candles = 5000,
-- Volume of most recent candle = 4000: Output = rVol = 80:
-- Volume of most recent candle was 80% of the average volume in the 9 am time period of the last ten Tuesdays in the 9 am, 1h period
Notes:
- rVol does not add current candle volume into lookback sum. So, you set lookback to be: (not including the current day)
- rVol is on a switch. So, if you want to see rVol instead of volume, hit the switch in the settings
- If you want to see both, load 2 instances of the indicator.
////// Better-er Volume //////
Goal:
To Identify:
- When a candle closes at the highest volume * range relative to the lookback period and close > open
- When a candle closes at the highest volume * range relative to the lookback period and close < open
- When a candle closes at the highest volume / price relative to the lookback period
Edge:
- Identifies beginnings of price expansion, climax of price expansion, breakouts, pivots, and take profit points on the volume chart
Notes:
- Based generally on Barry Taylor's "Better Volume" indicator and ideas from Pascal Willain's book "Value in Time."
- Better-er Volume rules are applied to both Total Volume or rVol.
-- When rVol is displayed Better-er Volume is applied to rVol
-- When Total Volume is displayed Better-er Volume is applied to Total Volume
// Plot Key: //
Green Triangle Up = Often marks the beginning and/or end of price expansion to the upside
Red Triangle Up = Often marks the beginning and/or end of price expansion to the downside
Yellow Square = High Volume but Tight Range. Implies a Battle of Bulls and Bears. High Liquidity area. Provided Liquidity is not enough to move price. Thick Limit Order Book.
Purple Triangle Up or Down = Implies high market participation. Typically at the end of expansion when very significant s/r is hit
category: volume Volatility
tags: Volume rVol relativevolume Bitcoin cryptocurrency bettervolume
Many More Volume Indicators Coming Out Soon!
MACD Divergence Tops + BottomsMACD Indicator which plots local peaks and troughs in divergence.
"Classic" Divergence is specified as:
- A higher price, with reduced MACD high --> Potential Sell Point
- A lower price, with higher MACD low --> Potential Buy Point
"Alternative" Divergence is specified as:
- A higher MACD high, with reduced price --> Potential Sell Point
- A lower MACD low, with higher price --> Potential Buy Point
MACD Divergence should be used in combination with other indicators. This indicator identifies local tops and bottoms, with potential for macro trend shifts.
QuantNomad - Significant Pivot Reversal Strategy AlertsAlerts for "Significant Pivot Reversal Strategy":
As one of the ways to filter out insignificant levels I decided to check that pivot point is not above/below neighbors, but check that it's above/below at least by a certain amount.
I use ATR, so in params, you can set length of ATR and also ATR multiplier. The new level will be calculated only if PP will be above/below neighbors by atr * atr_mult.
It seems this approach might help in some cases.
QuantNomad - EVWMA MACD StrategyPretty simple EVWMA (Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average ) MACD Strategy.
EVWMA is a quite interesting moving average where the period of the MA is defined from the volume itself.
It incorporates volume information in a natural and logical way. The EVWMA can be looked at as an approximation to the average price paid per share.
As a volume period, you can use sum of the last x bars volumes.
Here are other EVWMA indicators/strategies:
EVWMA indicator:
EVWMA Cross strategy:
QuantNomad - EVWMA Cross StrategyPretty simple EVWMA (Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average) Cross Strategy. Long on bullish cross, Short on Bearish Crosss.
EVWMA is a quite interesting moving average where period of the MA is defined from volume itself.
It incorporates volume information in a natural and logical way. The eVWMA can be looked at as an approximation to the average price paid per share.
As a volume period you can use sum of the last x bars volumes.
Here is EVWMA as an indicator:
Hash RibbonsBuying during Miner Capitulation yields wonderful returns.
The best buy signals occur on Hash Rate "recovery", and when price momentum is also positive.
Historically, this strategy has yielded average returns to cycle peak of >5000%, with max Drawdown of -15%.
Follow me to learn more about this indicator.
BTC Volume absolute (fiat vs Tether vs futures)BTC volume split by fiat, Tether and futures in USD
fiat = COINBASE + BITFLYER + BITSTAMP + KRAKEN
Tether = BITFINEX + BINANCE + HUOBI + HITBTC
futures = BITMEX + BYBIT
QuantNomad - Bitcoin NVT/NVTSIn this script I included 2 quite interesting indicators for Bitcoin:
* NVT (Network Value to Transactions Ratio)
* NVTS (NVT Signal)
Both indicators are based on Bitcoin Network Value (Market Cap) and 24h transaction volume.
For both these values I'm using Quandl datasets from Blockchainc.com:
market_cap: QUANDL:BCHAIN/MKTCP
transac_vol: QUANDL:BCHAIN/ETRVU
Calculation for both indicators are pretty simple:
NVT = median(market_cap / transac_vol, 14 bars)
NVTS = market_cap / sma(transac_vol, 90 bars)
NVT and NVTS are cryptocurrency's answers to P/E ratio. They can help you to understand if bitcoin is under/overvalued.
When NVT or NVTS is relatively high it can be a pretty good point to short bitcoin, if it's low it good time to buy bitcoin.
NVT Ratio - was created by Willy Woo
NVT Signal - was created by Dimitry Kalichkin
Because of different sources of transaction volume data, these indicators can differ in values from originals, but magnitude should be the same.
This is a pretty simple example where you can select only static overbought/oversold levels and when indicator will be above/below it you will see in changing in color.
I have many more things in my head how these indicators can be developed further and what strategies can be derived from them, but as is they can be a pretty good base for you. Will share my advanced findings later.
ANN MACD BTC v2.0 This script is the 2nd version of the BTC Deep Learning (ANN) system.
Created with the following indicators and tools:
RSI
MACD
MOM
Bollinger Bands
Guppy Exponential Moving Averages:
(3,5,8,10,12,15,30,35,40,45,50,60)
Note: I was inspired by the CM Guppy Ema script.
Thank you very much to dear wroclai for his great help.
He has been a big help in the deep learning series.
That's why the licenses in this series are for both of us.
I'm sharing these series and thats the first. Stay tuned and regards!
Note : Alerts added.
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth CurvesThis plots logarithmic curves fitted to major Bitcoin bear market tops & bottoms. Top line is fitted to bull tops, bottom line is fitted to lower areas of the logarithmic price trend (which is not always the same as bear market bottoms). Middle line is the median of the top & bottom, and the faded solid lines are fibonacci levels in between.
Inspired by & based on a Medium post by Harold Christopher Burger, which shows how linear Bitcoin's long-term price growth is when plotted on a double-log chart (log scaling on the price AND time axis).
These curves will only make sense for tickers representing Bitcoin vs. USD (such as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD, BITMEX:XBTUSD, BLX index). Plotting on other assets will probably end up with lines that shoot off into space without any relationship to the underlying price action.
The upper, middle & lower curves can be projected into the future, which can be turned on or off in the indicator settings. The fibonacci levels can also be switched on/off. And the upper & lower curve intercepts & slopes can be tweaked.
I'm releasing this open-source, if you end up making something cool based off of this code, I don't need attribution but please hit me up on here or on twitter (same username) so I can check out what ya made. Thanks, hope y'all enjoy it.
Yope BTC PL channelThis is a new version of the old "Yope BTC tops channel", but modified to reflect a power-law curve fitted, similar to the model proposed by Harold Christopher Burger in his medium article "Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth".
My original tops channel fitting is still there for comparison. In fact, it looks like the old tops channel was a bit too pessimistic.
Note that these channels are still pure naive curve-fitting, and do not represent an underlying model that explains it, like is the case for PlanB's "Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity" which uses Stock-to-Flow.
The motivation for this exercise is to observe how long this empirical extrapolation is valid. Will the price of bitcoin stay in either of both channels?
Note on usage: This script _only_ works with the BLX "BraveNewCoin Liquid Index for Bitcoin" in the 1D, 3D and 1W time-frames!
It may be necessary to zoom in and out a few times to overcome drawing glitches caused by the extreme time-shifting of plots in order to draw the extrapolated part.
NVT Dynamic Colored with Signals [aamonkey]NVT Dynamic
This is the dynamic version of my " Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions " indicator.
The dynamic NVT indicator is based on the Network Value to Transactions.
Definition:
NVT = Network Value / Daily Transaction Volume
Advantages:
Because BTC is a very young asset, it can be a good idea to have relatively high and low NVT values that change over time.
Signals:
When the NVT turns green = buy opportunity
NVT turns red = sell opportunity
