RSI-ATR Analyzer (overbought/oversold)Combine RSI and ATR insights for comprehensive market analysis.
Description:
The RSI-ATR Analyzer indicator integrates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Average True Range (ATR) analysis to provide traders with an enhanced understanding of price action. This tool is particularly useful for identifying overbought/oversold conditions and analyzing average price ranges relative to ATR.
Use ATR-based ranges to assess volatility and combine it with RSI signals to enhance your decision-making process.
Features:
RSI Analysis: Tracks RSI to identify overbought and oversold levels.
ATR-Based Ranges: Calculates and plots the average range from high to open and open to low based on ATR.
Customizable Parameters: Allows full customization of RSI length, ATR length, overbought/oversold levels, and line colors.
Alerts: Sends alerts when RSI enters overbought or oversold zones.
Inputs:
RSI Source: Choose the data source for RSI calculations (default: close price).
RSI Length: Set the length for RSI calculation (default: 14).
ATR Length: Adjust the ATR length for range calculations (default: 50).
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Define the RSI thresholds for overbought (default: 70) and oversold (default: 30) levels.
Line Color: Customize the RSI line color (default: blue).
Plots:
High to Open Range: Plots the average range from high to open in green.
Open to Low Range: Plots the average range from open to low in red.
RSI Line: Displays the RSI value over time with thresholds for overbought and oversold levels.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Customize the parameters to fit your trading strategy.
Use the plotted ranges to understand price movements and compare them with RSI readings.
Set alerts to monitor RSI entry into overbought or oversold zones.
Alerts:
"RSI is in overbought zone!"
Triggers when RSI crosses above the overbought level.
"RSI is in oversold zone!"
Triggers when RSI crosses below the oversold level.
Visualization:
Transparent green and red areas represent ATR-based ranges for high-to-open and open-to-low, respectively.
Blue line depicts the RSI, with clear markers for overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels.
Use Cases:
Identify potential reversals with RSI overbought/oversold signals.
Analyze price movement ranges relative to ATR.
Combine with other indicators to build a robust trading strategy.
Средний истинный диапазон (ATR)
All-in-One Script (KAMA + ATR + EMA/Bollinger)This All-in-One Script (KAMA + ATR + EMA/Bollinger) is a comprehensive trading system that combines three different technical analysis tools in a single indicator:
1. KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average):
- An advanced moving average that automatically adjusts to market volatility
- Moves quickly during trending periods and slowly in sideways markets
- Default period is set to 21
- Displayed with a blue line
- Adapts to both trending and ranging markets
2. ATR (Average True Range) Levels:
- Creates volatility-based support and resistance levels
- Uses daily (D) timeframe by default
- Utilizes 14-period ATR value
- Shows upper (green) and lower (red) ATR levels on the last bar
- Displays price values next to each level
- Helps identify potential price targets and stop levels
3. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and Bollinger Bands:
- 9-period EMA displayed with thick orange line
- Optional Bollinger Bands based on this EMA
- Additional smoothing options available:
* SMA (Simple Moving Average)
* EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
* SMMA/RMA (Smoothed/Running Moving Average)
* WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
* VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average)
Customization Options:
- Each component (KAMA, ATR, EMA) can be toggled on/off independently
- Adjustable period values for all indicators
- Configurable Bollinger Band deviation multiplier (default 2.0)
- EMA offset value can be adjusted
- Various color and style settings
Use Cases:
1. Trend Following:
- Identify trend direction and strength
- Spot potential trend reversals
- Monitor momentum changes
2. Volatility Trading:
- Determine dynamic support/resistance levels
- Set appropriate stop-loss levels
- Gauge market volatility conditions
3. Price Action Analysis:
- Multiple timeframe analysis
- Trend confirmation
- Divergence identification
4. Risk Management:
- ATR-based position sizing
- Dynamic stop-loss placement
- Volatility-adjusted targets
Trading Applications:
- Suitable for both trend followers and swing traders
- Effective in various market conditions
- Helps in both entry and exit decisions
- Provides multiple confirmation signals
- Works across different timeframes
Technical Details:
- Built for TradingView platform
- Uses Pine Script version 6
- Optimized for real-time calculation
- Minimal performance impact
- Reliable data processing
This indicator is ideal for traders who want a comprehensive view of market conditions without overcrowding their charts with multiple indicators. It combines trend following, volatility measurement, and momentum analysis in one package.
Breadth of Volatility The Breadth of Volatility (BoV) is an indicator designed to help traders understand the activity and volatility of the market. It focuses on analyzing how fast prices are moving and how much trading volume is driving those movements. By combining these two factors—price speed and volume strength—the BoV provides a single value that reflects the current level of market activity. This can help traders identify when the market is particularly active or calm, which is useful for planning trading strategies.
The speed component of the BoV measures how quickly prices are moving compared to their recent average. This is done by using a metric called the Average True Range (ATR), which calculates the typical size of price movements over a specific period. The BoV compares the current price change to this average, showing whether the market is moving faster or slower than usual. Faster price movements generally indicate higher volatility, which might signal opportunities for active traders.
The strength component focuses on the role of trading volume in price changes. It multiplies the trading volume by the size of the price movement to create a value called volume strength. This value is then compared to the highest volume strength seen over a recent period, which helps gauge whether the current price action is being strongly supported by trading activity. When the strength value is high, it suggests that market participants are actively trading and supporting the price movement.
These two components—speed and strength—are averaged to calculate the Breadth of Volatility value. While the formula also includes a placeholder for a third component (related to fundamental analysis), it is currently inactive and does not influence the final value. The BoV is displayed as a line on a chart, with a zero line for reference. Positive BoV values indicate heightened market activity and volatility, while values near zero suggest a quieter market. This indicator is particularly helpful for new traders to monitor market conditions and adjust their strategies accordingly, whether they’re focusing on trend-following or waiting for calmer periods for more conservative trades.
Important Notice:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The use of technical indicators like this one does not guarantee profitable results. This indicator should not be used as a standalone analysis tool. It is essential to combine it with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis, risk management strategies, and awareness of current market conditions. Always conduct thorough research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Disclaimer:
Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Note: The effectiveness of any technical indicator can vary based on market conditions and individual trading styles. It's crucial to test indicators thoroughly using historical data and possibly paper trading before applying them in live trading scenarios.
Refined MACD Heikin Ashi Indicator v1.1MACD Golden/Death cross Buy/Sell indicator working with Heikin Ashi candles with refined accuracy, with stoploss of atr x1.75
Dynamic ATR Levels (Last Bar Only)Dynamic ATR Levels (Last Bar Only)
This script uses the ATR (Average True Range) indicator to create dynamic support and resistance levels for a specified timeframe. Key features include:
1. ATR Calculation: The script calculates the ATR value based on the user-defined timeframe and lookback period.
2. Dynamic Levels: Support and resistance levels are calculated by adding and subtracting the ATR value to/from the current closing price.
3. Last Bar Execution: Support and resistance levels are displayed only on the last bar of the chart.
4. Labels: The levels are displayed as labels on the chart, positioned to the right side of the price.
This indicator helps traders quickly identify volatility-based support and resistance levels.
ATR Stop-Loss CalculatorATR (Average True Range) kullanarak long ve short işlemleri için stop-loss seviyelerini hesaplar ve grafikte gösterir. Ayrıca Sağ üst köşede stop-loss seviyelerini bir tablo olarak görüntüler. Ayarlanabilir parametreler sayesinde esnek ve kullanıcı dostu bir araçtır.
Özellikler:
ATR'ye dayalı long ve short stop-loss seviyeleri.
Sağ üst köşede stop-loss seviyelerini gösteren tablo.
Kullanıcı tarafından özelleştirilebilir ATR uzunluğu, çarpanı ve hareketli ortalama uzunlukları.
EMA ivis Breakout StrategyEine bewährte Strategie kombiniert gleitende Durchschnitte (EMAs) mit einem Breakout-Filter, um nur bei klaren Markttrends zu handeln. Entwickelt habe ich diese für BTCUSD, funktioniert aber auch in anderen Assets.
Ausstiegsregeln:
Für den Stop-Loss: 1,5-fache ATR unterhalb/oberhalb des Einstiegskurses.
Für den Take-Profit: 2-fache ATR über/unter dem Einstiegspunkt
Zeit Filter:
Der Indikator liefert nur in der definierten Handelszeit Signale. Diese können SIe selbstständig in den Einstellungen verändern.
Die Strategie kann man bestens in 15min anwenden.
DAILY Supertrend + EMA Crossover with RSI FilterThis strategy is a technical trading approach that combines multiple indicators—Supertrend, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—to identify and manage trades.
Core Components:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Two EMAs, one with a shorter period (fast) and one with a longer period (slow), are calculated. The idea is to spot when the faster EMA crosses above or below the slower EMA. A fast EMA crossing above the slow EMA often suggests upward momentum, while crossing below suggests downward momentum.
2. Supertrend Indicator:
The Supertrend uses Average True Range (ATR) to establish dynamic support and resistance lines. These lines shift above or below price depending on the prevailing trend. When price is above the Supertrend line, the trend is considered bullish; when below, it’s considered bearish. This helps ensure that the strategy trades only in the direction of the overall trend rather than against it.
3. RSI Filter:
The RSI measures momentum. It helps avoid buying into markets that are already overbought or selling into markets that are oversold. For example, when going long (buying), the strategy only proceeds if the RSI is not too high, and when going short (selling), it only proceeds if the RSI is not too low. This filter is meant to improve the quality of the trades by reducing the chance of entering right before a reversal.
4. Time Filters:
The strategy only triggers entries during user-specified date and time ranges. This is useful if one wants to limit trading activity to certain trading sessions or periods with higher market liquidity.
5. Risk Management via ATR-based Stops and Targets:
Both stop loss and take profit levels are set as multiples of the ATR. ATR measures volatility, so when volatility is higher, both stops and profit targets adjust to give the trade more breathing room. Conversely, when volatility is low, stops and targets tighten. This dynamic approach helps maintain consistent risk management regardless of market conditions.
Overall Logic Flow:
- First, the market conditions are analyzed through EMAs, Supertrend, and RSI.
- When a buy (long) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, the trend is bullish according to Supertrend, and RSI is below the specified “overbought” threshold—the strategy initiates or adds to a long position.
- Similarly, when a sell (short) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, the trend is bearish, and RSI is above the specified “oversold” threshold—it initiates or adds to a short position.
- Each position is protected by an automatically calculated stop loss and a take profit level based on ATR multiples.
Intended Result:
By blending trend detection, momentum filtering, and volatility-adjusted risk management, the strategy aims to capture moves in the primary trend direction while avoiding entries at excessively stretched prices. Allowing multiple entries can potentially amplify gains in strong trends but also increases exposure, which traders should consider in their risk management approach.
In essence, this strategy tries to ride established trends as indicated by the Supertrend and EMAs, filter out poor-quality entries using RSI, and dynamically manage trade risk through ATR-based stops and targets.
ATR for Aggregated Bars (2 Bars)Range Bar ATR Indicator: Detailed Description and Usage Guide
This script is a custom indicator designed specifically for Range Bar charts , tailored to help traders understand and navigate market conditions by utilizing the Average True Range (ATR) concept. The indicator adapts the traditional ATR to work effectively with Range Bar charts, where bars have a fixed range rather than being time-based.
How It Works
1. ATR Calculation on Range Bars :
- Unlike time-based charts, Range Bar charts focus on price movement within a fixed range.
- The indicator calculates ATR by pairing consecutive bars, treating every two bars as a single unit . This pairing ensures that the ATR reflects price movement effectively on Range Bar charts.
2. Short and Long Period ATR Values :
- The script displays two ATR values :
- A short-period ATR , calculated over a smaller number of paired bars.
- A long-period ATR , calculated over a larger number of paired bars.
- These values provide a dynamic view of both recent and longer-term market volatility.
Why Use This Indicator?
The primary goal is to provide a meaningful adaptation of the ATR indicator for Range Bar charts, allowing traders to make informed decisions similar to using ATR on traditional time-based charts.
Key Applications
Determine a Better Custom Range :
- Analyze the ATR values to choose an optimal range size for Range Bar charts, ensuring better alignment with market conditions.
Assess Market Volatility :
- Rising volatility : When the short-period ATR value is higher than the long-period value, it signals increasing volatility.
- Decreasing volatility : When the short-period ATR value is lower, it indicates declining volatility.
Risk and Stop Loss Management :
- Use the higher ATR value (e.g., the long-period ATR) to calculate minimum stop loss levels. Multiply the ATR by 1.5 or 2 to set a safe buffer against market fluctuations.
How to Use It
1. Add the script to a Range Bar chart.
2. Configure the short and long ATR periods to suit your trading style and preferences.
3. Observe the displayed ATR values:
- Use these values to analyze market conditions and adapt your strategy accordingly.
4. Apply insights from the ATR values for:
- Determining custom Range Bar settings.
- Evaluating volatility trends.
- Setting effective risk parameters like stop loss levels.
Benefits
- Provides a tailored ATR tool for Range Bar charts, addressing the unique challenges of fixed-range trading.
- Offers both short-term and long-term perspectives on volatility.
- Enhances decision-making for range settings, volatility analysis, and risk management.
This indicator bridges the gap between traditional ATR indicators and the specific needs of Range Bar chart users, making it a versatile tool for traders.
Prediction Based on Linreg & Atr
We created this algorithm with the goal of predicting future prices 📊, specifically where the value of any asset will go in the next 20 periods ⏳. It uses linear regression based on past prices, calculating a slope and an intercept to forecast future behavior 🔮. This prediction is then adjusted according to market volatility, measured by the ATR 📉, and the direction of trend signals, which are based on the MACD and moving averages 📈.
How Does the Linreg & ATR Prediction Work?
1. Trend Calculation and Signals:
o Technical Indicators: We use short- and long-term exponential moving averages (EMA), RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands 📊 to assess market direction and sentiment (not visually presented in the script).
o Calculation Functions: These include functions to calculate slope, average, intercept, standard deviation, and Pearson's R, which are crucial for regression analysis 📉.
2. Predicting Future Prices:
o Linear Regression: The algorithm calculates the slope, average, and intercept of past prices to create a regression channel 📈, helping to predict the range of future prices 🔮.
o Standard Deviation and Pearson's R: These metrics determine the strength of the regression 🔍.
3. Adjusting the Prediction:
o The predicted value is adjusted by considering market volatility (ATR 📉) and the direction of trend signals 🔮, ensuring that the prediction is aligned with the current market environment 🌍.
4. Visualization:
o Prediction Lines and Bands: The algorithm plots lines that display the predicted future price along with a prediction range (upper and lower bounds) 📉📈.
5. EMA Cross Signals:
o EMA Conditions and Total Score: A bullish crossover signal is generated when the total score is positive and the short EMA crosses above the long EMA 📈. A bearish crossover signal is generated when the total score is negative and the short EMA crosses below the long EMA 📉.
6. Additional Considerations:
o Multi-Timeframe Regression Channel: The script calculates regression channels for different timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, helping determine the overall market direction 📊 (not visually presented).
Confidence Interpretation:
• High Confidence (close to 100%): Indicates strong alignment between timeframes with a clear trend (bullish or bearish) 🔥.
• Low Confidence (close to 0%): Shows disagreement or weak signals between timeframes ⚠️.
Confidence complements the interpretation of the prediction range and expected direction 🔮, aiding in decision-making for market entry or exit 🚀.
Español
Creamos este algoritmo con el objetivo de predecir los precios futuros 📊, específicamente hacia dónde irá el valor de cualquier activo en los próximos 20 períodos ⏳. Utiliza regresión lineal basada en los precios pasados, calculando una pendiente y una intersección para prever el comportamiento futuro 🔮. Esta predicción se ajusta según la volatilidad del mercado, medida por el ATR 📉, y la dirección de las señales de tendencia, que se basan en el MACD y las medias móviles 📈.
¿Cómo Funciona la Predicción con Linreg & ATR?
Cálculo de Tendencias y Señales:
Indicadores Técnicos: Usamos medias móviles exponenciales (EMA) a corto y largo plazo, RSI, MACD y Bandas de Bollinger 📊 para evaluar la dirección y el sentimiento del mercado (no presentados visualmente en el script).
Funciones de Cálculo: Incluye funciones para calcular pendiente, media, intersección, desviación estándar y el coeficiente de correlación de Pearson, esenciales para el análisis de regresión 📉.
Predicción de Precios Futuros:
Regresión Lineal: El algoritmo calcula la pendiente, la media y la intersección de los precios pasados para crear un canal de regresión 📈, ayudando a predecir el rango de precios futuros 🔮.
Desviación Estándar y Pearson's R: Estas métricas determinan la fuerza de la regresión 🔍.
Ajuste de la Predicción:
El valor predicho se ajusta considerando la volatilidad del mercado (ATR 📉) y la dirección de las señales de tendencia 🔮, asegurando que la predicción esté alineada con el entorno actual del mercado 🌍.
Visualización:
Líneas y Bandas de Predicción: El algoritmo traza líneas que muestran el precio futuro predicho, junto con un rango de predicción (límites superior e inferior) 📉📈.
Señales de Cruce de EMAs:
Condiciones de EMAs y Puntaje Total: Se genera una señal de cruce alcista cuando el puntaje total es positivo y la EMA corta cruza por encima de la EMA larga 📈. Se genera una señal de cruce bajista cuando el puntaje total es negativo y la EMA corta cruza por debajo de la EMA larga 📉.
Consideraciones Adicionales:
Canal de Regresión Multi-Timeframe: El script calcula canales de regresión para diferentes marcos de tiempo (5m, 15m, 30m, 4h) ⏳, ayudando a determinar la dirección general del mercado 📊 (no presentado visualmente).
Interpretación de la Confianza:
Alta Confianza (cerca del 100%): Indica una fuerte alineación entre los marcos temporales con una tendencia clara (alcista o bajista) 🔥.
Baja Confianza (cerca del 0%): Muestra desacuerdo o señales débiles entre los marcos temporales ⚠️.
La confianza complementa la interpretación del rango de predicción y la dirección esperada 🔮, ayudando en las decisiones de entrada o salida en el mercado 🚀.
ATR SL Band (No-Repaint, Multi-Timeframe) + Risk per ContractThis indicator draws a non-repainting band for ATR-based Stoploss placement.
If used on Futures, it shows the distance + risk from the previous candle close, as well as from the current price.
The risk value is automatically calculated for the following symbols:
(Micro) ES (S&P 500)
(Micro) NQ (NASDAQ 100)
(Micro) YM (Dow Jones Industrial Average / US30)
The timeframe can be set individually. It is not recommended to use a lower timeframe than the chart timeframe as values differ from the actual timeframe's ATR SL in this case.
Visual ATR StopThis indicator uses the Average True Range (ATR) to display a visual range for stop placement. Two multiplier values (example, 1 and 3) can be set to create a filled area below the price. This area represents the range between the two ATR levels, adjusted by subtracting the current price, providing a simple way to visualize stop-loss placement based on volatility.
The indicator is customizable; for example, negative values can place the area above the price for short positions. The filled color can also be removed, which allows precise levels to be marked above and below.
Precision Trading Strategy: Golden EdgeThe PTS: Golden Edge strategy is designed for scalping Gold (XAU/USD) on lower timeframes, such as the 1-minute chart. It captures high-probability trade setups by aligning with strong trends and momentum, while filtering out low-quality trades during consolidation or low-volatility periods.
The strategy uses a combination of technical indicators to identify optimal entry points:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): A fast EMA (3-period) and a slow EMA (33-period) are used to detect short-term trend reversals via crossover signals.
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA): A 66-period HMA acts as a higher-timeframe trend filter to ensure trades align with the overall market direction.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A 12-period RSI identifies momentum. The strategy requires RSI > 55 for long trades and RSI < 45 for short trades, ensuring entries are backed by strong buying or selling pressure.
4. Average True Range (ATR): A 14-period ATR ensures trades occur only during volatile conditions, avoiding choppy or low-movement markets.
By combining these tools, the PTS: Golden Edge strategy creates a precise framework for scalping and offers a systematic approach to capitalize on Gold’s price movements efficiently.
WhalenatorThis custom TradingView indicator combines multiple analytic techniques to help identify potential market trends, areas of support and resistance, and zones of heightened trading activity. It incorporates a SuperTrend-like line based on ATR, Keltner Channels for volatility-based price envelopes, and dynamic order blocks derived from significant volume and pivot points. Additionally, it highlights “whale” activities—periods of exceptionally large volume—along with an estimated volume profile level and approximate bid/ask volume distribution. Together, these features aim to offer traders a more comprehensive view of price structure, volatility, and institutional participation.
This custom TradingView indicator integrates multiple trading concepts into a single, visually descriptive tool. Its primary goal is to help traders identify directional bias, volatility levels, significant volume events, and potential support/resistance zones on a price chart. Below are the main components and their functionalities:
SuperTrend-Like Line (Trend Bias):
At the core of the indicator is a trend-following line inspired by the SuperTrend concept, which uses Average True Range (ATR) to adaptively set trailing stop levels. By comparing price to these levels, the line attempts to indicate when the market is in an uptrend (price above the line) or a downtrend (price below the line). The shifting levels can provide a dynamic sense of direction and help traders stay with the predominant trend until it shifts.
Keltner Channels (Volatility and Range):
Keltner Channels, based on an exponential moving average and Average True Range, form volatility-based envelopes around price. They help traders visualize whether price is extended (touching or moving outside the upper/lower band) or trading within a stable range. This can be useful in identifying low-volatility consolidations and high-volatility breakouts.
Dynamic Order Blocks (Approximations of Supply/Demand Zones):
By detecting pivot highs and lows under conditions of significant volume, the indicator approximates "order blocks." Order blocks are areas where institutional buying or selling may have occurred, potentially acting as future support or resistance zones. Although these approximations are not perfect, they offer a visual cue to areas on the chart where price might react strongly if revisited.
Volume Profile Proxy and Whale Detection:
The indicator highlights price levels associated with recent maximum volume activity, providing a rough "volume profile" reference. Such levels often become key points of price interaction.
"Whale" detection logic attempts to identify bars where exceptionally large volume occurs (beyond a defined threshold). By tracking these "whale bars," traders can infer where heavy participation—often from large traders or institutions—may influence market direction or create zones of interest.
Approximate Bid/Ask Volume and Dollar Volume Tracking:
The script estimates whether volume within each bar leans more towards the bid or the ask side, aiming to understand which participant (buyers or sellers) might have been more aggressive. Additionally, it calculates dollar volume (close price multiplied by volume) and provides an average to gauge the relative participation strength over time.
Labeling and Visual Aids:
Dynamic labels display Whale Frequency (the ratio of bars with exceptionally large volume), average dollar volume, and approximate ask/bid volume metrics. This gives traders at-a-glance insights into current market conditions, participation, and sentiment.
Strengths:
Multifaceted Analysis:
By combining trend, volatility, volume, and order block logic in one place, the indicator saves chart space and simplifies the analytical process. Traders gain a holistic view without flipping between multiple separate tools.
Adaptable to Market Conditions:
The use of ATR and Keltner Channels adapts to changing volatility conditions. The SuperTrend-like line helps keep traders aligned with the prevailing trend, avoiding constant whipsaws in choppy markets.
Volume-Based Insights:
Integrating whale detection and a crude volume profile proxy helps traders understand where large players might be interacting. This perspective can highlight critical levels that might not be evident from price action alone.
Convenient Visual Cues and Labels:
The indicator provides quick reference points and textual information about the underlying volume dynamics, making decision-making potentially faster and more informed.
Weaknesses:
Heuristic and Approximate Nature:
Many of the indicator’s features, like the "order blocks," "whale detection," and the approximate bid/ask volume, rely on heuristics and assumptions that may not always be accurate. Without actual Level II data or true volume profiles, the insights are best considered as supplementary, not definitive signals.
Lagging Components:
Indicators that rely on past data, like ATR-based trends or moving averages for Keltner Channels, inherently lag behind price. This can cause delayed signals, particularly in fast-moving markets, potentially missing some early opportunities or late in confirming market reversals.
No Guaranteed Predictive Power:
As with any technical tool, it does not forecast the future with certainty. Strong volume at a certain level or a bullish SuperTrend reading does not guarantee price will continue in that direction. Market conditions can change unexpectedly, and false signals will occur.
Complexity and Overreliance Risk:
With multiple signals combined, there’s a risk of information overload. Traders might feel compelled to rely too heavily on this one tool. Without complementary analysis (fundamentals, news, or additional technical confirmation), overreliance on the indicator could lead to misguided trades.
Conclusion:
This integrated indicator offers a comprehensive visual guide to market structure, volatility, and activity. Its strength lies in providing a multi-dimensional viewpoint in a single tool. However, traders should remain aware of its approximations, inherent lags, and the potential for conflicting signals. Sound risk management, position sizing, and the use of complementary analysis methods remain essential for trading success.
Risks Associated with Trading:
No indicator can guarantee profitable trades or accurately predict future price movements. Market conditions are inherently unpredictable, and reliance on any single tool or combination of tools carries the risk of financial loss. Traders should practice sound risk management, including the use of stop losses and position sizing, and should not trade with funds they cannot afford to lose. Ultimately, decisions should be guided by a thorough trading plan and possibly supplemented with other forms of market analysis or professional advice.
Risks and Important Considerations:
• Not a Standalone Tool:
• This indicator should not be used in isolation. It is essential to incorporate additional technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and market context when making trading decisions.
• Relying solely on this indicator may lead to incomplete assessments of market conditions.
• Market Volatility and False Signals:
• Financial markets can be highly volatile, and indicators based on historical data may not accurately predict future movements.
• The indicator may produce false signals due to sudden market changes, low liquidity, or atypical trading activity.
• Risk Management:
• Always employ robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and not over-leveraging positions.
• Understand that no indicator guarantees success, and losses are a natural part of trading.
• Emotional Discipline:
• Avoid making impulsive decisions based on indicator signals alone.
• Emotional trading can lead to significant financial losses; maintain discipline and adhere to a well-thought-out trading plan.
• Continuous Learning and Adaptation:
• Stay informed about market news, economic indicators, and global events that may impact trading conditions.
• Continuously evaluate and adjust your trading strategies as market dynamics evolve.
• Consultation with Professionals:
• Consider seeking advice from financial advisors or professional traders to understand better how this indicator can fit into your overall trading strategy.
• Professional guidance can provide personalized insights based on your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer:
Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Note: The effectiveness of any technical indicator can vary based on market conditions and individual trading styles. It's crucial to test indicators thoroughly using historical data and possibly paper trading before applying them in live trading scenarios.
Adaptive Supertrend with Dynamic Optimization [EdgeTerminal]The Enhanced Adaptive Supertrend represents a significant evolution of the traditional Supertrend indicator, incorporating advanced mathematical optimization, dynamic volatility adjustment, intelligent signal filtering, reduced noise and false positives.
Key Features
Dynamic volatility-adjusted bands
Self-optimizing multiplier
Intelligent signal filtering system
Cooldown period to prevent signal clustering
Clear buy/sell signals with optimal positioning
Smooth trend visualization
RSI and MACD integration for confirmation
Performance-based optimization
Dynamic Band Calculation
Dynamic Band Calculation automatically adapts to market volatility, generates wider bands in volatile periods, reducing false signals. It also generates tighter bands in stable periods, capturing smaller moves and smooth transitions between different volatility regimes.
RSI Integration
The RSI and MACD play multiple crucial roles in the Adaptive Supertrend.
It first helps with momentum factor calculation. This dynamically adjusts band width based on momentum conditions. When the RSI is oversold, bands widen by 20% to prevent false signals during strong downtrends and provide more room for price movements in extreme conditions.
When the RSI is overbought, brands tighten by 20% and they become more sensitive to potential reversals to help catch trend changes earlier.
This reduces false signals in strong trends, helps detect potential reversals earlier than the usual, create adaptive band width based on market conditions and finally, better protection against whipsaws.
MACD Integration
The MACD in this supertrend indicator serves as a trend confirmation tool. The idea is to use MACD crossovers to confirm trend changes to reduce false trend change signals and enhance the signal quality.
For this to become a signal, MACD crossovers must align with price movement to help filter out weak or false signals, which acts as an additional layer of trend confirmation.
Additionally, MACD line position relative to signal line indicates trend strength, helps maintain positions in strong trends and assists in early detection of trend weakening.
Momentum Integration
Momentum Integration prevents false signals in extreme conditions, It adjusts dynamic bands based on market momentum, improves trend confirmation in strong moves and reduces whipsaws during consolidations.
Improved signals
There are a few systems to generate better signals, allowing for generally faster signals compared to original supertrend, such as:
Enforced cooldown period between signals
Prevents signal clustering
Clearer entry/exit points
Reduced false signals during choppy markets
Performance Optimization
This script implements a Sharpe ratio-inspired optimization algorithm to balance returns against risk, penalize large drawdowns, adapt parameters in real-time and improve risk-adjusted performance
Parameter Settings
ATR Period: 10 (default) - adjust based on timeframe
Initial Multiplier: 3.0 (default) - will self-optimize
Optimization Period: 50 (default) - longer periods for more stability
Smoothing Period: 3 (default) - adjust for signal smoothness
Best Practices
Use on multiple timeframes for confirmation
Allow the optimization process to run for at least 50 bars
Monitor the adaptive multiplier for trend strength indication
Consider RSI and MACD alignment for stronger signals
Volatility vs ATRVolatility vs ATR Indicator Description for TradingView
Volatility vs ATR is a powerful custom indicator designed to help traders analyze and compare market volatility with the Average True Range (ATR). This indicator provides valuable insights into the dynamic behavior of asset prices, enabling traders to make informed decisions about market trends, potential reversals, and risk management.
What Does It Measure?
Volatility: Represents the degree of price variation over a given period. Calculated using standard deviation or other measures, it highlights periods of heightened or reduced market activity.
Average True Range (ATR): Measures the average range of price movement over a specific period, providing a sense of the asset's price fluctuations and market activity.
How It Works
The indicator plots both Volatility and ATR on the same chart, making it easy to visualize how these metrics interact.
Rising Volatility often signals increased market uncertainty or the beginning of strong trends.
ATR Spikes typically accompany high volatility, helping identify potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.
By tracking the interplay between these metrics, traders can anticipate shifts in momentum, recognize consolidation phases, and plan trades more effectively.
Key Features
Dual-Line Display: Clearly plots both Volatility (red) and ATR (blue) for easy comparison.
Customizable Periods: Allows you to adjust the lookback period for both metrics to match your trading style.
Versatile Application: Works across all asset classes, including stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities.
Why Use Volatility vs ATR?
Trend Analysis: Identify trending vs. ranging markets by observing the relationship between Volatility and ATR.
Breakout Confirmation: Use Volatility and ATR spikes as confirmation signals for potential breakouts.
Risk Management: Plan stop-loss levels and position sizing based on ATR values.
How to Use It
Add the indicator to your chart.
Look for periods where Volatility diverges from ATR to spot potential market shifts.
Use the indicator in conjunction with price action and other technical tools for a comprehensive analysis.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to enhance their strategies by understanding market dynamics through the lens of volatility and average price movement.
Let me know if you’d like further refinement!
ATR% Multiple from Key Moving AverageThis script gives signal when the ATR% multiple from any chosen moving average is beyond the configurable threshold value. This indicator quantifies how extended the stock is from a given key moving average.
A lot of traders use ATR% multiple from 10DMA, 21EMA, 50SMA or 200SMA to determine how extended a stock is and accordingly sell partials or exit. By default the indicator takes 50SMA and when the ATR% multiple is greater than 7 then it gives the signal to take partials. You can back test this indicator with previous trades and determine the ideal threshold for the signal. For small and midcaps a threshold of 7 to 10 ATR% multiples from 50SMA is where partials can be taken while large caps can revert to mean even earlier at 3 to 5 ATR% multiples from 50SMA.
You can modify this script and use it anyway you please as long as you make it opensource on TradingView.
Position Sizing Calculator (Real-Time)█ SUMMARY
The following indicator is a Position Sizing Calculator based on Average True Range (ATR), originally developed by market technician J. Welles Wilder Jr., intended for real-time trading.
This script utilizes the user's account size, acceptable risk percentage, and a stop-loss distance based on ATR to dynamically calculate the appropriate position size for each trade in real time.
█ BACKGROUND
Developed for use on the 5-minute timeframe, this script provides traders with continuously updated, dynamic position sizes. It enables traders to instantly determine the exact number of shares and dollar amount to use for entering a trade within their acceptable risk tolerance whenever a trade opportunity arises.
This real-time position sizing tool helps traders make well-informed decisions when planning trade entries and calculating maximum stop-loss levels, ultimately enhancing risk management.
█ USER INPUTS
Trading Account Size: Total dollar value of the user's trading account.
Acceptable Risk (%): Maximum percentage of the trading account that the user is willing to risk per trade.
ATR Multiplier for Stop-Loss: Multiplier used to determine the distance of the stop-loss from the current price, based on the ATR value.
ATR Length: The length of the lookback period used to calculate the ATR value.
ATR-based TP/SL with Dynamic RREnglish
This indicator combines the power of the Average True Range (ATR) with dynamic calculations for Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels, offering a clear visualization of trading opportunities and their respective Risk-Reward Ratios (RRR).
Features:
Dynamic TP/SL Calculation:
TP and SL levels are derived using user-defined ATR multipliers for precise positioning.
Multipliers are flexible, allowing traders to adjust according to their strategies.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Automatically calculates and displays the RRR for each trade signal.
Helps traders quickly assess if a trade aligns with their risk management plan.
Entry Conditions:
Buy signals occur when the closing price crosses above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Sell signals occur when the closing price crosses below the 20-period SMA.
Visual Aids:
Red and green lines indicate Stop Loss and Take Profit levels.
Blue and orange labels show the RRR for long and short trades, respectively.
How It Works:
The indicator uses the ATR to calculate TP and SL levels:
TP: Adjusted based on the desired Risk-Reward Ratio (RR).
SL: Proportional to the ATR multiplier.
Entry signals are plotted with "BUY" or "SELL" markers, while the respective TP/SL levels are drawn as horizontal lines.
Why Use This Indicator?
Perfect for traders who value precise risk management.
Helps identify trades with favorable RRR (e.g., greater than 1.5 or 2.0).
Ideal for swing traders, day traders, and scalpers looking to automate their decision-making process.
Customization:
ATR Length: Control the sensitivity of ATR-based calculations.
ATR Multipliers: Set the TP and SL distances relative to the ATR.
Desired RRR: Define the risk/reward ratio you aim to achieve.
Important Notes:
The indicator does not place trades automatically; it is for visual and analytical purposes.
Always backtest and combine it with additional analysis for best results.
French
Cet indicateur combine la puissance de l’Average True Range (ATR) avec des calculs dynamiques pour les niveaux de Take Profit (TP) et de Stop Loss (SL), tout en offrant une visualisation claire des opportunités de trading et de leurs Ratios Risque/Rendement (RRR).
Fonctionnalités :
Calcul Dynamique des TP/SL :
Les niveaux de TP et SL sont calculés à l'aide de multiplicateurs ATR définis par l’utilisateur pour une position précise.
Les multiplicateurs sont personnalisables pour s'adapter à votre stratégie de trading.
Ratio Risque/Rendement (RRR) :
Calcule et affiche automatiquement le ratio RRR pour chaque signal de trade.
Permet aux traders d’évaluer rapidement si un trade correspond à leur plan de gestion des risques.
Conditions d'Entrée :
Les signaux d'achat apparaissent lorsque le prix de clôture traverse au-dessus de la moyenne mobile simple (SMA) à 20 périodes.
Les signaux de vente apparaissent lorsque le prix de clôture traverse en dessous de la SMA à 20 périodes.
Aides Visuelles :
Lignes rouges et vertes pour indiquer les niveaux de Stop Loss et de Take Profit.
Étiquettes bleues et orange pour afficher le RRR des trades longs et courts, respectivement.
Comment Cela Fonctionne :
L'indicateur utilise l’ATR pour calculer les niveaux TP et SL :
TP : Calculé dynamiquement en fonction du ratio risque/rendement souhaité (RRR).
SL : Proportionnel au multiplicateur ATR défini par l’utilisateur.
Les signaux d’entrée sont représentés par des étiquettes "BUY" ou "SELL", tandis que les niveaux de TP/SL sont tracés sous forme de lignes horizontales.
Pourquoi Utiliser Cet Indicateur ?
Idéal pour les traders soucieux d’une gestion rigoureuse des risques.
Identifie les opportunités de trades avec des RRR favorables (par exemple, supérieurs à 1.5 ou 2.0).
Convient aux swing traders, day traders et scalpeurs souhaitant automatiser leur processus de décision.
Personnalisation :
Longueur de l’ATR : Contrôlez la sensibilité des calculs basés sur l’ATR.
Multiplicateurs ATR : Ajustez les distances TP et SL par rapport à l’ATR.
Ratio RRR souhaité : Définissez le ratio risque/rendement que vous visez.
Remarques Importantes :
Cet indicateur n’exécute pas de trades automatiquement ; il est destiné à un usage visuel et analytique uniquement.
Toujours backtester et combiner avec une analyse supplémentaire pour de meilleurs résultats.
parametre par type de trading:
1. Pour les Scalpers :
Style de trading : Trades rapides sur de petites variations de prix, souvent sur des unités de temps courtes (1 min, 5 min).
Recommandations de paramètres :
ATR Length : 7 (plus court pour réagir rapidement à la volatilité).
Multiplicateur SL : 1.0 (Stop Loss proche pour limiter les pertes).
RR souhaité : 1.5 à 2.0 (bon équilibre entre risque et récompense).
Résultat attendu : Des trades fréquents, avec une probabilité raisonnable de toucher le TP tout en limitant les pertes.
2. Pour les Day Traders :
Style de trading : Trades qui durent plusieurs heures dans la journée, souvent sur des unités de temps moyennes (15 min, 1h).
Recommandations de paramètres :
ATR Length : 14 (standard pour capturer une volatilité modérée).
Multiplicateur SL : 1.5 (Stop Loss à distance raisonnable pour supporter les fluctuations intrajournalières).
RR souhaité : 2.0 à 3.0 (ciblez une bonne récompense par rapport au risque).
Résultat attendu : Moins de trades, mais un RR élevé pour compenser les pertes potentielles.
3. Pour les Swing Traders :
Style de trading : Trades qui durent plusieurs jours, souvent sur des unités de temps longues (4h, 1 jour).
Recommandations de paramètres :
ATR Length : 20 (pour capturer des mouvements de volatilité plus larges).
Multiplicateur SL : 2.0 (Stop Loss large pour supporter des fluctuations importantes).
RR souhaité : 3.0 ou plus (ciblez de gros mouvements de prix).
Résultat attendu : Des trades moins fréquents mais potentiellement très lucratifs.
4. Pour les Actifs Volatils (Crypto, Commodités) :
Problème spécifique : Les actifs volatils ont souvent des mouvements brusques.
Recommandations de paramètres :
ATR Length : 7 ou 10 (plus court pour suivre rapidement les variations).
Multiplicateur SL : 1.5 à 2.0 (assez large pour ne pas être déclenché prématurément).
RR souhaité : 1.5 à 2.0 (favorisez des récompenses réalistes sur des mouvements volatils).
Résultat attendu : Trades qui s’adaptent à la volatilité sans sortir trop tôt.
5. Pour les Marchés Stables (Indices, Actions Blue Chip) :
Problème spécifique : Les mouvements sont souvent lents et prévisibles.
Recommandations de paramètres :
ATR Length : 14 ou 20 (capture une volatilité modérée).
Multiplicateur SL : 1.0 à 1.5 (Stop Loss serré pour maximiser l’efficacité).
RR souhaité : 2.0 à 3.0 (ciblez des ratios plus élevés sur des mouvements moins fréquents).
Résultat attendu : Maximisation des profits sur des tendances claires.
Recommandation Générale :
Si vous ne savez pas par où commencer, utilisez ces paramètres par défaut :
ATR Length : 14
Multiplicateur SL : 1.5
RR souhaité : 2.0
Dual Strategy Selector V2 - CryptogyaniOverview:
This script provides traders with a dual-strategy system that they can toggle between using a simple dropdown menu in the input settings. It is designed to cater to different trading styles and needs, offering both simplicity and advanced filtering techniques. The strategies are built around moving average crossovers, enhanced by configurable risk management tools like take profit levels, trailing stops, and ATR-based stop-loss.
Key Features:
Two Strategies in One Script:
Strategy 1: A classic moving average crossover strategy for identifying entry signals based on trend reversals. Includes user-defined take profit and trailing stop-loss options for profit locking.
Strategy 2: An advanced trend-following system that incorporates:
A higher timeframe trend filter to confirm entry signals.
ATR-based stop-loss for dynamic risk management.
Configurable partial take profit to secure gains while letting the trade run.
Highly Customizable:
All key parameters such as SMA lengths, take profit levels, ATR multiplier, and timeframe for the trend filter are adjustable via the input settings.
Dynamic Toggle:
Traders can switch between Strategy 1 and Strategy 2 with a single dropdown, allowing them to adapt the strategy to market conditions.
How It Works:
Strategy 1:
Entry Logic: A long trade is triggered when the fast SMA crosses above the slow SMA.
Exit Logic: The trade exits at either a user-defined take profit level (percentage or pips) or via an optional trailing stop that dynamically adjusts based on price movement.
Strategy 2:
Entry Logic: Builds on the SMA crossover logic but adds a higher timeframe trend filter to align trades with the broader market direction.
Risk Management:
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Protects against adverse moves with a volatility-adjusted stop-loss.
Partial Take Profit: Allows traders to secure a percentage of gains while keeping some exposure for extended trends.
How to Use:
Select Your Strategy:
Use the dropdown in the input settings to choose Strategy 1 or Strategy 2.
Configure Parameters:
Adjust SMA lengths, take profit, and risk management settings to align with your trading style.
For Strategy 2, specify the higher timeframe for trend filtering.
Deploy and Monitor:
Apply the script to your preferred asset and timeframe.
Use the backtest results to fine-tune settings for optimal performance.
Why Choose This Script?:
This script stands out due to its dual-strategy flexibility and enhanced features:
For beginners: Strategy 1 provides a simple yet effective trend-following system with minimal setup.
For advanced traders: Strategy 2 includes powerful tools like trend filters and ATR-based stop-loss, making it ideal for challenging market conditions.
By combining simplicity with advanced features, this script offers something for everyone while maintaining full transparency and user customization.
Default Settings:
Strategy 1:
Fast SMA: 21, Slow SMA: 49
Take Profit: 7% or 50 pips
Trailing Stop: Optional (disabled by default)
Strategy 2:
Fast SMA: 20, Slow SMA: 50
ATR Multiplier: 1.5
Partial Take Profit: 50%
Higher Timeframe: 1 Day (1D)
ORB Screener with Trailing SLThis is an extension to our already published script ORB with ATR Trailing SL indicator
Many people requested to add screener to the existing indicator but since it's slowing down the performance heavily, we decided to add this as a separate screener.
Note: This screener does NOT plot the chart and so you want to have both plotting and screener, use both scripts together.
Overview:
The ORB Screener is a TradingView indicator designed to assist traders in identifying breakout opportunities based on the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy. It features multi-symbol screening, customizable session timeframes, and a detailed table for quick visual reference and stock scanning.
The ORB Screener utilizes the ORB strategy to calculate breakout levels for multiple symbols. It identifies the high and low during a specified session (e.g., first 5 minutes after market open) and provides insights on whether the price is above the high (bullish), below the low (bearish), or between the range (neutral).
Additionally, the script calculates and displays the RSI values for each symbol, aiding traders in assessing momentum alongside breakout status.
Note: One can add up to 40 symbols for screening the stocks.
Key Features and Inputs:
ORB Session Time: Define a specific timeframe (e.g., "0915-0920") during which the ORB high and low are calculated. This serves as the foundation for identifying breakouts.
Multi-Symbol Screening: Screen up to 40 symbols at once, enabling you to monitor multiple opportunities without switching charts.
Breakout Validation:
Select from two methods for confirming a breakout: Close (based on closing prices) or Touch (based on intraday highs/lows).
Breakout Status Indicators:
Above High: Indicates a current bullish breakout when the price exceeds the ORB high.
Below Low: Indicates a current bearish breakout when the price falls below the ORB low.
Between Range: Indicates no breakout (price remains within the range).
RSI Integration : Calculates the RSI for each symbol to help traders evaluate momentum alongside breakout signals.
Customizable Table Display:
Position: Place the data table at the top, middle, or bottom of the chart and align it left, center, or right.
Size: Choose from multiple table size options for optimal visibility (Auto, Huge, Large, Normal, Small, Tiny).
Visual Feedback:
Green Background: Indicates a breakout happened at least once above the ORB high.
Red Background: Indicates a breakout happened at least once below the ORB low.
Gray Background: Indicates price is within the ORB range.
Bayesian Price Projection Model [Pinescriptlabs]📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈
This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.
Here’s how it works:
🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.
3. **Time Factor**: Uses the logarithm of the projected period (`proyeccion_dias`) to adjust how time impacts the estimate.
🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.
- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.
🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.
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🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.
🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.
⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀
Español :
📊 Algoritmo de Proyección de Precio Dinámico 📈
Este algoritmo combina **cálculos estadísticos**, **análisis técnico** y **la teoría de Bayes** para proyectar un precio futuro, junto con rangos de **incertidumbre** que representan los límites superior e inferior. Los cálculos están diseñados para ajustar las proyecciones considerando la **tendencia del mercado**, **volatilidad** y las probabilidades históricas de alcanzar nuevos máximos o mínimos.
Aquí se explica su funcionamiento:
🚀 **Proyección de Precio Futuro**
Se realiza un cálculo dinámico del precio futuro estimado basado en tres elementos clave:
1. **Tendencia**: Define si el mercado tiene predisposición a subir o bajar.
2. **Volatilidad**: Determina la magnitud del cambio esperado en función de las fluctuaciones históricas.
3. **Factor de Tiempo**: Usa el logaritmo del período proyectado (`proyeccion_dias`) para ajustar cómo el tiempo afecta la estimación.
🧠 **Ajuste Probabilístico con la Teoría de Bayes**
- Se calculan probabilidades condicionales mediante la fórmula de **Bayes**:
\
Esto permite modelar eventos futuros considerando información condicional:
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo máximo histórico** si el precio sube.
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo mínimo histórico** si el precio baja.
- Estas probabilidades ajustan la estimación del precio futuro considerando:
- **Mayor volatilidad** aumenta la probabilidad de alcanzar niveles extremos (máximos/mínimos).
- **La tendencia del mercado** afecta la dirección esperada del movimiento del precio.
🌟 **Cálculo de Volatilidad**
- La volatilidad se mide usando el indicador **ATR (Average True Range)** con un período de 14 velas. Este indicador refleja la amplitud promedio de las fluctuaciones del precio.
- Para obtener un valor porcentual, el ATR se normaliza dividiéndolo por el precio de cierre y multiplicándolo por 200.
- Además, se clasifica esta volatilidad en categorías descriptivas (e.g., **Muy Baja**, **Baja**, **Moderada**, etc.) para facilitar su interpretación.
🎯 **Límites de Desviación (Superior e Inferior)**
- Los límites superior e inferior representan un **rango proyectado** en torno al precio futuro estimado, proporcionando un marco para la incertidumbre.
- Estos límites se calculan ajustando el ATR según:
- Un **multiplicador** definido por el usuario (`factor_desviacion`).
- Las **probabilidades condicionales** calculadas previamente.
- La **raíz cuadrada del período proyectado** (`proyeccion_dias`), lo que incorpora el principio de que la incertidumbre aumenta con el tiempo.
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🔍 **Interpretación del Modelo**
Este modelo se puede interpretar como un **modelo probabilístico dinámico** que:
- Integra **análisis técnico** (tendencias y ATR).
- Ajusta probabilidades utilizando **la teoría de Bayes**.
- Proporciona un **rango de proyección visual** para ayudarte a entender los posibles movimientos futuros del precio y su incertidumbre.
⚡ Ya sea que estés analizando **mercados volátiles** o confirmando **escenarios alcistas/bajistas**, ¡esta herramienta te ofrece un enfoque robusto y basado en datos! 🚀
Weighted CG Oscillator with ATRATR-Weighted CG Oscillator
The ATR-Weighted CG Oscillator is an enhanced version of the Center of Gravity (CG) Oscillator, originally developed by John Ehlers . By adding the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust the oscillator’s values based on market volatility, this indicator aims to make trend signals more responsive to price changes, offering an adaptive tool for trend analysis.
Functionality Overview :
The CG Oscillator, a classic trend-following indicator, has been modified here to incorporate the ATR for improved context and adaptability in different market conditions. The indicator calculates the CG Oscillator and scales it by dividing the ATR by the closing price to normalize for volatility. This creates a “weighted” CG Oscillator that generates more contextually relevant signals. A colored line shows green for long signals (above the long threshold), red for short signals (below the short threshold), and gray for neutral conditions.
Input Parameters :
CGO Length : Sets the period of the CG Oscillator calculation.
ATR Length : Determines the period of the ATR calculation. Longer periods smooth out the volatility impact.
Long Threshold : The threshold that triggers a long signal; a long (green) signal occurs when the weighted CG Oscillator crosses above this level.
Short Threshold : The threshold that triggers a short signal; a short (red) signal occurs when the weighted CG Oscillator crosses below this level.
Source : Specifies the data source for CG Oscillator calculations, with the default set to the closing price.
Recommended Use :
This indicator is designed to be an adaptive tool, not your sole resource. To ensure its effectiveness, it’s essential to backtest the indicator on your chosen asset over your preferred timeframe. Market dynamics vary, so testing the indicator’s parameters—especially the thresholds—will allow you to find the settings that best suit your strategy. While the default values work well for some scenarios, customizing the settings will help align the indicator with your unique trading style and the asset’s characteristics.
