A tactical CHF short.... Central Bank combo
Обновлено
=> In this particular example we are outguessing a break of a channel and confirming further wide chop with the cross.
=> This week is busy from a monetary policy perspective and with both the Norges Bank and SNB in play we decided to use the CHFNOK as the main course...
=> Thursday is the rainmaker here; whilst the SNB are likely to portray a dovish tone especially after the recent CHF rally... Norges Bank will deliver a 25bp hike.
=> This hike is widely priced in and expected so anything else will shortcircuit the NOK across all other pairs.
=> It is also worth mentioning the late cycle rally in oil. Those following our portfolio know we have already begun positioning to the sell side in oil because of the late cycle.
=> This means we are using a strategic short here in CHFNOK not only as a central bank highlight of the week but also as a hedge to our oil shorts in our portfolio.
=> Overall a complex call that makes sense to us...Best of luck all
=> This week is busy from a monetary policy perspective and with both the Norges Bank and SNB in play we decided to use the CHFNOK as the main course...
=> Thursday is the rainmaker here; whilst the SNB are likely to portray a dovish tone especially after the recent CHF rally... Norges Bank will deliver a 25bp hike.
=> This hike is widely priced in and expected so anything else will shortcircuit the NOK across all other pairs.
=> It is also worth mentioning the late cycle rally in oil. Those following our portfolio know we have already begun positioning to the sell side in oil because of the late cycle.
=> This means we are using a strategic short here in CHFNOK not only as a central bank highlight of the week but also as a hedge to our oil shorts in our portfolio.
=> Overall a complex call that makes sense to us...Best of luck all
Комментарий
8.409x Cleared and partial profit booked... lets see how the rest goes.Комментарий
A flawless range so far; 8.4980x - 8.4166xКомментарий
Bears in full control
Похожие публикации
Отказ от ответственности
Все виды контента, которые вы можете увидеть на TradingView, не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или любыми другими рекомендациями. Мы не предоставляем советы по покупке и продаже активов. Подробнее — в Условиях использования TradingView.